Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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AXUS74 KSHV 091225
DGTSHV

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
625 AM CDT FRI DEC 9 2016

...WIDESPREAD SOAKING RAINFALL LAST WEEKEND HAS RESULTED IN IMPROVED
DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL OF THE FOUR STATE REGION...

SYNOPSIS...

FOLLOWING VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THROUGHOUT
SEPTEMBER, OCTOBER, AND THE FIRST THREE WEEKS OF NOVEMBER WHICH LED TO
WIDESPREAD SEVERE AND EXTREME DROUGHT, EPISODES OF WIDESPREAD WETTING
RAINFALL AND COOLER TEMPERATURES FINALLY RETURNED TO THE AREA DURING THE
FINAL WEEK OF THE MONTH AND THE FIRST SEVERAL DAYS OF DECEMBER, WHICH
HELPED TO ALLEVIATE THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE. IN FACT, A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN FELL BETWEEN DECEMBER 2ND AND
5TH, WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES RECORDED ACROSS
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA, AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.
FARTHER SOUTH, RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FOUR TO IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES WERE
RECORDED ACROSS THE SEVERE AND EXTREME DROUGHT STRICKEN AREAS OF DEEP EAST
TEXAS AND NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA.

AS A RESULT, THE PRIOR EXTREME (D3) DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE NOW IMPROVED
TO SEVERE (D2) ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA
SOUTH OF A PLEASANT HILL, TO NATCHITOCHES, WINNFIELD, MONROE AND BASTROP
LINE AND ENCOMPASSES ALL OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA. SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ALSO PERSIST ACROSS CASS AND SOUTHERN MORRIS COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST TEXAS.
MODERATE (D1) CONDITIONS ARE NOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTHWEST
LOUISIANA, SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, MCCURTAIN COUNTY OKLAHOMA, AND MUCH OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0)
CONDITIONS ARE NOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EAST TEXAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20.


SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS.
THE RECENT RAINFALL HAS RESTORED SOME TOPSOIL MOISTURE ESPECIALLY ACROSS
EAST TEXAS AND NORTH LOUISIANA WHICH HAS ALLEVIATED SOME OF THIS DRYNESS.
HOWEVER, PRIOR TO THIS RAINFALL, NUMEROUS REPORTS OF BROWNED/DORMANT PASTURES
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED, WITH PRODUCERS ALREADY HAVING TO GIVE
WINTER SUPPLIES TO MUCH OF THEIR LIVESTOCK DUE TO THE LACK OF GRAZING.
LOW STOCK POND LEVELS HAVE SINCE BEEN RESTORED TO SOME EXTENT DUE TO THE
RAINS.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
DUE TO RECENT WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND COOLER TEMPERATURES, THE BURN BANS
THAT WERE PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS, SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS, AND NORTH LOUISIANA HAVE BEEN DROPPED. FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LOW AS WE ENTER MID-DECEMBER.

CURRENT WATER RESTRICTIONS.
VOLUNTARY WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT FOR SMALLER RURAL WATER
SYSTEMS ACROSS EAST TEXAS. NO OTHER KNOWN WATER RESTRICTIONS ARE IN EFFECT
AT THIS TIME.


CLIMATE SUMMARY...
BELOW IS A LIST OF THE NOVEMBER AVERAGE MONTHLY TEMPERATURES AND RAINFALL
THEIR DEPARTURES FROM NORMAL, AND PERCENTAGES OF NORMAL, FOR SELECTED
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE FOUR STATE REGION:

CITY:             NOVEMBER 2016          DEPARTURE             RANK:
                                        FROM NORMAL      (WARMEST ON RECORD)

SHREVEPORT LA          61.5                +5.1                T7TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1874.

MONROE LA              59.1                +2.7                T10TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1930.

TEXARKANA AR           58.7                +4.5                T19TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1892.

EL DORADO AR           57.2                +3.3                 20TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1892.

DEQUEEN AR             55.8                +3.6                T12TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1902.

TYLER TX               62.6                +6.9                  4TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1883.

LONGVIEW TX            61.6                +5.3                  6TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1902.

LUFKIN TX              62.2                +3.9                 10TH
NOTE: RECORDS SINCE 1906.

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN             55.9                +2.9
BROKEN BOW             54.5                +1.5
IDABEL                 56.8                +5.4


CITY:             NOVEMBER 2016          DEPARTURE          PERCENTAGE
                     RAINFALL           FROM NORMAL          OF NORMAL

SHREVEPORT LA         4.36              -0.17                   96%

MONROE LA             2.64              -2.20                   55%

NATCHITOCHES LA       1.86              -3.47                   35%

TEXARKANA AR          3.41              -1.41                   71%

EL DORADO AR          2.78              -2.11                   57%

HOPE 3NE AR           4.12              -0.99                   81%

DEQUEEN AR            4.03              -0.88                   82%

MT. PLEASANT TX       3.01              -1.18                   72%

TYLER TX              1.20              -2.90                   29%
(AIRPORT)

TYLER TX              3.06              -1.32                   70%
(COOPERATIVE OBSERVING STATION)

LONGVIEW TX           2.82              -1.67                   63%

MARSHALL TX           5.94              +1.36                  130%

LUFKIN TX             2.75              -2.26                   55%

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA MESONET STATIONS:
MT. HERMAN            4.28              -0.57                   88%
BROKEN BOW            4.27              -0.58                   88%
IDABEL                4.62              -0.13                   97%


PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY, IN WAKE
OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH MOVED INTO THE REGION THURSDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY SUNDAY AND
MONDAY, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME WITH
THE INCREASE OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO, AND THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TRAVERSING THE RED RIVER VALLEY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AROUND MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK WILL RETURN COLDER
AND DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION.

THE THREE MONTH TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK FOR DECEMBER-
JANUARY-FEBRUARY, ISSUED BY THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC), INDICATES
ABOVE NORMAL PROBABILITIES FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS ALL OF THE FOUR STATE REGION. THIS IS THE RESULT OF A
WEAK LA NINA THAT HAS DEVELOPED IN THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC, WHICH TYPICALLY
BRINGS NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRIER THAN NORMAL PRECIPITATION
DURING THE WINTER MONTHS. THUS, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH THE UPCOMING WINTER.


HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...
MANY LAKES AND RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR POOL STAGE...ALTHOUGH LAKES SUCH AS
LAKE OF THE PINES...FORK...MARTIN...AS WELL AS SAM RAYBURN AND TOLEDO BEND
RESERVOIRS HAVE FALLEN SOME TWO TO FOUR FEET BELOW NORMAL. LITTLE CHANGE
TO SLOW FALLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID DECEMBER IN WAKE OF RECENT
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL...WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT RAIN EVENTS EXPECTED LATER THIS
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.


NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY LATE DECEMBER.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT HOMEPAGE: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SHV
NATIONAL INTEGRATED DROUGHT INFORMATION SYSTEM: WWW.DROUGHT.GOV
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML
DROUGHT IMPACT REPORTER: WWW.DROUGHTREPORTER.UNL.EDU
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER: WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
LA OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.LOSC.LSU.EDU
TX OFFICE OF STATE CLIMATOLOGY: WWW.MET.TAMI.EDU/OSC
OK CLIMATOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://CLIMATE.OK.GOV
UNITED STATE GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURAL COMMUNICATIONS-AGNEWS: HTTP://AGNEWS.TAMU.EDU
LA DEPT. OF AGRICULTURE AND FORESTRY: HTTP://WWW.LDAF.STATE.LA.US/
TEXAS FOREST SERVICE: HTTP://WWW.TEXASFORESTSERVICE.TAMU.EDU
ARKANSAS FIRE INFO: HTTP://WWW.ARKFIREINFO.ORG
OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES: HTTP://WWW.FORESTRY.OK.GOV/WILDLAND-FIRE
LSU AG CENTER: HTTP://WWW.LSUAGCENTER.COM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR FACILITATED COLLABORATION AMONGST VARIOUS
AGENCIES...INCLUDING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...STATE
CLIMATOLOGISTS...THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...AND THE U.S. DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FROM THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS/FAA OBSERVATIONS SITES...THE USDA...THE CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
USGS...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE...TEXAS INTERAGENCY COORDINATION CENTER...
ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION...AND THE OKLAHOMA FORESTRY SERVICES.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT INFORMATION
STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT:

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE
5655 HOLLYWOOD AVE.
SHREVEPORT LA 71109

PHONE: (318) 631-3669
EMAIL: SR-SHV.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$

15/HANSFORD


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