Headwater Guidance
Issued by NWS

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000
FOUS71 KRHA 021354
FFHPA2
HEADWATER STATEMENT FOR THE DELAWARE AND SUSQUEHANNA BASINS
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
931 AM EDT THU OCT 2 2014

APPROXIMATE 1/3/6/12/24-HR BASIN AVERAGED RAINFALL (INCHES)
REQUIRED TO CAUSE MINOR, MODERATE, AND MAJOR FLOODING AT THE
INDICATED HEADWATER LOCATIONS.

.B RHA 141002 Z DH12/DC1410021331/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF
:
:IDENT    1HR   3HR   6HR  12HR  24HR  HEADWATER NAME
:======= ====  ====  ====  ====  ====  ====================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Chenango River...
SHBN6     3.5/  3.7/  3.8/  3.8/  4.1 :Sherburne (8.5ft.)
:SHBN6md  4.0/  4.1/  4.3/  4.3/  4.6  Sherburne (9)
:SHBN6mj  5.0/  5.2/  5.4/  5.4/  5.9  Sherburne (10.6)
:  Otselic River...
CINN6     5.2/  5.4/  5.8/  5.9/  6.3 :Cincinnatus (9ft.)
: ...moderate and major flood stages above rating table.
:  Cohocton River...
CMPN6     3.4/  4.1/  4.4/  4.5/  4.9 :Campbell (8ft.)
:CMPN6md  4.5/  5.3/  5.7/  5.9/  6.6  Campbell (10)
:CMPN6mj  5.3/  6.4/  7.0/  7.3/  8.3  Campbell (11)
:  Canisteo River...
WCRN6     4.2/  4.7/  5.0/  5.4/  5.4 :West Cameron (17ft)
:WCRN6md  4.4/  5.0/  5.4/  5.7/  5.8  West Cameron (18)
:WCRN6mj  5.4/  6.1/  6.7/  7.3/  7.3  West Cameron (21)
:  Towanda Creek...
MONP1     4.0/  4.0/  4.2/  4.6/  5.5 :Monroeton (15.5ft)
:MONP1md  4.5/  4.5/  4.7/  5.3/  6.4  Monroeton (17)
:MONP1mj  5.2/  5.3/  5.5/  6.2/  7.9  Monroeton (18.5)
:  Tunkhannock Creek...
TNKP1     3.5/  4.0/  4.7/  5.2/  6.1 :Tunkhannock (11ft.)
:TNKP1md  4.1/  4.8/  5.6/  6.2/  7.5  Tunkhannock (14)
:TNKP1mj  4.8/  5.6/  6.6/  7.5/  8.4  Tunkhannock (17)
:  Lackawanna River...
OFRP1     5.3/  5.8/  6.4/  6.8/  7.8 :Old Forge (11ft.)
:OFRP1md  6.0/  6.6/  7.3/  7.7/  8.4  Old Forge (13)
:OFRP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Old Forge (16)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  East Branch Delaware River...
MRGN6     4.4/  4.7/  5.3/  5.9/  6.7 :Margaretville (11ft)
:MRGN6md  4.9/  5.4/  6.1/  6.8/  7.9  Margaretville (12)
:MRGN6mj  5.6/  6.2/  7.1/  8.0/  8.4  Margaretville (13)
:  West Branch Delaware River...
WALN6     3.6/  3.8/  3.8/  3.9/  4.3 :Walton (9.5ft.)
:WALN6md  5.4/  5.8/  5.9/  6.0/  6.8  Walton (14)
:WALN6mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.2/  7.4/  8.4  Walton (16)
:  Beaverkill Creek...
CKFN6     3.7/  4.3/  4.9/  5.4/  6.3 :Cooks Falls (10ft.)
:CKFN6md  5.8/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Cooks Falls (16)
:CKFN6mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Cooks Falls (18)
:  Lackawaxen River...
HWYP1     5.3/  5.7/  5.9/  6.1/  6.4 :Hawley (11ft.)
:HWYP1md  5.7/  6.2/  6.4/  6.7/  6.9  Hawley (12)
:HWYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Hawley (20)
:
: NWS STATE COLLEGE SERVICE AREA...
:  SUSQUEHANNA BASIN...
:  Tioga River...
MFDP1     4.0/  4.2/  4.4/  5.1/  6.4 :Mansfield (12ft.)
:MFDP1md  4.4/  4.6/  4.9/  5.8/  7.4  Mansfield (13)
:MFDP1mj  5.0/  5.3/  5.7/  6.8/  8.4  Mansfield (14)
:  Penns Creek...
PNCP1     3.1/  3.5/  3.8/  4.1/  4.3 :Penns Creek (8ft.)
:PNCP1md  3.7/  4.3/  4.7/  5.1/  5.4  Penns Creek (10)
:PNCP1mj  4.6/  5.4/  5.9/  6.4/  6.9  Penns Creek (12)
:  Frankstown Branch Juniata River...
WIBP1     2.8/  3.0/  3.5/  3.7/  4.3 :Williamsburg (12ft)
:WIBP1md  3.1/  3.3/  3.8/  4.0/  4.7  Williamsburg (13)
:WIBP1mj  3.5/  3.8/  4.4/  4.6/  5.4  Williamsburg (15)
:  Little Juniata River...
SPKP1     2.5/  2.8/  3.3/  3.7/  4.4 :Spruce Creek (8ft.)
:SPKP1md  3.1/  3.5/  4.0/  4.5/  5.4  Spruce Creek (10)
:SPKP1mj  4.3/  4.9/  5.8/  6.5/  8.3  Spruce Creek (14)
:  Aughwick Creek...
SLYP1     3.7/  3.7/  3.8/  4.1/  4.6 :Shirleysburg (10ft.)
:SLYP1md  4.5/  4.6/  4.7/  4.9/  5.6  Shirleysburg (12)
:SLYP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Shirleysburg (20)
:  Sherman Creek...
SMDP1     3.6/  3.9/  4.2/  4.4/  5.1 :Shermans Dale (9ft)
:SMDP1md  4.4/  4.7/  5.2/  5.4/  6.5  Shermans Dale (11)
:SMDP1mj  6.4/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Shermans Dale (16)
:  Conodoguinet Creek...
HGSP1     4.4/  4.4/  4.4/  4.5/  4.7 :Hogestown (8ft.)
:HGSP1md  5.7/  5.7/  5.7/  5.7/  6.0  Hogestown (10)
:HGSP1mj  6.5/  6.9/  7.0/  7.1/  7.5  Hogestown (12)
:  Yellow Breeches Creek...
CPHP1     4.0/  4.1/  4.1/  4.2/  4.5 :Camp Hill (7ft.)
:CPHP1md  4.9/  5.0/  5.1/  5.2/  5.7  Camp Hill (9)
:CPHP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  7.7/  8.4  Camp Hill (13)
:  Swatara Creek...
HTVP1     3.6/  3.7/  3.8/  4.1/  4.4 :Harper Tavern (9ft.)
:HTVP1md  4.7/  4.8/  4.9/  5.2/  5.7  Harper Tavern (12)
:HTVP1mj  5.9/  6.0/  6.3/  6.7/  7.5  Harper Tavern (15)
:  Conestoga River...
LNCP1     3.6/  3.7/  3.9/  4.2/  4.8 :Lancaster (11ft.)
:LNCP1md  4.2/  4.4/  4.6/  4.9/  5.6  Lancaster (13)
:LNCP1mj  4.9/  5.1/  5.4/  5.8/  6.6  Lancaster (15)
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
LGVP1     3.5/  3.7/  3.8/  4.0/  4.4 :Landingville (8ft)
:LGVP1md  4.3/  4.6/  4.8/  5.2/  6.0  Landingville (12)
:LGVP1mj  4.8/  5.2/  5.5/  6.0/  7.0  Landingville (14)
:
: NWS MT. HOLLY SERVICE AREA...
:  DELAWARE BASIN...
:  Schuylkill River...
BREP1     5.1/  5.3/  6.0/  6.4/  7.2 :Berne (12ft.)
:BREP1md  6.1/  6.5/  7.3/  7.9/  8.4  Berne (14)
:BREP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Berne (16)
:  Bush Kill...
SHOP1     6.1/  6.5/  6.6/  6.8/  7.1 :Shoemakers (6ft.)
:SHOP1md  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  7.6/  8.0  Shoemakers (7)
:SHOP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Shoemakers (8)
:  Brodhead Creek...
MNSP1     5.5/  6.1/  7.0/  7.2/  8.0 :Minisink Hills(10ft)
:MNSP1md  6.4/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Minisink Hills(12)
:MNSP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Minisink Hills(15)
:  Little Lehigh Creek...
APAP1     4.4/  4.7/  5.2/  6.0/  7.2 :Allentown-10th (8ft)
:APAP1md  5.4/  5.8/  6.4/  7.6/  8.4  Allentown-10th (10)
:APAP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Allentown-10th (12)
:  Perkiomen Creek...
GRAP1     3.2/  3.8/  4.1/  4.7/  5.7 :Graterford (11ft.)
:GRAP1md  3.8/  4.6/  4.8/  5.7/  7.1  Graterford (13)
:GRAP1mj  4.5/  5.4/  5.8/  7.0/  8.4  Graterford (16)
:  Neshaminy Creek...
LNGP1     2.9/  3.3/  3.4/  3.8/  4.7 :Langhorne (9ft.)
:LNGP1md  3.2/  3.7/  3.8/  4.2/  5.2  Langhorne (10)
:LNGP1mj  3.8/  4.4/  4.5/  5.0/  6.3  Langhorne (12)
:  Chester Creek...
CHSP1     2.5/  2.6/  2.9/  3.5/  4.8 :Chester (8ft.)
:CHSP1md  3.2/  3.3/  3.7/  4.5/  6.2  Chester (10)
:CHSP1mj  4.5/  4.6/  5.1/  6.4/  8.4  Chester (14)
:  West Branch Brandywine Creek...
MODP1     5.6/  5.9/  6.3/  6.6/  8.3 :Modena (9ft)
:MODP1md  6.5/  6.9/  7.4/  7.9/  8.4  Modena (10)
:MODP1mj  6.5/  7.0/  7.4/  8.0/  8.4  Modena (12)
:  East Branch Brandywine Creek...
DWNP1     2.8/  2.9/  2.9/  3.2/  4.0 :Downingtown (7ft)
:DWNP1md  3.3/  3.4/  3.5/  3.8/  4.7  Downingtown (8)
:DWNP1mj  3.8/  3.9/  4.0/  4.2/  5.3  Downingtown (9)
:  Brandywine Creek...
CDFP1     2.4/  3.0/  3.4/  3.6/  4.3 :Chadds Ford (9ft.)
:CDFP1md  3.1/  3.9/  4.5/  4.7/  5.7  Chadds Ford (11)
:CDFP1mj  3.9/  4.9/  5.6/  5.9/  7.3  Chadds Ford (13)
:  Christina River...
CHBD1     2.0/  2.2/  2.5/  3.5/  5.1 :Coochs Brdg(10.5ft)
:CHBD1md  2.6/  2.9/  3.3/  4.5/  7.0  Coochs Brdg(11.5)
:CHBD1mj  3.6/  3.9/  4.5/  6.3/  8.4  Coochs Brdg(12.5)
:  White Clay Creek...
DPKD1     2.4/  2.5/  2.7/  3.4/  4.6 :Delaware Pk (13ft)
:DPKD1md  3.4/  3.5/  3.8/  4.7/  6.6  Delaware Pk (15)
:DPKD1mj  4.9/  5.1/  5.5/  7.0/  8.4  Delaware Pk (16.5)
:  Red Clay Creek...
RCCD1     2.9/  3.1/  3.4/  4.0/  5.2 :Wooddale (7ft)
:RCCD1md  3.7/  4.0/  4.4/  5.0/  7.0  Wooddale (8.5)
:RCCD1mj  4.4/  4.7/  5.1/  6.1/  8.4  Wooddale (10)
.END

UPPER DELAWARE BASIN WATER SUPPLY GUIDANCE

APPROXIMATE RUNOFF (IN MILLIONS OF GALLONS) PRODUCED FROM EACH OF
THE FOLLOWING 6-HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS (IN INCHES)...

.BR RHA 20141002 Z DH12/DC1410021354/DUE/QMXC1/QMXC2/QMXC3
.B1 /QMXC4/QMXC5/QMXC6
:                 RAINFALL
:IDENT    0.1    0.5    1.0    2.0     3.0     5.0   LOCATION
:======= ===== ====== ====== ====== ======= =======  ================
CANN6DEL    23/   117/   303/  1059/   2681/   9303 :CANNONSVILLE-456sqmi
DWNN6DEL    15/    66/   166/   637/   1820/   7307 :PEPACTON-372sqmi
LWKP1WPK    11/    36/    93/   344/    909/   3434 :WALLENPAUPACK-228sqm
NVRN6NVR     2/    16/    40/   138/    364/   1403 :NEVERSINK-93sqmi
.END

:===============================================================
:          EXPERIMENTAL NON-FCST POINT RAW MODEL OUTPUT
:      NO MANUAL QC OR ADJUSTMENTS APPLIED...USE WITH CAUTION
:===============================================================
:
: NWS BINGHAMTON SERVICE AREA...
.B RHA 141002 Z DH12/DC1410021331/DUE/PPHCF/PPTCF/PPQCF/PPKCF/PPDCF
:GageID   1hr   3hr   6hr   12hr  rainfall for indicated stages
:  Lackawanna River...
ARHP1     4.9/  5.0/  5.5/  6.3/  8.1 :Archbald (8ft.)
:ARHP1md  5.6/  5.7/  6.2/  7.3/  8.4  Archbald (9)
:ARHP1mj  6.2/  6.3/  6.9/  8.0/  8.4  Archbald (10)
PKIP1     4.2/  4.3/  4.5/  4.9/  5.9 :Scranton (7.5ft.)
:PKIP1md  4.4/  4.5/  4.7/  5.1/  6.1  Scranton (8)
:PKIP1mj  4.9/  5.0/  5.1/  5.6/  6.7  Scranton (9.5)
.END
: Model-simulated 3-hourly stage forecasts including QPF...
.E ARHP1 20141002 DC1410021354/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.7/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5/1.5
.E PKIP1 20141002 DC1410021354/DH15/HGIFX/DIH3/
.E1 1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1/1.1
:chps
$$
NNNN


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