Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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000
FNAK51 PAFC 051553
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG FRONT MOVING TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THROUGH
TONIGHT WILL BRING THE BEST CHANCE OF INTERMITTENT LIGHT
RAIN TO THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE CHUGACH RANGE IN QUITE
SOME TIME. ADDITIONALLY...EASTERLY GAP WINDS THROUGH
THE RANGE WILL BE DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT BY INCREASING
NORTHERLY WINDS.

STABILITY DECREASES FRIDAY AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS SLACKEN AND
A WEAK UPPER LOW PERSISTS OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA. THIS
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASED SHOWER ACTIVITY...ESPECIALLY
OVER THE KENAI PENINSULA BUT POTENTIALLY EXTENDING TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY.

A CLEARING TREND BEGINS ON SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...WITH CLOUDS FROM THE NEXT
SYSTEM WORKING THEIR WAY SLOWLY IN FROM THE WEST SUNDAY.



AKZ101-060600-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      70           80           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   45 (-4)      36 (+2)      45
RH % (24H TREND)   61-78 (+25)  87-94 (+6)   68-82
20FTWND(MPH)       E 5-20       E 6-12       SE 7-17
CWR                40           50           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      60           70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   54 (-2)      41 (+4)      54
RH % (24H TREND)   42-48 (+13)  77 (+3)      48-54
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 5-10      NE 6-11      SE 2-13
CWR                20           20           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...BEST CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS WILL BE IN THE VALLEYS
TUCKED BACKED INTO THE MOUNTAINS...SUCH AS THE EAGLE RIVER
VALLEY. LITTLE TO NO CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS IN THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-060600-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      80           90           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-49 (-2)   36 (+3)      41-48
RH % (24H TREND)   45-61 (+16)  76-87 (+6)   53-71
20FTWND(MPH)       E 4-8        E 5-8        S 3-6
CWR                40           60           30
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   55 (-1)      41 (+5)      55
RH % (24H TREND)   32-40 (+5)   66-77 (+5)   42-48
20FTWND(MPH)       E 4-15 G25   NE 4-16      S 3-8
CWR                5            10           10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...GUSTS OUT OF THE KNIK RIVER VALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BE
          BENDING TO THE SOUTH.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-060600-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      80           70           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   44-51 (-1)   39 (+2)      45-53
RH % (24H TREND)   49-63 (+11)  81-88 (+6)   54-68
20FTWND(MPH)       E 13-18 G25  NE 8-17      S 2-5
CWR                60           50           50
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...BEST CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS THROUGH TONIGHT
SOUTH OF THE STERLING HIGHWAY AND ALONG THE MOUNTAINS.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      90           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (-1)      41 (+3)      51
RH % (24H TREND)   51-66 (+14)  87 (+8)      60-74
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 13-25 G33 NE 14-23 G33 W 2-6
CWR                70           60           40
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-060600-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP      100          100          100
TEMP (24H TREND)   36-45 (-2)   31-37 (0)    37-47
RH % (24H TREND)   65-91 (+14)  89-99 (+3)   66-95
20FTWND(MPH)       E 10-17      E 8-14       E 2-6
CWR                100          100          80
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      100          100          100
TEMP (24H TREND)   38-44 (-2)   33-39 (0)    40-46
RH % (24H TREND)   70-90 (+10)  90-99 (+3)   73-91
20FTWND(MPH)       E 15-27      E 9-22       SE 3-5
CWR                100          100          100
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-060600-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      60           80           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-49 (-1)   35 (+5)      42-50
RH % (24H TREND)   33-60 (+13)  65-84 (0)    42-68
20FTWND(MPH)       E 3-9        E 4-9        S 2-9
CWR                20           60           40
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-060600-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      RAIN         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      20           50           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-47 (-1)   35 (+4)      40-46
RH % (24H TREND)   46-64 (+17)  76-85 (0)    56-73
20FTWND(MPH)       E 4-9        NE 5-12      SW 1-6
CWR                0            20           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      30           60           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   51-57 (+1)   40 (+6)      55
RH % (24H TREND)   29-41 (-1)   74-81 (+9)   43-56
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 4-10      NE 8-15      SW 1-7
CWR                0            20           0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ171-060600-
KODIAK ISLAND-
INCLUDING...KODIAK CITY
753 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      100          70           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-48 (-2)   39 (+2)      42-50
RH % (24H TREND)   77-95 (+21)  88-98 (+1)   65-91
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 4-24      S 5-10       NE 2-5
CWR                100          30           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP      100          70           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (0)       41 (+3)      50
RH % (24H TREND)   77-87 (+14)  88-97 (+4)   67-80
20FTWND(MPH)       E 8-33 G40   SE 7-15 G23  NE 4-7
CWR                100          30           20
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$



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