Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 260936
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

...Still hot today but much cooler Wednesday...

.DISCUSSION...A stalled cold front was located just west of
Michigan early this morning. This front will finally start east
later today...crossing northern Michigan mainly this evening.
This will bring our unseasonably hot weather to an end, as well
as bring a small chance for showers and thunderstorms.

Southwest breezes will be just a touch gusty today. A stronger
northwest breeze is planned for Wednesday. Relative humidity
levels will be much higher Wednesday than today.


MIZ016-017-019-021>023-262200-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 53-58 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1310).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (250).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1000).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262200-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent...except 66-71 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1140).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....57-62...except 65-70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max Temperature.....66-71...except around 61 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1080).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262200-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent...except 68-73 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1190).
Mixing Height.......6400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400. slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. slight chance of rain showers
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 79-84 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (170).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......26 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......26 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (800).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-262200-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except around 81 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1210).
Mixing Height.......6800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 6 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (160).
Mixing Height.......1200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......25 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......4400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262200-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
536 AM EDT Tue Sep 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    1200. Slight chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....88-93.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (1330).
Mixing Height.......8500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....56-61.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Fair (270).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......23 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (880).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FROST IN THE MORNING. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JZ


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