Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS53 KAPX 260722
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

...DAMP AND CHILLY...

.DISCUSSION...COOL...WINDY...AND DAMP THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS STRONG
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CROSSES THE REGION. MOST WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
WILL BE FOUND IN THE FAVORED LAKE BELTS...ALTHOUGH EXPECT ALL AREAS
TO SEE AT LEAST A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-262015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 75-80 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1890).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.20 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (810).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.28 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 86-91 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (930).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.43 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-262015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1100.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.22 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1400. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.28 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-262015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 56-61 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.17 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.30 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-262015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1040).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.21 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-262015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
322 AM EDT MON SEP 26 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    0800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.13 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (710).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.17 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB


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