Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 310857
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS MORNING
BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON. IT WILL REMAIN MUGGY ALTHOUGH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON LABOR DAY...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE
DAY SHOULD BE RAIN FREE WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO A LITTLE
ABOVE AVERAGE.

NYZ001-002-010-011-312115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           65           82
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW 10        SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.16         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70           99           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2660           70         3600
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 23        SW 22        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               61180         1540        39600
DISPERSION INDEX                   61            2           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-312115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           63           80
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        SW  6        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.40         0.04         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               76          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3510           70         4980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 12        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               49140          840        54780
DISPERSION INDEX                   49            1           55
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-312115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           65           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        SW  7      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.32         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     8                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                     11 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           99           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3780           70         5010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17        SW 15        SW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               64260         1050        25050
DISPERSION INDEX                   64            1           25
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-312115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW  6        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.28         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     8            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70          100           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4280           70         4810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 15        SW 14        SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               64200          980        43290
DISPERSION INDEX                   64            1           43
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$








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