Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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114
FNUS51 KBUF 091842
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
142 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...
COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FLOW SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION TODAY, BRINGING LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAINLY OFF LAKE ERIE
TODAY, WITH SCATTERED ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ONTARIO. A MORE PRONOUNCED
BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FORM TONIGHT AS UPSTREAM LAKES BRING
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES, WITH A BAND OF
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST NEW YORK STATE, AND ANOTHER
BAND SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ACROSS EASTERN ORLEANS TO WESTERN
OSWEGO COUNTIES. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY, PRODUCING A GENERAL
SNOW, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH A LITTLE RAIN OR SLEET FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION.

NYZ001-002-010-011-100915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
142 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           40           80
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       21           32           20           33
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W  6                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  6         W  9         W  7         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.05         0.04         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 PM   CONTINUING        10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               92           56           86           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)             60         6370            0         3790
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15         W 17         W 13         S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 900       108290            0        53060
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          108            0           53
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-100915-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
142 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           60           70
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       18           28           18           30
AM WIND (MPH)                                 W  6                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6         W  8         W  6         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.28         0.20         0.07         0.12
PRECIP DURATION                    12           11            3            7
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           59           95           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)              0         6430            0         3600
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15         W 21        SW 11         S 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0       135030            0        57600
DISPERSION INDEX                    0          135            0           58
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-100915-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
142 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS         NONE         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       19           32           19           33
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6         W  6        SW  6         S  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.29         0.11         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                    12            5                         3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING                      7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         4 PM                CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           59           91           59
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)              0         6260            0         3640
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W 14         W 10         S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                   0        87640            0        50960
DISPERSION INDEX                    0           88            0           51
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-100915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
142 PM EST FRI DEC 9 2016

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS         SNOW
MIN/MAX TEMP                       10           28           16           31
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.03         0.04         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            3            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           54           92           62
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HEIGHT (FT-AGL)            280         5990          130         5860
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  6         W  9        SW  7        SW  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1680        53910          910        35160
DISPERSION INDEX                    2           54            1           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 10. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 6. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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