Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 292009
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
409 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...A THICK BAND OF PRECIPITATION MOVING IN FROM THE WEST
WILL SPREAD RAIN...SNOW...AND EVEN A LITTLE SLEET INTO SOUTHEAST
MICHIGAN TONIGHT. DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED MONDAY
HOWEVER WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHWEST...WITH GUSTS TO
35 MPH. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN SPREAD RAIN AND SNOW
BACK INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-292130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
409 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). LIGHT SLEET
                    LIKELY UNTIL 7 PM. SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET AFTER 7 PM.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3450-3950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (145520).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO
                    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8390-8890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (292160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2 AM. POP...80
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1330-1530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-292130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
409 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). LIGHT SLEET
                    LIKELY UNTIL 7 PM. SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET AFTER 7 PM.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1930-2430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (84000).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 11 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM.
                    POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......610-810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8050-8550 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 30 TO
                    35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (294630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1240-1440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-292130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
409 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). LIGHT SLEET
                    LIKELY UNTIL 7 PM. SHOWERS AND SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET AFTER 7 PM.
                    POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH AROUND 25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2990-3490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (131850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL 10 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    RAIN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM.
                    POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......960-1160 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20 TO
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (9920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......3-7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6-10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8440-8940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (314300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM...THEN RAIN
                    RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING LIGHT LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1140-1340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING EAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

$$

PK/HLO



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