Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 200806
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
406 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY
WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING LIKELY AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS WELL WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO
30 MPH LIKELY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP
SUNDAY BEFORE A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS MOVES IN THROUGH MID WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-202115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
406 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3810-4310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1280).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    11 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......760-960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL NOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5820-6320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-202115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
406 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4570-5070 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    11 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL NOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-202115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
406 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4280-4780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 PM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......860-1060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL NOON...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 15 TO
                    20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6650-7150 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.

$$

BT






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