Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 121945
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.DISCUSSION...
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
TONIGHTS WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS WILL BE GRADUALLY REPLACED BY A MUCH
COOLER AND DRIER ONE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WINDS MAY GUST AS HIGH
AS 20 MPH ON TUESDAY BUT MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-131400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
                    7 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......520-720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 AM.
                    POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9380-9880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2150).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10190-10690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2340).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-131400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........1.01-1.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 11 AM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9630-10130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15
                    MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10420-10920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2310).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-131400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 PM EDT SAT JUL 12 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......880-1080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9870-10370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING EAST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9790-10290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.

$$

JVC






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