Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 190751
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

...Dry and Warm Weekend...

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds and scattered showers will exit this morning and high
pressure will provide a sunny and warm weekend. A slow moving
cold front will bring periodic showers and thunderstorms Monday
and Tuesday, followed by several days of dry and comfortable
weather as Canadian high pressure gradually settles into the
region.

MIZ037>039-043>045-192015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 28
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7000-7500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 4 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6400-6900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-192015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7900-8400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-192015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 47-52
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 21
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....81-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6300-6800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-192015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7700-8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-192015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
351 AM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 1800, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms and isolated showers until 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6700-7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 85.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then numerous showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Widespread showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 50.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$



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