Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 280658
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

...RAIN ON THE WAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will prevail into mid afternoon then a area of
rain will spread northeast across the southern third of
Lower Michigan for the late afternoon and evening hours.
There will then be a break in the rainfall during the early
to mid morning hours of Saturday. By Saturday afternoon rain
will spread back into Lower Michigan from south to north. Then
expect rain with embedded thunderstorms Saturday night into
Monday morning. Some areas could see over 2 inches of rain between
8 am Saturday morning and 8 am Monday morning.

MIZ037>039-043>045-282015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1100, then
                    partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    4000-4500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 0500.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 8 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    2200-2700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.13 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-282015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4300-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.13 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1400.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-282015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) until 1500, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1600.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan AND
                    5500-6000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2300, then a chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2500-3000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to
                    1600-2100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph increasing to northeast
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........around 0.12 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-282015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1600, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north around 7 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 1600-2100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to northeast
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.14 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.23 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-282015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
258 AM EDT Fri Apr 28 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1600.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2300, then a chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    north overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4400-4900 ft AGL decreasing to 1500-2000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to northeast
                    around 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....300 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.18 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    until 1400, then rain showers likely.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.11-0.39 in.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Showers in the evening, then showers and
thunderstorms overnight. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
50s. East winds 8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with periods of showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the lower
60s. South winds 11 to 16 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 40.
Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers until midday.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds 13 to 18 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.



$$



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