Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 200700
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

...Dry and Unseasonably Warm Through Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected into Saturday night. High temperatures
will be 10 to 15 degrees above normal Friday and Saturday with highs
in the lower to mid 70s. Sunday into early next week will be
unsettled with frequent rain showers. Much of next week will be
considerably cooler with highs in the 50s.


MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 19
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3000-3500 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....500-900 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 40-45
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....600-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
300 AM EDT Fri Oct 20 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-500 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers until midday, then
widespread showers in the afternoon. Highs around 70. South winds
8 to 13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Widespread showers in the evening,
then scattered showers overnight. Lows around 50. West winds 5 to
9 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with scattered showers. Highs in the lower
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. West winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers until midday, then
scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 50s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around
40.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Scattered showers until midday. Highs
around 50.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.

$$



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