Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 260827
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

...Breezy and cool today then moderating temperatures...

.DISCUSSION...
Another unseasonably chilly day is in store with highs only in the
60s and scattered rain showers. Temperatures will gradually moderate
after today, returning to closer to normal by mid to late week.
However the return of the warmer air will also result in showers
and thunderstorms with a risk of some stronger storms and locally
heavy rain.

MIZ037>039-043>045-262015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1400, then rain showers likely
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-65 percent near Lake Michigan and 52-57
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2300, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 2900-3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph becoming west around 5
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent near Lake Michigan and 37-42
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 21
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7300-7800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-262015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 1100-1600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-600 (fair to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-262015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1400, then rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 500 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7200-7700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-262015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 1200-1700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500-1600 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-262015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
427 AM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 13 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....2200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2100, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL decreasing to 1300-1800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1400 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Southwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Cloudy with showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$



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