Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 282102
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
402 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

...TURNING WARMER THIS WEEKEND...

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN KENTUCKY
TONIGHT...AND WARMER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA DURING THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. ALONG WITH THE WARMER AIR WILL COME A CHANCE OF
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE AREA LATE SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL BRING A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN TO ALL OF EASTERN KENTUCKY
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>086-104-106>117-119-
291415-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-ELLIOTT-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-
LESLIE-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...SANDY HOOK...
WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...
BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...
HYDEN...INEZ
402 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 65-75 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER VALLEYS AND 10 PERCENT DRIER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (29900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE VALLEYS AND 20 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....34.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 INCHES.

$$

KYZ087-088-118-120-291415-
BELL-HARLAN-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...HARLAN...
WHITESBURG...PIKEVILLE
402 PM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 63-73 PERCENT RIDGES.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE VALLEYS AND 25 PERCENT DRIER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28.
VENT RATE...........POOR (27300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......NO CHANGE VALLEYS AND 20 PERCENT WETTER
                    RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST LATE AT NIGHT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
SBH





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