Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

ECC029-231045-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


...Discussion from Monterey...

...LOCALLY MODERATE AND GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS IN THE HILLS  LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY MORNING...

...WARM AND VERY DRY FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK...

A warming and drying trend will continue across the district through
Tuesday. Warming and drying will be most pronounced tonight and
Monday as moderate offshore flow develops. North to northeast winds
will increase in the hills tonight and  become gusty by late tonight
and Monday morning, mainly at the  higher elevations of the North
Bay but also locally in the East  Bay Hills, the Santa Cruz
Mountains and in the hills above the Big Sur Coast. Winds will
decrease on Monday afternoon. Expect poor  overnight humidity
recoveries through Tuesday night. Gradual  cooling is forecast
during the second half of the week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-231045-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC031-231045-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC024-231045-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS FOR PORTIONS OF SAN
LUIS OBISPO AND SANTA BARBARA COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY DUE TO GUSTY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC032-231045-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$

ECC030-231045-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
937 AM PDT Sun Oct 22 2017

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT TUESDAY FOR MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES DUE TO GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS...HOT
TEMPERATURES...AND LOW HUMIDITIES...

From today through Tuesday night, a prolonged duration of gusty
Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry conditions is expected.
Northeast winds are expected to gust between 30 and 45 mph across
wind favored passes and canyons of Los Angeles and Ventura counties
today. The Santa Ana winds are expected to increase in areal
coverage and intensity Monday into Tuesday, with peak gusts between
45 and 60 mph on Tuesday across wind favored portions of Los Angeles
and Ventura counties. The hottest and driest conditions are also
expected on Monday and Tuesday, when triple digit heat and
humidities lowering into single digits and lower teens will be
common across coastal and valley areas. Northeast to east winds
gusting between 30 and 40 mph will also bring elevated fire weather
concerns to portions of the Central Coast and higher terrain in San
Luis Obispo County through Monday. Of particular concern will be
Monday when the gusty offshore winds combine with humidities
lowering into the teens(locally single digits) and temperatures
rising to between 90 and 100 degrees along the Central Coast.

Very warm and dry conditions during the overnight hours in the
mountains, foothills, and wind prone areas will add to this long
duration fire weather threat. A Red Flag Warning is in effect today
through Tuesday for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties, and
may need to be extended into Tuesday night or  Wednesday as latest
model guidance shows lingering offshore winds and low humidities
into that period. The duration, strength, and widespread nature of
this Santa Ana wind event combined with the extreme heat and very
dry fuels will bring the most dangerous fire weather conditions that
Southwest California has seen in the past few years. If fire
ignition occurs, there will be the potential for very rapid spread
of wildfire with long range spotting and extreme fire behavior that
could lead to a threat to life and property.


$$



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