Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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610
FNUS71 KAKQ 251247
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Big Woods BW05...VA Department of Game and Inland Fisheries
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
847 AM EDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on September 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail across the Mid-Atlantic today.
Meanwhile, Hurricane Maria will gradually track north well off the
Southeast coast. Maria is forecast to approach the Outer Banks
Tuesday into Wednesday, before pushing farther offshore Thursday
ahead of an approaching cold front late in the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Mixing height.......800-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 10 mph, increasing to 13 to 18
                    mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............44  48  53  50  47  44  47  50  53
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................69  74  78  80  81  82  82  82  82
RH..................90  79  71  67  63  61  62  63  64
20 FT wind dir......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd......5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.....10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft).......0.8 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6
Transp wind dir.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.....3   10  13  15  16  18  17  15  14
LVORI...............5   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   19  28  34  39  44  43  42  41
Chc of pcpn (%).....0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Haines index........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1000....2   13  20  27  32  41  38  35  31

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............59  64  70  74  78  82  83  85  86  87  88  89
Weather cov.........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type........                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............
Temp................80  76  73  72  71  71  70  69  68  68  68  69
RH..................68  79  87  90  90  90  93  93  97  97  97  93
20 FT wind dir......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.....14  14  14  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LVORI...............3   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.................32  13  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   9   9   10
Chc of pcpn (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Haines index........3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1000....22  13  4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 10 mph.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL, increasing to 2400-2500 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............89     89     87     85     84     82
Weather cov.........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov............
Temp................68     69     72     77     79     80
RH..................97     93     90     79     74     74
20 ft wind..........NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 7   NE 8   NE 8
20 ft wind gust.....15     15     15     15     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)........300    300    1100   1800   2500   2400
Transport wind......N 12   N 12   N 12   N 14   NE 18  NE 20
LVORI...............6      5      5      3      3      3
ADI.................10     13     15     25     39     42
Chc of pcpn (%).....20     20     20     20     20     20
Haines index........3      3      3      3      2      3
VRate kt-ft/1000....2      3      10     21     39     42

$$
Forecaster...MONTEFUSCO
Requested by...Matt Kline
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1716203.0/AKQ
.EMAIL matt.kline@dgif.virginia.gov



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