Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 081135
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACKWATER MARSH...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
635 AM EST MON FEB 8 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...PUT DISCUSSION TEXT HERE...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 1700-2300 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............55  55  55  66  66  66  72  72  72  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  37  37  38  39  41  42  43  44  44  44  41
RH..................64  67  67  67  67  62  60  57  55  55  55  62
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......9   8   8   8   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  12  13  14  14  12  9   7   6   6   7   8
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................10  10  14  14  14  15  16  17  17  19  20  7
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....3   3   5   7   9   13  14  13  12  12  14  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 99  99  99  94  94  94
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  36  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  35
RH..................70  72  75  75  75  75  75  78  78  78  82  82
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  10  10  10  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  13  14  16  17  16  13  9   7   5   3   3
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   6   6
ADI.................8   8   13  15  16  14  11  8   6   4   3   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....60  60  70  70  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....10  5   5   6   6   5   4   3   3   3   2   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON. SNOW LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MIN HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............90  90  90  89  89  89  94  94  94  95  95  95
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  35  36  37  38  38  39  39  38  37  36  35
RH..................82  85  85  85  85  85  82  82  85  89  92  89
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   8   9   12  14  15  15  16  15  15  14  15
LVORI...............6   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................7   10  14  17  20  26  31  35  33  31  29  17
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  50  50  70  70  70  70  70
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   7   10  13  15  22  29  36  33  30  28  25



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.BLACK.01/AKQ


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