Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 281757
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR YAMBERT SAR...ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1140 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1132 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAYS WEATHER WILL BE SIMILAR TO THAT OBSERVED
YESTERDAY. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO DEVELOP IN THE
NATIONAL PARK.  MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE PLENTIFUL THROUGH
AT LEAST THURSDAY.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM
THE STRONGER STORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EAST AROUND 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 1300...THEN 5.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500-7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................5 UNTIL 2100...THEN 4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 3700-4700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS 6-12 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 6-12 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR YAMBERT SAR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/28-11 61 25  5 54 86  NE  8  8 2 4   N 12  7254   N  8 53090  F
07/28-12 72 53 28 55 78 ENE 10 16 2 4   N 12  7544   N  8 55451  F
07/28-13 76 57 33 57 68 ENE 10 16 2 5   N 13  7153   N  9 55824  F
07/28-14 81 64 44 56 72 ENE 10 16 2 5 NNE 14  6762 NNE  9 56197  F
07/28-15 85 68 50 55 74 ENE 10 16 2 5 NNE 15  6371 NNE 10 56569  F
07/28-16 86 68 50 54 77   E 10 16 2 5 NNE 14  6364  NE  9 51797  F
07/28-17 88 68 50 52 82   E 10 16 3 5  NE 13  6357  NE  8 47024  F
07/28-18 89 68 50 51 83 ESE 10 16 3 5  NE 13  6351 ENE  8 42252  F
07/28-19 88 68 50 50 84  SE  9 15 3 5  NE  9  5863   E  6 29547 P
07/28-20 88 59 36 49 85 SSE  9  9 2 5 ENE  6  5376 ESE  3 16843 P
07/28-21 87 54 29 47 89   S  8  8 2 4   CALM  4889   CALM  4138 P
07/28-22 86 45 22 46 91   S  7  7 2 4 NNE  2  4719   CALM  4775 P
07/28-23 84 45 22 45 93 SSW  6  6 2 4 WNW  2  4549   CALM  5412 P
07/29-00 82 33 12 45 93 SSW  6  6 2 4   W  2  4378   CALM  6049 P
07/29-01 82 33 12 44 95  SW  7  7 2 4   W  2  4168 WSW  2  7803 P
07/29-02 82 33 12 44 95 WNW  8  8 2 4   W  3  3958   W  2  9557 P
07/29-03 82 33 12 43 99  NW  9 14 2 4   W  3  3748   W  3 11311 P
07/29-04 82 33 12 42100  NW  8  8 2 4   W  3  3665   W  3 10778 P
07/29-05 82 33 12 42100 WNW  6  6 2 4 WNW  3  3582 WNW  3 10245 P
07/29-06 91 24  5 43100 WNW  5  5 2 3  NW  3  3498  NW  3  9712 P
07/29-07 91 24  5 47 87  NW  5  5 2 3  NW  5  4353  NW  5 17076 P
07/29-08 91 24  5 51 76   N  5  5 2 3  NW  5  5207  NW  5 24440 P
07/29-09 91 24  5 55 66   N  5  5 2 3  NW  6  6062  NW  6 31804 P
07/29-10 91 24  5 57 63 NNE  5  5 2 3  NW  6  6078  NW  6 29282 P
07/29-11 91 24  5 57 64 ENE  3  3 2 3 WNW  6  6095 WNW  5 26759 P
07/29-12 92 31 10 56 66   E  3  3 2 4 WNW  6  6111 WNW  5 24237 P
07/29-13 92 44 21 55 70   E  3  3 2 4 WNW  6  5702 WNW  3 19539 P
07/29-14 92 57 33 53 75   E  5  5 2 5 WNW  6  5293 WNW  3 14841 P
07/29-15 92 63 42 52 77 ESE  5  5 2 5 WNW  5  4884   W  2 10143 P
07/29-16 92 63 42 51 77   E  6  6 2 5   W  5  4750   W  2  9836 P
07/29-17 92 63 42 51 74 ENE  6  6 2 5  SW  5  4617  SW  2  9530 P
07/29-18 96 75 60 50 74 ENE  6  6 2 5 SSW  3  4483 SSW  2  9224 P
07/29-19 96 75 60 48 76   E  5  5 2 5 SSW  5  4300   S  3 13446 P
07/29-20 96 75 60 47 77 ESE  2  2 2 5   S  6  4117   S  5 17669 P
07/29-21 96 75 60 46 79   CALM  1 2 5 SSE  7  3934 SSE  7 21891 P
07/29-22 96 75 60 45 86  SE  2  2 2 5 SSE  9  3777 SSE  9 28602 P
07/29-23 96 75 60 44 95  SE  5  5 2 5  SE 10  3619  SE 12 35313 P
07/30-00 96 63 42 44100  SE  7  7 2 5  SE 12  3462 ESE 14 42023  F
07/30-01 96 63 42 43100  SE  6  6 2 5  SE  9  3218  SE 12 34210 P
07/30-02 96 63 42 43100   E  5  5 2 5   S  7  2974  SE 10 26397 P
07/30-03 96 63 42 42100   E  3  3 2 5   S  5  2731  SE  8 18584 P
07/30-04 96 63 42 41100   E  3  3 2 5 SSE  5  2761 ESE  8 18144 P
07/30-05 96 63 42 41 99   E  6  6 2 5  SE  3  2792 ESE  7 17704 P
07/30-06 95 60 38 42 93   E  7  7 2 5 ESE  3  2822   E  7 17264 P
07/30-07 95 60 38 44 85   E  9 14 2 5  SE  6  3173   E  8 23637 P
07/30-08 95 60 38 46 80  NE 10 16 2 5 SSE  8  3523 ESE  9 30011 P
07/30-09 95 60 38 49 74  NE 12 18 2 5 SSE 10  3873 ESE 10 36384 P
07/30-10 95 60 38 50 74  NE 12 18 2 5 SSE 14  4076 ESE 14 48765  F
07/30-11 95 60 38 50 77 ENE 10 17 2 5  SE 16  4279 ESE 16 61145   G
07/30-12 88 64 44 50 80 ENE 10 16 2 5  SE 20  4482 ESE 18 73526   G
07/30-13 88 64 44 49 83 ENE 12 18 2 5  SE 17  4234 ESE 17 64634   G
07/30-14 88 64 44 48 84 ENE 13 20 2 5 SSE 16  3986 ESE 16 55741  F
07/30-15 88 64 44 48 83 ENE 13 21 2 5 SSE 15  3739 ESE 15 46849  F
07/30-16 88 64 44 47 85 ENE 12 18 2 5   S 16  3629  SE 14 42127  F
07/30-17 88 64 44 46 87   E 10 16 2 5   S 16  3518 SSE 13 37405 P
07/30-18 83 53 28 45 89   E  9 15 2 4 SSW 17  3408 SSE 12 32682 P
07/30-19 83 53 28 44 91   E  9 14   4
07/30-20 83 53 28 42 97 ESE  9 15   4
07/30-21 83 53 28 41100 ESE  9 15   4
07/30-22 83 53 28 40100  SE  9 15   4
07/30-23 83 53 28 40100 SSE  9 15   4
07/31-00 67 23  5 39100   S  9 15   3
07/31-01 67 23  5 40 99   S  9 14   3
07/31-02 67 23  5 40 99 SSW  8 14   3
07/31-03 67 23  5 39100  SW  8 13   3
07/31-04 67 23  5 38100 WSW  8  8   3
07/31-05 67 23  5 38100   W  7  7   3
07/31-06 65 32 11 38100   W  7  7   4

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RJK
REQUESTED BY...RICH BROWNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140728.YAMBE.01/BOU



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