Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 281238
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR PUMPKIN RIDGE...OTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
638 AM MDT WED SEP 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ANOTHER DAY OF
DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN EASTERLY BY
LATE MORNING AND INCREASE SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  SMOKE
DISPERSION WILL IMPROVE WITH SUFFICIENT LOFTING OF THE PLUME
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

BY THURSDAY...THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST...
BUT THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY AND WARM. WINDS SHOULD INCREASE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.  SOME MOISTURE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE INTO THE AREA BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT THERE IS ONLY A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-19%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    EAST/SOUTHEAST 6-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...INCREASING TO
                    8400-9400 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN GOOD AFTER 1500.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........75%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........25%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7800-8000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1500. GOOD AFTER 1700.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PUMPKIN RIDGE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

09/28-06  0  0  0 46 65 NNW  5  5 3 1 WNW 13   514   N  3  1788 P
09/28-07  0  0  0 48 63 NNW  3  3 3 1 WNW 13   593 NNE  5  2346 P
09/28-08  0  0  0 52 57   N  2  2 3 1 WNW 13   673  NE  5  2979 P
09/28-09  0  0  0 57 49   N  2  2 3 1 WNW 12   752  NE  6  3688 P
09/28-10  0  0  0 64 39 NNE  3  3 3 1 WNW 12  3161 ENE  6 15943 P
09/28-11  1  0  0 71 30   E  5  5 3 1   W 12  5570 ESE  6 28866 P
09/28-12  1  0  0 76 25 ESE  6  6 3 1   W 12  7979  SE  6 42458  F
09/28-13  2  0  0 80 22 ESE  6  6 3 1   W 12  8524  SE  7 48229  F
09/28-14  3  0  0 81 20 ESE  7  7 3 1   W 12  9069  SE  7 54368  F
09/28-15  4  0  0 82 19 ESE  7  7 3 1   W 12  9615 SSE  7 60874   G
09/28-16  6  0  0 82 19 ESE  8  8 3 1   W 10  9313  SE  9 71350   G
09/28-17  7  0  0 81 20 ESE  9  9 3 1   W 10  9012  SE 10 81023   G
09/28-18  7  0  0 79 21 ESE  9 14 3 1   W  9  8710  SE 12 89895   G
09/28-19  7  0  0 74 26 ESE  9  9 3 1   W  9  6183 ESE 15 78492   G
09/28-20  8  0  0 68 32   E  9  9 3 1 WSW  9  3655 ESE 17 55087  F
09/28-21  8  0  0 63 40   E  8  8 3 1  SW  8  1128   E 20 19678 P
09/28-22  8  0  0 59 47   E  7  7 3 1  SW  9   984 ESE 20 16388 P
09/28-23  8  0  0 58 49   E  7  7 3 1  SW  9   840 ESE 18 13326 P
09/29-00  8  0  0 56 53   E  6  6 3 1  SW  9   696  SE 17 10492 P
09/29-01  8  0  0 54 56   E  5  5 3 1  SW 10   669  SE 15  8977 P
09/29-02  9  0  0 53 57   E  5  5 4 1 SSW 12   641  SE 14  7553 P
09/29-03 13  0  0 50 63   E  5  5 4 1 SSW 13   614 SSE 12  6219 P
09/29-04 13  0  0 48 68   E  5  5 4 1  SW 13   620  SE  9  5147 P
09/29-05 15  0  0 47 71 ENE  6  6 4 1  SW 12   626  SE  8  4133 P
09/29-06  9  0  0 46 73 ENE  6  6 4 1 WSW 12   633  SE  6  3099 P
09/29-07  9  0  0 47 75 ENE  5  5 4 1 WSW 12   729 ESE  5  2894 P
09/29-08  9  0  0 50 71   E  3  3 4 1   W 10   825   E  3  2510 P
09/29-09 13  0  0 55 61   E  2  2 4 1 WNW 10   922 ENE  2  1948 P
09/29-10 13  0  0 60 54   E  2  2 4 1 WNW  8  1440 ENE  2  3593 P
09/29-11 13  0  0 66 45  SE  3  3 4 1 WNW  7  1958   E  3  5634 P
09/29-12 26  1  0 71 38  SE  5  5 4 1 WNW  5  2476 ESE  3  8070 P
09/29-13 26  1  0 75 32  SE  6  6 4 1   W  5  4249 ESE  5 17509 P
09/29-14 26  1  0 78 28  SE  7  7 4 1 SSW  5  6022  SE  6 30004 P
09/29-15 34  1  0 79 26  SE  8  8 4 1   S  5  7795  SE  7 45553  F
09/29-16 34  1  0 80 25  SE  9 14 4 1   S  7  7903  SE  8 54393  F
09/29-17 34  1  0 79 26  SE 10 15 3 1   S  8  8010  SE  9 63457   G
09/29-18 47  2  0 77 28  SE 10 16 3 1   S 10  8118  SE 10 72745   G
09/29-19 47  2  0 73 32  SE  9  9 3 1   S 12  5617 SSE 12 54845  F
09/29-20 47  2  0 68 38 SSE  7  7 3 1   S 13  3116 SSE 13 32928 P
09/29-21 47  2  0 64 45 SSE  6  6 3 1   S 14   615 SSE 13  6995 P
09/29-22 47  2  0 61 51 SSE  5  5 3 1   S 16   588 SSE 12  6163 P
09/29-23 47  2  0 59 56 SSE  5  5 3 1   S 18   560 SSE 12  5379 P
09/30-00 56  2  0 57 62 SSE  5  5 3 1   S 20   533   S 10  4645 P
09/30-01 56  2  0 56 64 ESE  3  3 3 1 SSW 20   551  SE  8  3701 P
09/30-02 56  2  0 54 69 NNE  2  2 3 1 SSW 20   569   E  6  2684 P
09/30-03 56  2  0 52 74 NNW  2  2 3 1 SSW 20   588 ENE  3  1594 P
09/30-04 56  2  0 51 78   N  2  2 3 1 SSW 18   576 ENE  5  2193 P
09/30-05 56  2  0 50 82   N  3  3 3 1 SSW 18   564  NE  6  2765 P
09/30-06 54  4  1 49 86   N  3  3 3 1   S 17   552 NNE  7  3312 P
09/30-07 54  4  1 50 83   N  3  3 3 1 SSW 17   621 NNE  6  2937 P
09/30-08 54  4  1 52 77 NNE  3  3 2 1 SSW 17   690 NNE  3  2386 P
09/30-09 54  4  1 55 69 NNE  3  3 2 1 SSW 16   759 NNE  2  1659 P
09/30-10 54  4  1 60 58 NNE  3  3 2 1 SSW 16  2575   N  3  7014 P
09/30-11 54  4  1 65 48  NE  3  3 2 1  SW 15  4391   N  3 14328 P
09/30-12 59  6  1 70 41 ENE  3  3 2 1  SW 14  6206   N  5 23601 P
09/30-13 59  6  1 74 35 ENE  3  3 2 1 WSW 13  7286 NNE  3 20671 P
09/30-14 59  6  1 77 31   E  5  5 3 1 WSW 10  8366   E  2 15655 P
09/30-15 59  6  1 78 30   E  5  5 3 1   W  9  9446   CALM  8553 P
09/30-16 59  6  1 78 30 ENE  5  5 3 1   W  8  8885 ESE  2 15332 P
09/30-17 59  6  1 76 32   N  3  3 3 1  NW  7  8324  SE  3 21190 P
09/30-18 58 11  2 73 35   N  3  3 3 2  NW  7  7762 SSE  3 26127 P
09/30-19 58 11  2 70 40   N  3  3 3 2 NNW  6  5369 SSE  3 16233 P
09/30-20 58 11  2 66 47   N  3  3 3 2 NNW  3  2976 SSE  3  7979 P
09/30-21 58 11  2 62 56   N  3  3 3 2   N  2   584  SE  2  1364 P
09/30-22 58 11  2 60 61   N  3  3 3 2  NE  2   553 ESE  2  1126 P
09/30-23 58 11  2 58 66 NNE  3  3 3 2 ESE  3   523  NE  2   906 P
10/01-00 43  5  1 56 72 NNE  3  3 3 1   S  3   493   CALM   704 P
10/01-01 43  5  1 55 75 NNE  3  3 3 1   S  3   481   N  2   861 P
10/01-02 43  5  1 54 77   N  3  3 3 1   S  3   469 NNW  2  1009 P
10/01-03 43  5  1 52 83   N  3  3 3 1 SSW  5   457 NNW  3  1148 P
10/01-04 43  5  1 51 86   N  3  3 3 1 SSW  5   445 NNW  3  1274 P
10/01-05 43  5  1 50 89 NNW  2  2 3 1  SW  5   434 NNW  3  1392 P
10/01-06 41  2  0 50 89  NW  2  2 3 1  SW  5   422 NNW  5  1502 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...ZACHERY SULLIVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160928.PUMPK.01/BOU


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