Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 231552
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR APEX VALLEY FIRE...OTHER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
852 AM MST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ON
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TODAY AHEAD OF A STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN. SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
MOUNTAINS ALONG AND WEST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE, WITH JUST
ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE FOOTHILLS OF JEFFERSON
COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS TO
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON IN THE FOOTHILLS AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
TONGHT. A COLD FRONT SHOULD REACH THE AREA TUESDAY BEFORE SUNRISE
WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO NORTH AROUND 10 MPH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION TUESDAY BUT UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW COULD FALL THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(60-65%) UNTIL 0800, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%) UNTIL 0900, THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    1100.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........40%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 7200-8200 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1200, THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600,
                    THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

TIME (MST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY (%).........67  67  84  86  83  80  81  85  84  83  82  82
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  SW  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............38  41  44  47  48  48  45  42  43  38  36  34
RH..............49  46  44  42  40  40  45  49  45  52  56  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  12  12  12  7   7   7   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.4 4.6 6.0 7.4 8.8 7.8 6.8 5.7 4.3 2.8 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
SDSPL KT-FT/100026  55  95  117 134 148 116 87  63  43  25  11

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0200, THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(55-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........61%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL UNTIL 1900, THEN 1300-2300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 2300, THEN WEST 15-25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1800, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1900, THEN
                    POOR UNTIL 0200, THEN FAIR UNTIL 0300, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MIN HUMIDITY........47%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 3400-4400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100, THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR APEX VALLEY FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

01/23-09 67  8  2 38 49  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 40  2222  SW 14 26057 P
01/23-10 67  9  2 41 46  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 41  3418 WSW 18 55039  F
01/23-11 84 12  2 44 44  SW  9 15 3 1   W 44  4613 WSW 23 94488   G
01/23-12 86 15  3 47 42  SW  9 14 3 1   W 47  6044 WSW 22116802    V
01/23-13 83 18  4 48 40  SW  9 14 3 1   W 51  7428 WSW 21134262    V
01/23-14 80 19  4 48 40  SW  9 15 3 1   W 54  8812 WSW 20148265    V
01/23-15 81 19  4 45 45  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 46  7783  SW 17115750    V
01/23-16 85 20  4 42 49  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 38  6755  SW 15 87255   G
01/23-17 84 20  4 43 45 SSW  5  5 3 1 WSW 29  5726 SSW 13 62779   G
01/23-18 83 21  4 38 52 SSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 32  4275 SSW 12 42561  F
01/23-19 82 21  4 36 56 SSW  5  5 4 1 WSW 36  2824  SW 10 25269 P
01/23-20 82 21  4 34 59 SSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 38  1373  SW  9 10902 P
01/23-21 82 22  4 33 56 WSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 39  1362  SW 10 11772 P
01/23-22 82 22  4 32 58 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 41  1350 WSW 10 12627 P
01/23-23 74 31 10 31 58   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 43  1339 WSW 12 13465 P
01/24-00 74 31 10 30 58   W 10 17 3 1   W 38  1560 WSW 15 21054 P
01/24-01 74 31 10 30 58   W 12 17 3 1   W 33  1781   W 20 30164 P
01/24-02 58 26  6 30 56   W 10 17 3 1   W 29  2002   W 23 40794  F
01/24-03 58 26  6 29 58   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1606   W 23 31346 P
01/24-04 58 26  6 28 58   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 24  1211   W 22 22582 P
01/24-05 69 26  6 25 60   W  9 15 4 1 NNW 22   816   W 21 14503 P
01/24-06 69 26  6 24 61   W  8 13 4 1 NNW 24   927 WNW 18 15002 P
01/24-07 69 26  6 24 60 WNW  7  7 4 1 NNW 25  1038 WNW 17 15146 P
01/24-08 69 26  6 25 57 WNW  6  6 4 1 NNW 26  1149  NW 15 14809 P
01/24-09 69 26  6 26 55  NW  6  6 4 1 NNW 28  2202  NW 17 32203 P
01/24-10 69 26  6 27 54 NNW  6  6 3 1 NNW 29  3255  NW 18 53256  F
01/24-11 85 28  8 29 51 NNW  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4308  NW 21 77968   G
01/24-12 85 28  8 30 49   N  8 13 3 1  NW 32  4350  NW 18 69600   G
01/24-13 85 28  8 31 47   N  9 15 3 1  NW 35  4391  NW 16 61059   G
01/24-14 85 28  8 30 49   N 10 16 3 1  NW 37  4432 NNW 14 52346  F
01/24-15 85 28  8 28 52   N 10 16 3 1  NW 36  3932 NNW 13 43783  F
01/24-16 85 28  8 26 56   N  9 15 3 1  NW 36  3432 NNW 12 35895 P
01/24-17 81 11  2 23 62   N  8 13 3 1  NW 35  2932 NNW 12 28684 P
01/24-18 81 11  2 21 67   N  7  7 3 1  NW 33  2496 NNW 10 22575 P
01/24-19 81 11  2 20 69 NNW  6  6 3 1  NW 33  2061 NNW  9 17112 P
01/24-20 81 11  2 19 71  NW  5  5 3 1  NW 32  1626 NNW  9 12294 P
01/24-21 81 11  2 18 73  NW  5  5 3 1  NW 31  1467  NW  8 10207 P
01/24-22 81 11  2 18 71 WNW  5  5 3 1 NNW 30  1307 WNW  7  8311 P
01/24-23 76  4  1 17 74   W  6  6 3 1 NNW 29  1147 WNW  7  6608 P
01/25-00 76  4  1 16 76   W  6  6 3 1 NNW 28  1080 WNW  7  6548 P
01/25-01 76  4  1 16 75   W  7  7 3 1  NW 25  1012   W  7  6447 P
01/25-02 76  4  1 16 73 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 24   945 WSW  8  6305 P
01/25-03 76  4  1 15 76   W  7  7 3 1  NW 22  1135   W  9  9648 P
01/25-04 76  4  1 15 75   W  7  7 3 1  NW 20  1326 WNW 12 13685 P
01/25-05 76  8  2 14 77   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 17  1516 WNW 14 18416 P
01/25-06 76  8  2 14 74   W  7  7 3 1  NW 15  1635 WNW 16 22335 P
01/25-07 76  8  2 14 72   W  7  7 3 1  NW 13  1753 WNW 17 26615 P
01/25-08 76  8  2 16 64   W  7  7 3 1  NW 10  1872 WNW 20 31253 P
01/25-09 76  8  2 19 57   W  7  7 3 1  NW 12  2509 WNW 18 41274  F
01/25-10 76  8  2 23 49 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 12  3146 WNW 18 50984  F
01/25-11 62  4  1 26 44 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 13  3782 WNW 18 60383   G
01/25-12 62  4  1 28 41 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 14  4850 WNW 18 79106   G
01/25-13 62  4  1 29 40  NW  7  7 3 1   W 15  5917 WNW 20 98574   G
01/25-14 62  4  1 29 41  NW  7  7 3 1   W 16  6984 WNW 20118784    V
01/25-15 62  4  1 27 43  NW  7  7 3 1   W 21  5969 WNW 16 86137   G
01/25-16 62  4  1 26 43 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 25  4954 WNW 14 58722  F
01/25-17 54  2  0 24 46 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 31  3939 WNW 10 36539 P
01/25-18 52  2  0 22 49  NW  6  6 3 1   W 31  3373 WNW 10 31354 P
01/25-19 47  2  0 21 50 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 31  2806 WNW 10 26145 P
01/25-20 45  2  0 20 52 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 30  2239 WNW 10 20912 P
01/25-21 40  2  0 20 50 WNW  6  6 3 1 WNW 29  2168 WNW 12 22674 P
01/25-22 29  2  0 19 51   W  6  6 4 1  NW 28  2096   W 14 24276 P
01/25-23 23  1  0 18 51   W  6  6 4 1  NW 25  2025   W 15 25717 P
01/26-00 22  1  0 17 52   W  6  6 4 1  NW 25  1755   W 13 20056 P
01/26-01 20  1  0 16 54   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 24  1484   W 12 15082 P
01/26-02 19  1  0 15 56   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 23  1214   W 10 10794 P
01/26-03 19  1  0 14 58 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  1169   W  9  9677 P
01/26-04 19  1  0 14 58 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 21  1124   W  9  8616 P
01/26-05 19  1  0 15 56 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 20  1079   W  8  7610 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...SCHLATTER
REQUESTED BY...501
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1700670.0/BOU



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