Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 261243
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for AG Piles...USFS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
543 AM MST Sun Feb 26 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...West to northwest flow aloft will become more
southwest and decrease a little by tonight. There should still be
enough flow to keep downslope winds at the surface and provide
some mixing. Another batch of moisture could produce some snow
showers late tonight. There will be a better chance of snow Monday
night through Tuesday night as a stronger system moves through.
This should produce some wind and probably light snowfall.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....25-30.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 4-8 mph until 0800, then west
                    6-12 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL rising to 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15-20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1100, then
                    good.
Haines Index........4 low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-40%). Slight chance of snow
                    showers after 0300.
Min temperature.....10-15.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6-12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL until 1900, then lowering to 1000 ft
                    AGL by 2100.
Transport winds.....West 15-25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 1100, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of snow until 1300, then
                    chance of snow.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to 2000 ft AGL by 1000, and 5000 ft AGL
                    by 1400.
Transport winds.....West 20 mph increasing to 35 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1300, then very good.
Haines Index........4 low.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Snow likely. Lows around 18. Highs in the upper 20s. Southwest
winds 8-16 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of snow. Lows around 7. Highs in the upper
20s. West winds 10-20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows around 12. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
8-16 mph.


Fire Weather Table for AG Piles.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

02/26-07 15  0  0 10 43   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 17  1829   W 17 27846 P
02/26-08 13  0  0 12 44 NNW  8 13 4 1 WNW  8  2079   W 20 36304 P
02/26-09  9  0  0 15 44 WNW  9 15 4 1 WNW  7  2890   W 20 49835  F
02/26-10  9  0  0 17 44   W 10 16 3 1   W  7  3701   W 20 63010   G
02/26-11 17  1  0 22 39   W  9 15 3 1   W  6  4512   W 20 75829   G
02/26-12 20  1  0 24 40   W  9 15 3 1   W 10  4943   W 18 80441   G
02/26-13 20  2  0 26 38   W 12 18 2 1   W 15  5374   W 18 84596   G
02/26-14 17  4  1 26 40   W 10 16 2 1   W 21  5805   W 17 88292   G
02/26-15 21  4  1 25 40   W  9 15 2 1   W 23  5360   W 18 83543   G
02/26-16 29  4  1 25 38   W  9 15 2 1   W 25  4914   W 18 78457   G
02/26-17 35  1  0 23 40 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 28  4468   W 18 73033   G
02/26-18 31  1  0 20 43 WSW  8  8 3 1   W 26  3326   W 17 49296  F
02/26-19 30  1  0 16 51 WSW  8 14 4 1 WSW 25  2184 WSW 15 29040 P
02/26-20 26  1  0 13 55 WSW  8 14 5 1 WSW 25  1042 WSW 14 12264 P
02/26-21 29  1  0 11 58 WSW  9 15 5 1 WSW 23  1043 WSW 15 13268 P
02/26-22 28  1  0 10 63 WSW  9 15 5 1 WSW 21  1044 WSW 16 14274 P
02/26-23 35  1  0 10 60 WSW  8 14 5 1 WSW 20  1046 WSW 17 15284 P
02/27-00 38  0  0 11 58 WSW 10 16 5 1 WSW 21  1058   W 18 16448 P
02/27-01 38  0  0 12 58 WSW 12 17 5 1  SW 22  1069   W 18 17634 P
02/27-02 42  5  1 13 55 WSW 13 20 5 1  SW 23  1081   W 20 18843 P
02/27-03 43 10  2 13 58 WSW 12 20 5 1  SW 25  1147   W 22 21714 P
02/27-04 43 14  3 13 58 WSW 12 20 4 1  SW 28  1213   W 23 24783 P
02/27-05 35 19  4 14 67 WSW 13 21 4 1  SW 31  1278   W 25 28049 P
02/27-06 39 19  4 16 62 WSW 13 20 4 1  SW 38  1243   W 24 26060 P
02/27-07 44 19  4 17 63 WSW 13 20 4 1 WSW 46  1208 WSW 23 24139 P
02/27-08 48 19  4 19 62 WSW 13 21 4 1 WSW 53  1173 WSW 22 21899 P
02/27-09 52 19  4 23 56 WSW 13 21 4 1 WSW 54  2288 WSW 25 50382  F
02/27-10 57 19  4 26 52  SW 14 21 3 1 WSW 56  3402 WSW 29 86357   G
02/27-11 61 23  5 30 47  SW 14 22 3 1 WSW 58  4516 WSW 33129822    V
02/27-12 65 24  5 31 47  SW 15 23 3 1 WSW 58  4960 WSW 36152502     E
02/27-13 69 25  5 32 46  SW 16 25 2 1 WSW 59  5405 WSW 38176957     E
02/27-14 73 27  7 32 47  SW 16 25 2 1 WSW 59  5849 WSW 40203186     E
02/27-15 76 28  8 30 51  SW 15 25 2 1   W 61  5353 WSW 39184665     E
02/27-16 80 29  8 28 54  SW 15 23 2 1   W 62  4856 WSW 39166380     E
02/27-17 84 30  9 27 55  SW 14 22 2 1   W 64  4360 WSW 39148331    V
02/27-18 84 30  9 25 59  SW 14 23 2 1   W 67  3493 WSW 38113726    V
02/27-19 83 30  9 24 60  SW 15 24 2 1   W 69  2626 WSW 36 81661   G
02/27-20 83 30  9 23 62  SW 15 24 2 1   W 71  1760 WSW 35 52136  F
02/27-21 83 30  9 23 64  SW 14 22 2 1   W 70  1655 WSW 31 44629  F
02/27-22 82 30  9 22 69 WSW 13 20 2 1 WSW 68  1551 WSW 28 37679 P
02/27-23 82 25  5 22 71 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW 67  1447 WSW 25 31286 P
02/28-00 81 25  5 21 72 WSW  9 14 2 1 WSW 61  1455 WSW 23 29051 P
02/28-01 79 25  5 20 73 WSW  8 13 2 1 WSW 56  1464 WSW 21 26788 P
02/28-02 78 25  5 19 74  SW  7  7 2 1 WSW 51  1472 WSW 20 24496 P
02/28-03 77 25  5 19 73  SW  7  7 2 1 WSW 47  1410 WSW 17 21496 P
02/28-04 75 25  5 18 77  SW  7  7 2 1  SW 44  1347 WSW 16 18669 P
02/28-05 74 39 17 18 77  SW  7  7 2 1  SW 41  1285  SW 14 16017 P
02/28-06 74 39 17 18 76  SW  7  7 2 1  SW 44  1276  SW 13 14677 P
02/28-07 73 39 17 18 74  SW  7  7 3 1  SW 46  1268  SW 13 13353 P
02/28-08 72 39 17 19 71 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 48  1260  SW 12 12045 P
02/28-09 75 39 17 21 66  SW  7  7 3 1  SW 47  1920  SW 13 21307 P
02/28-10 80 39 17 24 60  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 47  2581 SSW 15 32596 P
02/28-11 83 63 42 26 57  SW  8 13 3 1 WSW 46  3242   S 16 45911  F
02/28-12 83 63 42 28 55  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 37  3470 SSW 13 39191 P
02/28-13 84 63 42 28 57 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 29  3698  SW  9 31163 P
02/28-14 84 63 42 28 58   W 12 18 3 1 WSW 20  3925  SW  7 21828 P
02/28-15 84 63 42 26 61   W  9 16 3 1 WSW 21  3683 WSW  7 21774 P
02/28-16 85 63 42 24 64   W  7  7 3 1 WSW 21  3441 WNW  7 21551 P
02/28-17 87 36 14 22 65 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 21  3199  NW  8 21157 P
02/28-18 86 36 14 20 66 WNW  7  7 3 1   W 21  2939  NW  8 21812 P
02/28-19 83 36 14 18 67 WNW  8 14 4 1   W 21  2679  NW  9 22047 P
02/28-20 81 36 14 17 64 WNW 10 16 4 1   W 21  2419  NW 10 21862 P
02/28-21 72 36 14 16 61 WNW 12 18 3 1   W 28  2587  NW 17 37519 P
02/28-22 54 36 14 14 61 WNW 13 21 3 1   W 35  2756 WNW 23 55013  F
02/28-23 45 10  2 13 58   W 14 22 2 1   W 40  2924 WNW 29 74346   G
03/01-00 45 10  2 12 56   W 14 23 2 1   W 45  3278 WNW 32 92424   G
03/01-01 44 10  2 10 58 WNW 15 23 2 1 WNW 48  3632 WNW 36112463    V
03/01-02 43 10  2  9 57 WNW 15 24 2 1 WNW 52  3987 WNW 39134462    V
03/01-03 40 10  2  9 55 WNW 15 25 3 1  NW 52  3459 WNW 38114033    V
03/01-04 33 10  2  8 57   W 16 25 4 1  NW 51  2931 WNW 37 94408   G
03/01-05 29  4  1  8 57   W 16 25 5 1 NNW 51  2404 WNW 36 75586   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...GIMMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...Craig Brown
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700983.20/BOU


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