Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 271239
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARDEN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
639 AM MDT WED JUL 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0618 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COUPLE OF WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE DISTURBANCES WILL BRING INCREASING
CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...AND SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 60S
BOTH DAYS. HUMIDITIES WILL BE IN THE 30S TODAY AND RECOVER TO THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S TONIGHT. HUMIDITIES WILL BE 45 TO 50 PERCENT
ON THURSDAY. DOWNSLOPE/DOWN-VALLEY WINDS AT 5 TO 10 MPH THIS
MORNING WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE
NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH TONIGHT. ON THURSDAY...WINDS WILL BE
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH AND BECOME NORTHEAST LATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................31 PERCENT.
LAL.................4...16 TO 25 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWN-VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING SHIFTING TO THE NORTH BY AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8900
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................44 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8900 FT AGL IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 400
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................46 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...ARTHUR
REQUESTED BY...IC VANNOY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160727.ARDEN.01/BYZ



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