Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 281836
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Cheraw A...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Columbia SC
236 PM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.DISCUSSION...A weak cold front will cross the area from the
north late this afternoon. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms
are possible ahead of the front through 2300L. West to southwest winds
will veer to the north by sunset as the front moves south of the area.
Min rh will range from 40 to 45 percent. No significant fog is
expected overnight due to light northerly winds and drier air moving into
the area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms late...then a
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms late.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 11 to 12 mph with gusts up to 25
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5300-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 21 to 22 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Max ADI.............73.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  51  51
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  30
Temp............79  81  81
RH..............47  44  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W
20 FT wind dir..240 250 250
20 FT wind spd..12  12  11
20 FT wind gust.25  25  20
Mix hgt (kft)...6.3 6.2 5.3
Trasnp wind dir.W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  22  21
LVORI...........1   1   1
ADI.............73  73  65
LAL.............3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................9-15 strikes until 1900...then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable...then
                    becoming northwest around 5 mph late in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......2000-3600 ft AGL...decreasing to 600-1600 ft
                    AGL in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Min ADI.............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........51     42     35     28     22     19
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30     10     10     0      0      0
Temp............79     73     67     64     61     59
RH..............47     59     70     70     75     78
20 ft wind......W 9    SW 4   W 4    W 5    W 5    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.15     5      5      10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   2000   1100   700    600    600
Transport wind..W 17   NW 9   N 10   N 12   N 10   N 9
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      4      4
ADI.............45     6      5      5      5      4
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming northeast 5
                    to 6 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon...then becoming light and variable
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1800 ft AGL...increasing to 2500-4100 ft
                    AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............3.
Max ADI.............33.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........18        18        23        34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............57        61        72        78
RH..............80        75        55        42
20 FT wind......NW 4G5    N 4G5     NE 6G10   NE 4G5
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1100      2900      3800
Transport wind..N 8       N 9       NE 10     NE 6
LVORI...........5         4         1         2
ADI.............4         12        32        21
LAL.............1         1         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Morrison
Requested by...Tom Dooley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705377.0/CAE


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