Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 241628
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Middle Creek Wildland Exercise...South Central Task Force IMT
National Weather Service State College PA
1228 PM EDT Sat Jun 24 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1300 EDT on June 24.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...

Drying will continue this afternoon with humidity dropping to
around 40 percent in the exercise area. The low humidity will
last through the rest of the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph with gusts up to 20
                    mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5...or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  25  20  16  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  83  83  83  83
RH..............49  46  46  44  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W
20 FT wind spd..10  7   8   10  9
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening...becoming
                    light and variable.
Haines Index........3 to 5...or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  29  38  38  37  24  11  14  15  21  22  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  80  79  76  72  69  68  67  65  65  65  64
RH..............44  45  50  57  61  68  70  73  78  78  78  81
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.15  10  10  10          5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....5   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming west 7 to
                    12 mph with gusts up to 20 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  26  21  25  29  33  36  39  42  39  35  32
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  66  67  69  71  74  75  76  78  78  79  79
RH..............81  78  75  68  61  53  50  46  42  40  39  38
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   5   6   7   9   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Dangelo
Requested by...Gary Brouse
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711541.0/CTP
.EMAIL gebrouse@gmail.com



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