Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 231742
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOG WAY...DCNR-FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
142 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

VERY LIGHT WINDS AND MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES TODAY. THERE IS A 0 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN.

EXTENDED FORECAST: THE REGION WILL REMAIN IN A RELATIVELY DRY PATTERN FOR THE NEXT WEEK. A WEAK FRONTAL
SYSTEM SHOULD INCREASE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. MAY BE THE
BEST CHANCE OF ANY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 1-5 DAYS.

&&

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............3   2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   9   9   10
WEATHER COV.........                                    PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........                                    FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77  75  72  70  69  66  64  62  62  61  59  58
RH..................52  55  66  68  68  75  78  84  81  84  90  93
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW  W   SE  SE  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............13  15  16  17  17  17  17  18  18  20  23  24
WEATHER COV.........PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  60  61  66  70  75  77  80  82  82  82  82
RH..................93  90  90  78  73  64  60  56  53  53  51  51
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.8 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.1 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   1   5   8   12  13  13  13  13  13  13
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY DAYHOFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160824.LOGWA.01/CTP



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