Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 201259
FWSDTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH POND CONTROLLED FIRE...ANN ARBOR PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
859 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON MAY 20.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PROJECTING AFTERNOON RH TO DROP BELOW 35 PERCENT AS
TEMPERATURES REACH NEAR 70 AGAIN.  A GENERALLY LIGHT/VARIABLE
WIND AT THE SURFACE, FAVORING A NORTHEAST WIND JUST OF THE
SURFACE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH
                    LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 3100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION RATE....EXCELLENT (MAX...600).

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........24  28  33  38  43  53  63  73  74  76
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............61  65  68  69  70  70  71  70  69  67
RH..............52  43  36  34  32  31  31  32  34  37
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.    10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.    10  10  10  10  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 5.0 5.8 6.2 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.5 4.4 3.1
VRATE (KT-FT)...200 400 500 500 500 600 600 600 500 400

$$
FORECASTER...RICHTER
REQUESTED BY...DAVE BORNEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160520.SOUTH.01/DTX


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