Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 020329
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHITE...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
929 PM MDT WED JUL 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2103 MDT ON JULY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RELATIVELY DRIER MORE STABLE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...AS
CIRCULATION AROUND HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN...STEERS STORMS WESTWARD INTO ARIZONA.  WEATHER WILL
TURN MORE ACTIVE STARTING LATER THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES
DOWN THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE OVER NM.  THIS WILL ENHANCE STORM ACTIVITY
OVER THE BURN SITE...WITH GUSTY DOWNBURST WINDS TO 45 MPH OR MORE...FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HAIL AS THE MAIN THREATS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)
                    TOWARDS MORNING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL EARLY...DECREASING TO 200-500 FT AGL TOWARDS EARLY
                    THURSDAY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........48000 KNOT-FEET (FAIR) EARLY...BEGOMING 2800 KNOT-FEET (POOR)
                    TOWARDS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-70 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 9800-10800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 8 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........11200 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    82400 KNOT-FEET (GOOD) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-300 FT AGL BY EARLY
                    THURSDAY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........50400 KNOT-FEET (FAIR) EARLY...BEGOMING 1200 KNOT-FEET (POOR)
                    TOWARDS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.


$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150701.WHITE.01/EPZ


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