Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 170027
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Gotier Trace Fire...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
727 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure will remain over the burn area tonight. Expect
light northerly winds along with overnight lows in the mid 40s. The
cool temperatures will bring excellent overnight humidity recovery.
Light northeast winds are anticipated on Tuesday along with below
normal temperatures and afternoon humidities near 30 percent. Light
and variable winds are in store for Tuesday night with winds
trending to a more southeasterly direction by midday Wednesday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 3 to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  61  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  51
RH..............49  55  58  62  63  66  69  68  71  71
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 3 to 6 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL increasing to 2500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  47  47  53  59  66  69  72  75  75  76  75
RH..............76  83  86  74  62  48  42  37  33  34  33  34
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   3
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 3 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  67  65  62  58  56  54  53  52  52  51  49
RH..............34  43  48  54  64  69  71  71  74  71  74  80
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  E
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL increasing to 2700 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 OR or low to moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   8   15  22  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  49  52  57  63  69  74  78  80  82  82  80
RH..............83  80  77  69  60  51  43  37  35  34  34  36
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
Forecaster...24
Requested by...Wayne Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717332.0/EWX
.EMAIL wjackson@tfs.tamu.edu



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