Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 291251
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LODORE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
651 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG MONSOONAL SURGE COMBINED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRINGS THE LIKELIHOOD FOR WETTING RAIN TO
THE FIRE SITE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND POSSIBLY LATE TONIGHT
AS WELL. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A DRYING
TREND BEGINS THURSDAY THOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE SHOULD FUEL SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SURROUNDING HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL BY
MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (34600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3800 FT AGL THIS EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD (67300 KNOT-FT) BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.LODOR.01/GJT



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