Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 271023
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
323 AM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY ALLOWING FOR LOW CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON TODAY BEFORE GIVING WAY
TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AS WELL. BY THURSDAY...THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL EXIT TO THE EAST ALLOWING FOR A MODERATE AMPLIFIED
RIDGE AXIS TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A FEW
DEGREES OF WARMING ALONG THE COAST...WITH MORE EXTENSIVE WARMING
ACROSS INLAND AREAS...LIKELY UP TO THE MID 80S ACROSS INLAND
VALLEYS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BE SHALLOWER
DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WHICH SHOULD CAUSE SOME PATCHY FOG
TO OCCUR AT SOME COASTAL LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH MORNING
HOURS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THERE WILL BE LOCAL GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAIN RANGE AND THE WIND
PRONE PASSES AND CANYONS FROM WEST OF REFUGIO BEACH TO GAVIOTA.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW CLOUDS TO DELAY FROM FORMING UNTIL NEAR
SUNRISE BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS NEAR RUFUGIO BEACH.

OUTLOOK FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COOLING TREND IS LIKELY
ACROSS THE REGION AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE IN OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
DEEPEN AND POSSIBLY KEEP COASTAL AREAS PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN CLEARING TO THE BEACH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........16-18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THEN PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-53.
RH..................MAX 85-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER 2000 HOURS.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH AFTER 0300 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-3 FEET EARLY...BECOMING FLAT AFTER 2000 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS. =
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.01/LOX


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