Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 280218
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for Oak Flat Station...USFS ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
618 PM PST Mon Feb 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0730 PST on February 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An upper level trough of low pressure will
move out of the region early Tuesday morning. This system
will generate gusty northwest winds and a drying trend
on Tuesday. Gusty northwest to north winds will persist
Tuesday night, before shifting to northeast late Tuesday
night into Wednesday. As the flow turns more northeast
on Wednesday, there will be a continued warming and
drying trend.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the morning then mostly
                    sunny.
Temperature.........34 at 0730...Max 52.
RH..................85 percent at ignition...Min 35 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts
                    to 15 mph in the morning...diminishing
                    to 4 to 8 mph with gusts to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon.
20 foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to 30 mph in the morning...diminishing
                    to 8 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop winds......Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to 35 mph in the morning...diminishing
                    to 10 to 20 mph with gusts to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL at 0730...increasing to
                    4000 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Temperature.........Min 33.
RH..................Max 60 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest to north winds 4 to 8 mph
                    with gusts to 10 mph...becoming northeast
                    late.
20 foot winds.......Northwest to north winds 8 to 15 mph
                    with gusts to 20 mph...becoming northeast
                    late.
Ridgetop winds......Northwest to north winds 10 to 20 mph with
                    gusts to 30 mph becoming northeast late.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL early decreasing to 1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest to north winds 10 to 20 mph
                    becoming northeast 8 to 15 mph late.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny.
Temperature.........Max 61.
RH..................Min 25 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to 15 mph.
20 foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts
                    to 30 mph.
Ridgetop winds......Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to 35 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL early increasing to 5500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast winds 15 to 25 mph.

$$

Forecaster...GOMBERG
Requested by...Greg Herrera
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1703023.0/LOX
.EMAIL gherrera@fs.fed.us



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