Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 232100
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for PARLAMENT WF...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE
National Weather Service Miami FL
500 PM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms will continue to move southward from the fire burn
area into the Gulf of Mexico through the early evening hours. There could
still be some left over showers through the early evening hours over the burn
site, as a weak cold front moves through the area. The winds will be
from the southwest at 5 to 10 mph tonight, before swinging to a northeast
direction and increasing to around 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph on Saturday.
The relative humidity should only get down to around 50 percent on Saturday
along with a dispersion index in the mid 70s.

At this time, we are not expecting any fog to develop over the burn site as
the winds will remain up tonight.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent)...then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers likely
                    and a chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening,...then a slight chance of showers
                    until just after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2000,...then 1.
Mixing height.......2400-3600 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-1100 ft
                    AGL until just after midnight.
Transport winds.....East 21 to 25 mph...becoming northeast 9 to 15
                    mph after midnight.
Dispersion index....58...decreasing to 12.
LVORI...............4.
Ceiling (kft).......4000...increasing to 12000 until just after
                    midnight.

Time (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  69  73  73  73  62  62  62  50  50  50  50
Weather cov.....LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Temp............79  76  72  71  70  68  66  64  62  62  62  62
RH..............57  62  73  76  76  80  86  94  99  100 100 99
20 ft wind dir..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind dir..070 060 060 060 060 050 060 060 060 060 060 060
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 ft wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 2.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mixng wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Mixng wind spd..23  25  25  21  15  10  9   10  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..61  54  25  19  15  11  10  10  10  9   9   9
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   7
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL...increasing to 4600-4700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 16 mph...increasing to east 21
                    to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....11...increasing to 75.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......12000.

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1704512.8/MFL



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