Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 221126
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOX RX 5A...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
726 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY ALLOWING FOR AN EAST COAST SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP BY EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. THE WIND AT THE BURN SITE WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WITH THE SEA BREEZE ARRIVING AROUND 1 PM. THERE WILL ALSO
BE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
BOUNDARY AND THEN PUSHING INLAND WITH THE BREEZE THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4200-5600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 1 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10...INCREASING TO 34 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........11     24     51     51     55     45
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............83     88     91     90     86     83
RH..............67     55     50     52     61     70
20 FT WIND......W 1    N 4    E 5    E 5    E 5    SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   4800   5600   5600   4200   1400
MIXNG WIND......W 1    N 8    E 9    E 9    E 9    SE 6
DISPERSION IDX..10     29     38     38     32     19
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1      3
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     40     40     40     20
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 94 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....19...DECREASING TO 4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 8 MPH...INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....13...INCREASING TO 48.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BRABANDER
REQUESTED BY...GRANT GIFFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.LOXRX.01/MFL


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