Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 221431
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New Spot Forecast for CP3 RX RETREATMENT DAY 1...EVERGLADES NATIONAL
PARK National Weather Service Miami FL 815 AM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A few showers and storms may brush the burn area
this morning, however the best chances will generally be after 1
pm as a diffuse Gulf breeze develops. Thunderstorms are generally
expected to be in the vicinity of the burn through the afternoon,
with the potential for activity from the east to drift towards the
area with a little more southeasterly flow today.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms this morning, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
  afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming south 5 to 7 mph mid
    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms through early afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800,...then 2 until 1100,...then 3
                    until 1700,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-1100 ft AGL...increasing to 2300-3000 ft
                    AGL early.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5...increasing to 21 around noon,...then
                    decreasing to 17 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.

Time (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky (%).........52  52  54  54  54  51  51  51  51  51  51  51
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH             SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW              RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH             SCH
Temp............89  90  89  89  90  90  91  89  87  86  84  83
RH..............66  64  66  66  64  63  62  66  69  73  77  80
20 ft wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind dir..150 160 160 160 160 170 160 140 130 120 120 120
20 ft wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   4   3   2   2   2   3   3
20 ft wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.6 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.3
Mixng wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  E   E
Mixng wind spd..9   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..23  19  14  15  16  19  16  12  2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  10  10  10  20
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming east around 5
                    mph,...then becoming light early in the
                    morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................2 until 1900,...then 1 until 2300,...then 2.
Mixing height.......800-1400 ft AGL...decreasing to 300 ft AGL
                    around midnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....14...decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning,...then
                    scattered showers and thunderstorms through
                    early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph
                    early. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................2 until 0800,...then 3 until 1400.
Mixing height.......400-1500 ft AGL...increasing to 2500-3400 ft
                    AGL in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 3 mph...becoming southeast.
Dispersion index....7...increasing to 22.
LVORI...............1.

$$
Forecaster...Moses
Requested by...MICHAEL GUE
Type of request...Prescribed
.TAG 1713127.0/MFL



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