Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 031921
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW...USFS MODOC NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1221 PM PDT FRI JUL 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1201 PDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HOT WEATHER WILL PERSIST TODAY...BUT WILL BEGIN A
GRADUAL COOLING TREND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEKEND. SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE OVER THE SPOT AREA THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT ONLY EXPECT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE SATURDAY EVENING...CONTINUE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND PERSIST INTO SUNDAY EVENING.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS ONLY MODERATE. THERE IS A VERY GOOD CHANCE THAT A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH WILL BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE LIGHTNING
THREAT SATURDAY EVENING INTO SUNDAY. CONTINUED CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-10000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.INDEPENDENCE DAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING SCATTERED IN THE EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700-11600 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN 3 IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN MACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150703.YELLO.01/MFR



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