Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 231412
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for NCFS Onslow RX...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
912 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will stall just to the south this morning then
lift back north later today and tonight. High pressure will
continue offshore over the weekend with continued very warm
temperatures.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy early becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast around 5 mph early
                    in the morning, then becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 5500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 0 to 9 mph, becoming southwest 10 to 12
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 61409 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 10.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)         12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............58  53  52  50  49  47
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............72  73  74  76  76  74
RH.................64  62  59  56  54  57
20 FT wind dir.....E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd.....2   2   2   3   4   5
20 FT wind gust....            5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......5.1 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 3.6
Transp wind dir....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....7   9   10  12  12  12
LVORI..............2   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index.......3   3   4   4   5   5
VRate mph-ft/1000..33  51  58  61  61  41

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy, then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Patchy fog after midnight. Areas of fog late.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 919 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............44  40  38  39  40  43  49  51  53  56  57  59
Weather cov........                                PTY PTY ARS ARS
Weather type.......                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............71  67  65  64  63  62  62  61  61  60  59  58
RH.................63  75  81  84  87  90  90  93  93  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....5   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust....    5   5                   5
Mix hgt (kft)......1.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....10  9   8   6   5   3   3   5   7   9   10  10
LVORI..............3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8
Haines index.......4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRate mph-ft/1000..20  2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Frederick
Requested by...County Ranger Brett Evans
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802430.0/MHX
.EMAIL brett.evans@ncagr.gov


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