Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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FNUS72 KMHX 231136
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Allen...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
736 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0800 EDT on June 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A hot and humid airmass will remain over the region through
this weekend. The remnants of tropical cyclone Cindy will pass
well to the north on Saturday. A tropically enhanced cold front
will move very slowly through Eastern NC Saturday and Sunday,
before pushing just south of the area Monday. The front will
meander just off the coast through Wednesday. High pressure
will build in from the west Wednesday through late next week.

Scattered light showers this morning, then drying out late this
morning and this afternoon. Better rain chances late Saturday
and Sunday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the
                    morning, then a slight chance of showers late
                    in the morning. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    this afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Max 5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph, increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 101199 mph-ft.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............90  89  86  85  82  77  75  71  64  60
Weather cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.......RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov...........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp...............78  79  80  81  83  85  87  90  90  89
RH.................88  85  85  82  77  75  70  64  62  64
20 FT wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....6   7   8   9   10  10  11  12  12  13
20 FT wind gust....    10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25
Mix hgt (kft)......1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.7 4.9 5.2
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....8   10  14  16  17  18  20  20  20  20
Haines index.......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..10  19  32  46  58  71  86  91  96  101

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy, then becoming partly cloudy. A
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......Min 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 20010 mph-ft.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............55  46  41  38  33  30  32  35  37  38  39  40
Weather cov........SCH SCH
Weather type.......RW  RW
Tstm cov...........SCH SCH
Temp...............87  84  82  81  81  80  80  80  79  79  79  78
RH.................68  74  79  82  82  85  82  82  85  85  85  88
20 FT wind dir.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd.....12  12  11  11  11  12  12  12  12  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)......3.8 2.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
Transp wind dir....SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd....21  21  21  20  17  16  16  16  16  16  16  17
Haines index.......4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..78  49  20  21  21  22  22  23  23  23  22  23

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. A slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the morning. A chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......Max 6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 115344 mph-ft.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............40     41     53     61     74     76
Weather cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type.......NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov...........                     S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Temp...............77     80     86     90     92     91
RH.................90     82     65     58     56     58
20 ft wind.........SW 11  SW 13  SW 16  SW 16  SW 13  SW 12
20 ft wind gust....20     20     20     20     20     15
Mix hgt (ft).......1400   1700   3100   4600   6000   5200
Transport wind.....SW 20  SW 24  SW 28  W 25   W 18   W 16
Haines index.......4      5      4      3      4      4
VRate mph-ft/1000..28     40     86     115    110    83

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...Gregg Buckalew
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711481.0/MHX
.EMAIL gregg_buckalew@fws.gov


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