Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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834
FNUS72 KMLB 231133
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 5 2...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
733 AM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE AREA WILL PRODUCE
LIGHT EARLY MORNING WINDS.  WITH DAYTIME HEATING THE SEA BREEZE
WILL DEVELOP LATE IN THE MORNING TO AROUND MIDDAY.  IT WILL BE WEAK AT
FIRST THEN PICK UP TO NEAR 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  CANAVERAL PROFILERS
SHOW LIGHT WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS DUE THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE, HENCE
THE TRANSPORT WINDS LOOK TO BE 10 MPH OR LESS FROM THE EAST THIS
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    TOWARDS NOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....24.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34  34  34  34  34  34  32  32  32  32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............77  80  83  86  87  88  89  88  88  87
RH..............94  85  74  68  65  63  61  66  66  68
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..0   1   3   6   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.        5       10  10
LVORI...........6   5   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 7 OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........32     21     21     21     17     17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............85     82     78     76     75     75
RH..............72     79     88     87     87     84
20 FT WIND......E 9    S 6    S 3    S 2    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10            5
LVORI...........2      3      4      6      6      7

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3-4 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 INCREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17  17  36  36  36  36  36  36  39  39  39  39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............75  75  75  79  82  83  85  86  87  86  85  84
RH..............87  94  82  78  75  71  67  64  61  62  64  66
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   NW  N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   2   3   6   8   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.                5       10
LVORI...........8   8   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...LASCODY
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160723.UNIT5.01/MLB



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