Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 221210
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Lake Louisa LL18 88acres...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
710 AM EST Thu Feb 22 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Easterly winds around a high pressure system across
the Atlantic and a ridge aloft will bring a dry airmass and dry
and warm conditions today. Min RHs are expected between 40 and 45
percent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 7 to 9 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1200-1800 ft AGL increasing to 3800-4300 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 4 to 9 mph increasing to 12 to 14 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 56.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  36  36  36  39  39  39  39  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  76  78  81  83  85  87  86  83
RH..............73  69  62  56  51  48  43  45  49
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.    10  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.6 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 3.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  14  14  14  13  13  13  13  14
Dispersion idx..24  44  47  47  46  47  49  50  56
LVORI...........3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2400-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1600 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast 2 to
                    5 mph after midnight.
Dispersion index....58 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     20     20     20     44     44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............80     75     70     69     67     66
RH..............56     66     81     87     93     93
20 ft wind......E 9    E 7    E 6    E 5    E 3    NE 2
20 ft wind gust.10                          5
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   2400   800    700    500    300
Transport wind..E 15   E 13   E 7    E 5    E 3    NE 2
Dispersion idx..58     6      3      2      2      1
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      7      8

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......300-1600 ft AGL increasing to 4400-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 2 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 12 to
                    17 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....12 early increasing to 74 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........44     42     42     42     48     48
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............65     69     77     82     85     85
RH..............97     87     67     53     46     45
20 ft wind......E 3    E 5    SE 8   SE 8   SE 8   E 9
20 ft wind gust.5             10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1000   2300   4000   5000   5300
Transport wind..E 2    E 9    SE 17  SE 15  SE 14  SE 13
Dispersion idx..1      12     50     72     74     74
LVORI...........9      5      1      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...Scott Spaulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1802338.0/MLB
.EMAIL scott.spaulding@dep.state.fl.us



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