Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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982
FNUS74 KMOB 141125
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for OPP04...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
525 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on December 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light westerly to southwesterly winds will occur
across the burn area through this evening ahead of a weak cold
front approaching from the north. The cold front will move south
across the area tonight, bringing a light northerly flow back
into the region late tonight and Friday.

Fog Potential And Other Remarks...Fog not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph becoming southwest
                    by mid afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 31 by mid afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  23  24  24  24  27  33  36  36  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............46  51  55  58  61  64  65  64  61  57
RH..............71  61  53  45  39  37  35  38  44  55
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   4   3
20 FT wind gust.    10  10  5   5   5   10  10  5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   7   5
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3   2
Dispersion idx..8   13  18  21  24  27  31  31  27  20
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-183 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North around 1 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  37  39  39  42  48  51  53  57  59  65  78
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  50  48  47  47  46  45  45  44  43  42  41
RH..............64  71  77  79  79  83  82  82  86  86  93  92
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5                       5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Trans wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......400-2300 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2500 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height (m)...122-701 meters AGL increasing to 732-762 meters
                    AGL early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 2 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 31.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  85  86  88  90  91  92  91  90  88  86  85
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  43  45  48  51  53  55  56  56  55  52  49
RH..............89  82  73  65  56  52  47  45  45  47  50  56
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N
Transp wind spd.5   6   8   9   9   9   9   10  10  12  12  12
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N   N
Trans spd (m/s).2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..5   6   10  16  20  24  27  29  31  32  33  34
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Mary Owen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719957.0/MOB
.EMAIL maowen@fs.fed.us



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