Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 281335 AAA
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPTS 444 445...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
735 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0755 CST ON FEBRUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BECOME EASTERLY BY SUNDAY AS A
WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN
RETURNS LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY THEN INCREASES SOMEWHAT ON MONDAY AS
THE WEAK FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH SUNDAY. FAIR TO
GOOD DISPERSION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY OVERNIGHT FOG DEVELOPMENT
IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 28.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 2 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........42     42     42     36     36     36
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............31     45     54     60     62     59
RH................74     53     45     40     41     50
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    ENE    E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...14
MIX HGT (FT)......400    1500   1500   2600   2600   2600
MIX HGT (M).......120    460    460    790    790    790
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     ENE    ENE    E      ENE    ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      9      9      9      7      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      4      4      3      3
DISPERSION........7      17     17     32     23     23
LVORI.............3      2      2      1      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 7.
STABILITY CLASS.....F.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........35     35     35     35     35     35
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............55     51     49     47     46     44
RH................58     69     81     88     92     94
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      E      E      E
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      4      4      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    200    400    600    600    400
MIX HGT (M).......60     60     120    180    180    120
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     NE     ENE    E      E      E
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      5      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      2      2      2      2      2
DISPERSION........3      3      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............3      3      5      6      6      7
STABILITY CLASS...F      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 2 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING B LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........87     87     87     80     80     80
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP..............43     49     58     64     66     65
RH................98     88     70     63     60     63
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      E      ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    200    900    1600   1600   1600
MIX HGT (M).......60     60     270    490    490    490
TRANSP WIND DIR...E      E      ESE    ESE    ESE    ENE
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      6      5      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      2      3      2      2      2
DISPERSION........6      6      6      10     10     9
LVORI.............7      7      3      2      2      3
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C      B
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...DAVID BERENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150228.CHICK.02/MOB







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