Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FNUS73 KPAH 051642
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST TRACT...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1042 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1055 CST ON FEBRUARY 05.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...PUT DISCUSSION TEXT HERE...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-2000 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300-5200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3700-5400 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 1900
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........8      34     28     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36     42     47     45
RH..............60     46     38     40
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 7    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........33     11     12     27     59     63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............40     35     33     32     32     30
RH..............52     64     70     72     75     82
20 FT WIND......NW 3   N 2    E 2    SE 3   S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 51.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600-6300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 6000-7000
                    FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 22
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........66     72     66     54     39     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............30     35     43     48     50     49
RH..............83     69     55     46     42     44
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 7   SW 8   SW 9   SW 12  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...TYSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160205.WESTT.01/PAH



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