Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mt. Holly, NJ

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000
FNUS71 KPHI 141048
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALPACK 4 14...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
648 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO
GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH, HOWEVER THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

HIGH PRESSURE, LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC, WILL CONTINUE
TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS FORECAST
TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST, THEN MOVE THROUGH OUR REGION LATE
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED
TO BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATER TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY
ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............64  64  65  68  69  70  73  75
TEMP................66  67  69  71  73  73  74  74
RH..................65  63  59  55  51  49  48  46
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......14  16  17  17  18  18  18  18
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  25  25  25  30  30  30  30
CWR.................0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND EARLY MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............78  84  87  89  92  93  94  98  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........            ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP................72  70  68  66  65  63  62  61  60  60  59  59
RH..................49  55  59  65  68  72  75  81  84  84  87  87
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......17  16  15  14  14  14  13  12  12  10  10  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....25  25  20  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.................10  10  10  20  30  40  40  50  50  60  60  70
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  20  30  40  40  50  50  60  60  70
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0700...THEN 5-10 STRIKES UNTIL
                    0800...THEN 15-20 STRIKES.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................59  58  58  59  60  61  62  62  62  59  57  54
RH..................87  90  90  87  81  78  75  75  75  75  75  74
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD......12  12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  15  15  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25  25
CWR.................70  80  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
CHC OF PCPN (%).....70  80  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
LAL.................1   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...GORSE
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOSS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140414.WALPA.02/PHI




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