Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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806
FNUS73 KSGF 191555
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR DIAMOND GROVE RX...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
955 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT 1-800-762-4363, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

LOW CLOUDS AND OCCASIONAL DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE TODAY.  WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT AND SOUTHERLY.  TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE
50S, WITH RH REMAINING ABOVE 70 PERCENT.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY, THOUGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER.  MORE FAVORABLE BURNING CONDITIONS MAY
DEVELOP BY SATURDAY, WITH AFTERNOON RH CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO FALL
TO AROUND 45 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN AREAS OF FOG UNTIL LATE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................86 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 72 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............46.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700-2600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /15700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /32400 KNOT-FT/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........96  93  90  89  86  84  85
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............50  52  53  54  56  55  53
DEWPOINT........46  47  47  47  47  47  46
RH..............86  84  80  77  72  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5                       5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.4 1.7 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   13  14  15  14  12  8
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/100016  25  31  32  28  17  6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (300-7100 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........84  86  89  92  91  92  92  89  85  81  82  83
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
CHC OF THDR (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............52  51  49  48  48  49  49  49  49  49  49  49
DEWPOINT........46  46  46  46  46  47  47  47  47  47  47  48
RH..............80  83  89  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  93  96
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   3   3   5   5   5   6   7   9   10  10  9
HAINES INDEX....5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/10001   0   1   1   2   4   5   7   7   7   6   5

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...MISSING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47 DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 16
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (5200-35200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52900-85600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (20000
                    KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........83  76  70  69  65  58  54  50  43  39  39  40
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
CHC OF THDR (%).M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
TEMP............49  47  45  48  51  54  57  60  62  63  62  60
DEWPOINT........48  47  45  48  49  48  47  46  45  44  43  43
RH..............96  100 100 100 93  80  69  60  54  50  50  53
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   5   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  15  15  20  25  25  25  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.1 2.9 3.7 3.7 2.8 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   12  14  16  17  18  20  23  26  26  22  16
HAINES INDEX....2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4
VRATE KT-FT/10005   9   15  22  26  29  35  59  85  86  53  20

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BOXELL
REQUESTED BY...HEIDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700556.0/SGF
.EMAIL HOBERLIN@CHLOETAFIRE.COM



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