Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 021017
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
517 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-031000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
517 AM CDT THU OCT 2 2014

...SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL PEAKS BY THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EAST OF AN OKEMAH TO BARTLESVILLE LINE.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EARLY AFTERNOON.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATER TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...WITH LARGE HAIL A POSSIBILITY EARLY
IN THE STORM LIFE CYCLES. IF ANY DISCRETE CELLS CAN GET GOING
AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE WITH THE FRONT...THEN A SMALL POSSIBILITY
OF A TORNADO EXISTS. THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR SPIN UP
TORNADOES WITH ANY MATURE SQUALL LINE THAT GETS GOING.

MORNING STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION...POSING A LIMITED HAIL
RISK. THE MUCH GREATER THREAT WILL BE BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WHEN A
BAND OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO FIRE ON A COLD FRONT ROUGHLY ALONG
THE HIGHWAY 75 CORRIDOR AND THEN SWEEP EAST INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS
BY EARLY EVENING.

POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH AMOUNTS AS HIGH AS 3 INCHES POSSIBLE LOCALLY BEFORE ALL
IS SAID AND DONE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THRU WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST TO AROUND 25 MPH DURING THE DAY
ON FRIDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$

LACY



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