Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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000
FOPZ12 KNHC 232044
PWSEP2

TROPICAL STORM GREG WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP072017
2100 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GREG WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 130W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

15N 135W       34  1  26(27)  30(57)   3(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
15N 135W       50  X   2( 2)  13(15)   2(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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