Quantitative Precipitation Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FXUS04 KWBC 310923
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
523 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID JUL 31/1200 UTC THRU AUG 03/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR


DAY 1


...SOUTHWEST/SOUTHERN PLAINS...

MONSOONAL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO POUR INTO THE SOUTHWEST
STATES...AND SOME OF THE DEEP MOISTURE IS BEING DIVERTED INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ALONG AN FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THE DEEP
MOISTURE...COMBINED WITH MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...COULD
RESULT IN ORGANIZED CONVECTION WHICH PRODUCES HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION DURING DAY 1. THERE WAS
GENERALLY GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND THE DEPTH OF THE MOISTURE...SO THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
MAINLY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z NAM/GFS. THE 00Z WRF ARW AND 00Z
REGIONAL GEM WERE USED TO HELP DEFINE THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS
STRETCHING FROM NORTHEAST NM ACROSS NORTH TX.

CONVECTION CONTINUES ACROSS EAST CENTRAL NM EARLY THIS
MORNING...AS DEEP MOISTURE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR
1.25 INCHES) FEEDS THE ACTIVITY. THERE IS A MULTI HIGH RESOLUTION
MODEL SIGNATURE THAT AN MCV WILL BE EJECTED FROM THIS
ACTIVITY...WHICH CROSSES NORTHEAST NM ACROSS NORTH TX INTO THE
WESTERN OK PANHANDLE. THE MCV ENCOUNTERS DEEP MOISTURE AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY ALONG EN ELEVATED BOUNDARY EXTENDING ACROSS
NORTHEAST NM AND NORTH TX...WHERE MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE
TO LOCALLY STRONG INSTABILITY DEVELOPING AFTER 31/18Z.

THE LOW LEVEL FLOW INCREASES ACROSS WEST TX INTO WESTERN OK AND
WESTERN KS AFTER 01/00Z...THOUGH THERE IS SOME SPREAD CONCERNING
JUST HOW STRONG IT GETS. ASSUMING A 20 KNOT LOW LEVEL INFLOW INTO
NORTH TX...A SMALL MCS COULD DEVELOP AFTER 01/06Z THERE...AND
CONTINUE EAST SOUTHEAST ALONG THE DIFLUENT THICKNESS PATTERN INTO
SOUTH CENTRAL OK BEFORE 01/12Z. THE MOISTURE IS DEEP ENOUGH FOR
HIGH RAINFALL RATES WITH THE MCS...SO AN AREA OF 1.50 TO 2.00
INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED OVER NORTH TX AND NEARBY WESTERN OK.
WHILE THE QPF VALUES ARE BELOW THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES...THE POTENTIAL FOR HIGH RAINFALL RATES SUGGESTS THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING. ACCORDINGLY...A SLIGHT RISK WAS
EXTENDED FROM NORTHEAST NM (WITH THE MCV) INTO NORTH TX AND A
PORTION OF WESTERN OK.

FURTHER WEST...THE MONSOONAL FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS AZ/WESTERN NM.
THERE IS A MULTI MODEL SIGNAL THAT A SHORT WAVE IN THE MID LEVEL
SOUTHERLY FLOW UNDER THE RIDGE COULD CROSS AZ DURING THE SECOND
HALF OF THE PERIOD. THAT COULD ENHANCE LIFT ACROSS EASTERN
AZ/WESTERN NM...ALLOWING CONVECTION TO FORM OUTSIDE OF THE
TERRAIN. THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIR (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES TOPPING OUT NEAR 1.75 INCHES IN SOUTHWEST AZ) COULD ALLOW
FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THE CONVECTION. HOWEVER...AT THIS
POINT...IT IS UNCLEAR JUST HOW WIDESPREAD THE HEAVIER RAINFALL
WILL BE...SO FOR NOW NO SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS ASSIGNED.


...GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST...

A SLOWING FRONTAL BOUNDARY BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY AS IT
STRETCHES FROM THE MID ATLANTIC COAST INTO THE GULF COAST REGION
DURING DAY 1. ALONG AND HEAD OF THE FRONT...DEEP MOISTURE AND
STRONG INSTABILITY WILL PRODUCE CONVECTION WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVY RAIN EXTENDING ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND FL.
THERE WAS GENERALLY DECENT MODEL AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE
TIMING OF THE FRONT (THOUGH THE 00Z NAM MAY BE A TAD FAST...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COAST). THE WPC QPF WAS BASED
PRIMARILY ON A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF...WITH SOME SUPPORT
FROM THE 00Z REGIONAL GEM.

A DEEP MOISTURE SOURCE (WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 2.25
INCHES EXTENDING FROM COASTAL SC ACROSS SOUTHERN GA THROUGH
NORTHERN FL) REMAINS IN PLACE JUST AHEAD OF THE SLOW ADVANCING
FRONT AS IT CROSSES THE SOUTHEAST STATES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
THAT THE BEST INSTABILITY SHOULD LIE JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS
WELL...WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY INDICATED. THE RESULTANT
CONVECTION SHOULD MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...BUT THE MID LEVEL FLOW IS FAIRLY WEAK...AND SLOW CELL
MOTIONS ARE EXPECTED. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA OF 0.75 TO
1.25 INCHES OF QPF ACROSS THE FL BIG BEND REGION...EXTENDING INTO
THE WESTERN FL PANHANDLE.

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF SLOW MOTION
CELLS OR CLUSTERS...AND HIGHER RESOLUTION GUIDANCE LIKE THE 00Z
REGIONAL GEM AND THE 00Z WRF ARW SUGGEST AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE ON THE FL WEST COAST...SOUTH OF THE BIG BEND. ONE AND
THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE GENERALLY ABOVE 3.00
INCHES...SO AT THIS POINT ORGANIZED FLASH FLOODING DOES NOT APPEAR
LIKELY.


...UPPER GREAT LAKES...

SHORT WAVES RIDING THROUGH THE FAST MID LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE AND
LIMITED INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE QPF DURING DAY 1. FOR THE MOST
PART...THERE WAS GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL
PATTERN...BUT THERE WERE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE SHORT
WAVES (WHICH IS TO BE EXPECTED IN A FAST FLOW). IN AN ATTEMPT TO
MITIGATE SOME OF THE TIMING DIFFERENCES...THE WPC QPF WAS BASED ON
A BLEND OF THE 00Z GFS/12Z ECMWF.

THE AIRMASS IN PLACED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INITIALLY IS FAIRLY
DRY AND GENERALLY STABLE. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN
WITH THE APPROACH OF EACH SHORT WAVE...ALLOWING THE COLUMN TO
BECOME MARGINALLY UNSTABLE NEAR 01/00Z ACROSS NORTHERNMOST WI AND
THE UP OF MI. THE LOW TOPPED CONVECTION WILL TAP 0.75 INCH
PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR TO PRODUCE A STRIPE OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES
OF QPF ACROSS THE ARROWHEAD OF MN AND THE UP OF MI.


...CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDWEST...

MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY SIPHONED FROM SOUTHERN PLAINS ON LOW
LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW INTERACTS WITH SHORT WAVES IN THE FAST MID
LEVEL FLOW TO PRODUCE A SWATH OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE
REGION...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THERE WAS
GOOD MODEL AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC SETUP...BUT THERE
WAS SOME SPREAD CONCERNING JUST HOW MUCH MOISTURE/INSTABILITY
BECOMES INVOLVED IN THE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THIS IS RESULTING
IN DIFFERENCES IN THE MAXIMUM QPF IN THE AXIS ACROSS ME INTO
IA/NORTHERN MO. THE 12Z ECMWF APPEARS TO BE INJECTING TOO MUCH
MUCH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTO THE FLOW FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...AND CONSEQUENTLY PRODUCES TOO MUCH QPF. THE WPC QPF WAS
BASED MORE ON A BLEND OF THE
00Z NAM/GFS...WHICH HAS THE SUPPORT OF THE 00Z WRF ARW AND THE 00Z
REGIONAL GEM.

MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWED MODERATE INSTABILITY AND PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES NEAR 1.25 INCHES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
STRETCHING FROM EASTERN NE ACROSS SOUTHWEST IA AND NORTHWEST MO.
THE LIFT FROM THE SHORT WAVES IS RATHER WEAK...BUT SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO ALLOW STRIPES OF CONVECTION TO DEVELOP...AIDED BY
HEATING OF THE DAY. THE BEST CONVECTION SHOULD CROSS SOUTHEAST NE
INTO NORTHWEST MO...WHERE A STRIPE OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF
WAS PLACED. THE SPEED OF MOVEMENT OF THE LOW TOPPED CONVECTION
SHOULD BE BEST FAST ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE MUCH HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS.


DAYS 2/3...

THE WEST
~~~~~~~~
ANOMALOUS MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWESTERN
MONSOON, WITH AN UPPER LEVEL CIRCULATION DRAGGING MOISTURE THROUGH
CA INTO SOUTHERN OR AND RESULTANT SOUTHWEST/WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY
MID-LEVEL FLOW BRINGING AN INFLUX OF MOISTURE INTO CO.  INCREASED
AMOUNTS FROM 00Z/06Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY TOWARDS A COMPROMISE OF
THE 00Z GFS/ECMWF.


MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DISTURBANCES IN NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TAP MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE
REGION FROM THE PLAINS.  IT APPEARS THE MOISTURE FETCH IS SOMEWHAT
OFFSET FROM ACTIVITY IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  WITH EACH
DISTURBANCE, PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP TO ABOVE 1.5", WHICH
COULD LEAD TO HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 2" WHERE CELLS TRAIN.  THE
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF IA/MO
DUE TO RECENT RAINFALL -- 30 DAYS TOTALS ARE IN THE 6-12" RANGE IN
THIS REGION.  DUE TO THE ABOVE, INTRODUCED SLIGHT RISKS FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THIS REGION.  STARTED WITH A BLEND OF 00Z
WPC CONTINUITY AND THE 00Z ECMWF DUE TO THE LACK OF A CAP ALOFT,
WHICH COULD LEAD TO CHANGES MORE TO THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST IN FUTURE
RUNS/FORECASTS.  BELIEVE ANY CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES IN THE MIDWEST
WOULD ROB MOISTURE FROM THE FRONTAL ZONE MOVING THROUGH MI ITSELF,
SO KEPT AMOUNTS RELATIVELY LOW, BELOW MOST OF THE AVAILABLE
GUIDANCE.  THIS IS AN INCREASE FROM THE 06Z WPC QPF CONTINUITY.


SOUTHERN PLAINS
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
CONVECTION MOVING OUT OF CO EACH DAY SHOULD PROPAGATE SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST THROUGH PORTIONS OF NORTHERN TX AND WESTERN OK
NEAR WHAT APPEARS TO BE THE EDGE OF WEAK CAPPING (USING THE 12C
ISOTHERM AT 700 HPA AS A GUIDE).  PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
PROGGED TO RISE CLOSE TO 2", WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR RAIN RATES UP
TO 2.5" WHERE CELLS TRAIN.  AS THE AREA HAS BEGUN TO SATURATE
RECENTLY, AND COULD FURTHER SATURATE ON FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY, ADDED SLIGHT RISKS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR AREAS NEAR
THE NORTH TX/WESTERN OK BORDER.  FOR SATURDAY, WENT SOMEWHAT
WETTER THAN A COMPROMISE OF THE 00Z ECMWF/00Z GFS, WHICH WAS
SUPPORTED BY THE 31/00Z GEFS-BASED REFORECAST.


FLORIDA/SOUTHEAST
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
FOR THE THIRD TIME IN THREE WEEKS, A FRONTAL ZONE SETTLES INTO
NORTHERN FLORIDA, WITH ONSHORE FLOW OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED.  THE
AVAILABLE MOISTURE COULD LEAD TO HOURLY RAIN RATES IN THE 2.5-3"
RANGE IN AREAS WHERE CELLS ATTEMPT TO TRAIN.  LIKE THE OTHER TWO
EVENTS, LOCAL 4-7" AMOUNTS EACH DAY (PARTICULARLY DURING THE
MORNING HOURS) ARE POSSIBLE WHERE SHORT TRAINING BANDS FORM.  PER
SOUTHERN REGION PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES, THIS AREA HAS SEEN LOCAL
AMOUNTS OF 12-20" OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS, WHICH IS ANOMALOUS EVEN
FOR FLORIDA.  ADDED SLIGHT RISKS FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IN THIS
INCREASINGLY SATURATED REGION, WHICH WAS COORDINATED WITH THE TBW
AND TAE (TAMPA BAY AND TALLAHASSEE) FORECAST OFFICES.  THE QPF WAS
BASED ON A COMBINATION OF 00Z WPC CONTINUITY AS WELL AS THE 00Z
ECMWF/00Z GFS.  ACROSS THE INTERIOR SOUTHEAST, THE 21Z SREF
MEAN/00Z UKMET (DUE TO ITS FORMING A TC-LIKE ENTITY OVER LAND)
WERE BY THEMSELVES IN PRODUCING HEAVY PRECIPITATION ACROSS
PORTIONS OF GA AND THE CAROLINAS AND NOT CONSIDERED USEFUL PER THE
OTHER DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE AND THE 31/00Z GEFS-BASED REFORECAST.
 USERS OF THE PROBABILISTIC QPF SHOULD TAKE NOTE THAT
PROBABILITIES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AT VARIOUS THRESHOLDS ON SUNDAY
COULD BE OVERINFLATED DUE TO THIS APPARENT SREF MEAN BIAS.


GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

HAYES/ROTH

24HR QP VT 01/12Z
 0.01 448628 449634 449641 448646 446649 435650 432653 429657
      423665 419670 416674 411681 406692 402699 396707 385723
      378732 374743 367762 364769 358776 349794 345805 344813
      343819 337837 333846 329853 322861 319869 315879 311888
      305897 299905 296926 292935 286942 283946 278948 264949
      260950 255950 251947 249943 245936 244931 244926 245915
      245901 249892 251881 254856 256848 259840 260833 260829
      257824 254822 256813 254808 253800 257781 261772 266767
      269762 273759 278752 284745 292738 303735 307731 309728
      320715 331699 337690 345683 351677 357674 361671 367666
      375667 380669 383671 383676 386679 389682 391678 398668
      409652 419638
 0.01 544990 544981 543974 539964 529940 507893 505888 505883
      506875 506870 504862 501856 499852 494849 492846 491840
      493833 495825 496817 499801 500788 501782 499776 495765
      493746 490739 487735 483731 481729 481725 481717 480711
      479709 475705 475702 477699 481695 485697 487699 492697
      496688 499675 500659 498642 495635 491630 486628 481629
      477628 470630 467634 466639 466645 466652 465655 466660
      466665 464668 457669 453668 450669 449672 450677 454678
      457678 459681 463686 459692 457699 454705 450707 446712
      443715 442720 435730 430741 428746 426753 422768 422775
      421783 418794 410813 409819 409827 411834 417835 423834
      425830 432819 441796 446786 453779 459778 457784 454795
      452802 450806 443818 438831 438839 440844 441851 443856
      446861 446868 445873 449880 452882 457885 462889 463891
      463895 463901 465905 465911 466918 469925 472927 474932
      478944 483952 496972 511993 517999 529000 534000 537997
      539992 541992 544990
 0.01 481004 480994 478989 475983 472978 469973 467971 464971
      463974 464979 466984 469990 472995 474002 478006 481004
 0.01 429044 429037 428031 428025 427014 425008 424998 424991
      429995 431992 432987 431979 428971 425963 423954 421947
      418940 415932 410927 405924 400924 400917 398914 398909
      396906 392904 385904 383904 382907 382911 384915 386920
      391927 393934 394940 394945 394961 394973 395981 396000
      397005 399007 402009 406010 410010 412019 417036 422044
      427046 429044
 0.01 398206 396201 391199 388198 387195 387189 385184 382181
      369178 396166 394162 388160 386149 384143 380139 380135
      380131 382127 386127 388123 388115 389109 385103 383098
      383094 385093 383083 390075 393072 398071 404061 406060
      407055 404051 393046 391040 384038 384029 385022 388020
      390016 390013 389011 386007 382004 378001 377996 382986
      378982 377981 375982 372980 371977 369970 362960 354953
      349951 343951 339954 337958 339969 332975 328978 324983
      327000 328006 328015 329022 332027 337034 341038 340043
      335044 329046 325046 325048 325052 326055 328060 329064
      329069 322082 318084 312084 305083 303080 300078 302077
      308077 314078 319077 322076 322074 320069 316065 310063
      303063 297063 288066 287069 289071 295074 296076 291074
      278072 270068 262067 257068 255074 255081 260091 263096
      268100 283116 297126 307132 319138 333141 337142 339144
      343149 354168 355174 355176 358177 359180 357182 353182
      351184 351187 355187 357186 360187 362190 368192 377199
      380201 379202 374200 372204 374205 376204 386211 390212
      393210 398206
 0.01 412915 410901 406891 403886 401880 397869 392860 388858
      385859 385861 385868 387874 392884 396894 401906 403910
      407915 409917 412915
 0.01 358174 360172 359170 357169 355171 357173 358174 358174
 0.01 346180 345176 345169 344164 342161 339157 335156 336158
      338163 334165 335168 339170 342174 342179 346180
 0.01 312981 312973 312966 309960 305956 296951 292950 290952
      284954 280958 280966 284977 292985 292993 293002 296006
      300005 306004 309999 311992 311983 312981
 0.25 529970 529965 527962 524955 521948 518942 510929 503919
      495909 492907 489909 489917 492923 496929 503942 510955
      517965 522970 524971 528971 529970
 0.25 485760 483755 479756 477760 471772 466787 464793 463802
      465810 467819 473833 478837 480832 480826 479814 478804
      478792 479785 482776 484770 485761 485760
 0.25 407973 407970 407968 407966 407963 407962 406961 405959
      404959 403958 403959 403961 402963 402966 403968 403969
      404970 405972 406973 407973 407973
 0.25 381195 379192 378191 376189 373187 370185 368184 364184
      367187 369188 372190 374192 377194 379195 381195
 0.25 377691 378686 376681 375678 372677 368676 364678 359682
      353688 350695 343710 338722 335728 330735 326741 320747
      314751 308754 295759 289762 281767 276772 272779 272787
      275793 280797 281802 279811 275818 271822 268828 269833
      271837 273842 273847 271862 265876 260891 254905 252912
      251919 252928 254936 255940 258941 262943 266943 275939
      280935 284930 286924 288916 290908 291899 294891 296889
      300887 305882 312871 315865 318857 325841 330826 335813
      338797 338790 338786 342779 349767 370708 377691
 0.25 378098 378096 378095 376096 376098 378099 378098
 0.25 381056 381051 379049 375050 371048 370044 371040 376030
      378021 375012 366996 360992 361983 359978 356975 346975
      343977 343982 342987 343991 346993 348997 347002 345008
      344017 347026 350036 352041 352046 353049 350052 346061
      346064 349069 350073 347075 343075 341071 334075 330076
      329079 330082 329090 332091 333094 333098 336101 341102
      344099 346094 351094 358097 363103 365100 363097 362096
      365092 358080 369071 373068 375066 375062 381056
 0.25 372109 371107 371106 370106 368105 367106 368107 369108
      369109 371110 372109
 0.25 346110 346109 345107 344106 344105 343103 341104 340106
      339109 340110 342111 344111 346110 346110
 0.25 330101 329098 327098 325100 325101 324102 325104 326105
      327105 328103 330101
 0.25 319106 319104 316102 313101 312097 311096 309096 307098
      306102 308104 310107 311109 313110 315112 317111 319108
      319106
 0.25 319097 320095 320093 318092 317092 316093 315095 316096
      317097 318098 319097
 0.25 301103 301100 300097 296093 291090 287087 282084 279083
      275083 271087 274094 279096 285099 290101 295103 301103
 0.25 296960 296959 294958 292957 290957 289958 288959 287960
      288962 288963 289964 290965 292965 293964 294964 295962
      296961 296960
 0.50 374692 374687 372684 368682 366682 358696 343721 338734
      335741 330747 326751 320756 313760 305763 290767 285773
      283776 283781 287787 292792 303800 307801 311800 316794
      322789 327784 330779 335774 340768 345762 348756 351750
      357734 361720 368705 374692
 0.50 371032 373026 374019 372012 369009 363002 355996 353993
      352986 351982 348985 347988 348991 350994 351000 351007
      347015 347020 348025 356044 356047 354051 352057 355060
      356064 354069 352075 353076 356075 358072 361069 364065
      369063 367054 368053 367049 366046 367043 371032
 0.50 352084 353082 352081 350081 352084 352084
 0.50 354062 353062 352061 351062 352063 353062 354062
 0.50 342098 343096 342094 342093 340091 339093 338094 337095
      336096 336097 338098 340099 342098 342098
 0.50 341089 341087 341085 342083 341082 339081 338081 337082
      336082 334084 333086 335088 337089 339090 340090 341089
 0.50 342076 342075 340074 338076 340077 342077 342076
 0.50 332079 333077 332077 332079 332079
 0.50 311856 308856 306859 302862 301866 299871 298876 297880
      300880 303876 305873 307869 309865 310860 311856
 0.50 305844 306837 302831 296826 293821 292816 290813 288814
      284817 278826 276830 277834 280846 282860 285863 289861
      298856 304848 305844
 0.50 295809 296807 295805 294803 292801 290800 289801 289802
      287804 287806 287808 288810 289812 291812 293811 295811
      295809
 0.50 287883 286876 283870 277873 273878 269882 267888 262901
      255913 255929 256936 261939 267939 273935 278932 282927
      284920 285912 285893 287883
 1.00 360707 357707 355712 353715 351720 350725 348729 347734
      349735 351733 352728 354724 356720 357716 358712 360707
 1.00 370021 370017 369014 365012 358009 355011 352018 352022
      355029 356036 359040 360045 364039 367034 369028 370021
 1.00 340751 341747 338746 334752 328761 325766 322769 315771
      309771 303772 299776 299781 305784 307790 311789 321782
      323778 328773 334763 339753 340751
 1.00 301840 301838 299836 296834 293832 291832 288832 287835
      288837 289841 290843 292846 296845 298844 300842 301840
 1.00 279919 280908 279903 277901 274899 269899 267901 265905
      262911 259918 258927 259932 261934 265934 269933 274929
      277927 278923 279919
 1.50 365025 366021 365017 363015 360014 359014 356015 355018
      355022 355026 357029 359030 362029 364027 365025
 1.50 276923 276917 275910 273906 270906 267909 264912 262915
      260919 261925 261929 266931 270928 274925 276923
 2.00 273921 273917 272913 270911 268913 265915 264917 262919
      262923 263925 264927 266927 269925 271923 273921

24HR QP VT 02/12Z
 0.01 562079 561075 561072 560068 559061 557056 553050 549047
      545046 542049 542054 541068 542072 542076 543081 546093
      548104 550115 555124 556130
 0.01 557817 551813 545812 540812 537815 529822 528816 529809
      527805 526798 526789 524784 525779 524771 522745 518717
      513700 511687 509679 502658 501651 499646 496641 493639
      476640 470638 465646 459660 455668 451674 443689 436702
      433710 429718 422737 419747 415753 413762 412765 412770
      410777 406782 398795 397798 397804 399807 402809 409811
      417811 424814 426824 417820 413823 412828 412832 410836
      408847 406852 403856 399864 396872 395881 393891 394901
      392905 390908 389911 388916 390924 390930 392935 392947
      390961 392972 392985 394995 397005 399009 401013 403018
      406021 411027 415033 421039 427040 432036 436029 440024
      443016 448010 455005 458001 458994 455986 453975 453961
      453954 454948 456935 457925 455915 453907 444874 442870
      439867 436865 434862 433854 432850 435849 439856 442861
      445863 448865 451864 459861 462858 464852 464844 461839
      449830 447829 448826 449822 451818 454818 458822 462824
      463822 470821 473820 477822 479828 481837 483841 483849
      482854 479857 477860 477867 486886 488896 489904 492914
      493918 495921 481927 480941 481952 484964 488974 490980
      493984 495988 498990 505993 511999 514002 518004 522005
      525004 524993 522982 518975 516967 514960 510954 506945
      502938 502935 504934 509934 512931 514926 516922 520921
      525920 526916 527903 531907 533912 536921 538928 540932
      541936 545944 550949 553949 559955 563956 564960 567953
      568944
 0.01 538183 539173 539164 538158 535152 532149 532141 529135
      525133 521130 516129 511131 509133 505145 506151 508156
      514164 521166 523171 529180 532185 536185 538183
 0.01 540116 540113 539110 538109 537109 536110 535112 535115
      536118 538119 538118 540116 540116
 0.01 539048 538046 537042 536039 534037 533034 532029 530029
      528029 528034 528037 529042 531045 532048 534050 535051
      537051 539048
 0.01 474982 474979 474977 474974 474972 472969 471969 469967
      469969 469972 469974 469977 469979 470982 472982 474982
      474982
 0.01 436230 436222 434218 431216 427215 424216 421217 418220
      414226 411233 409239 410242 414249 419250 421249 427245
      432241 435232 436230
 0.01 430697 428685 424681 419682 415684 411689 401699 396706
      393712 388719 385726 384734 383738 384743 389746 395745
      402740 407736 416724 421717 425711 428704 430697
 0.01 402202 402178 401173 399166 394158 380145 379141 378135
      379129 380126 381119 383113 388102 391096 392089 391082
      390075 389050 378039 375034 376028 379024 379015 380010
      381005 381992 379981 379977 378975 373972 368974 364974
      361972 355967 350964 343965 335969 328977 325980 324985
      322989 320992 317990 313990 310987 303983 292968 289967
      288973 289978 288983 286987 282991 279993 277997 278001
      282002 289006 325020 330026 335032 337036 336043 329049
      326053 326060 325074 323080 320081 313081 308079 303078
      299075 291070 277063 271062 271067 273071 278075 283083
      286093 288102 294109 307120 314124 319125 326125 330125
      332127 332130 329131 321136 316142 316148 317153 322160
      327165 334171 343178 358192 372202 384206 392207 399205
      402202
 0.01 376719 375713 373711 369710 364712 357717 350721 337727
      331732 327736 322741 316749 307761 303765 295768 280769
      271771 263775 261781 260787 258791 254796 251798 250802
      250810 253816 257820 260832 261843 262852 266869 264882
      262901 259921 257928 254933 246943 241949 239958 239963
      240967 242970 247970 254970 261968 267965 274962 278958
      282949 288933 296924 301918 303912 305903 308894 308889
      310885 315879 329855 333850 336841 339832 341823 345806
      348793 351786 352782 352775 355767 359759 361751 364744
      370732 374724 376719
 0.01 250778 248774 243773 239772 236774 232776 230780 229785
      231788 236789 240787 243785 247782 249779 250778
 0.01 242996 242994 241992 240991 238991 238993 238995 238996
      239997 240998 241998 242996 242996
 0.01 234818 234814 233810 232808 230804 228803 225805 224807
      224811 225815 226817 228821 230822 232820 234818
 0.25 500695 500692 500691 499690 498688 497685 495684 494684
      492683 490684 490685 490688 490690 491693 492695 493697
      494699 496700 497700 499699 500698 500695 500695
 0.25 493666 492662 492659 488659 487661 486663 484666 483669
      481672 482677 484679 486680 490679 491676 492673 493669
      493666
 0.25 476684 473680 469681 462689 459694 456699 452708 448713
      445717 443723 443726 444729 447728 451723 455714 457705
      465699 473692 475687 476684
 0.25 446942 447936 446929 444919 438904 434897 429891 423890
      420891 418893 413901 410910 410918 404915 401915 398918
      398922 398928 400943 398953 397959 397965 398973 401982
      404990 407998 411003 414010 417012 420013 423010 423004
      425995 425985 424973 421964 419958 416952 411944 410940
      410935 412927 412919 417926 422932 426936 432940 440945
      444945 446942
 0.25 381192 381190 380189 378188 378187 377186 375185 375184
      373183 372184 370185 369185 370185 371187 372188 373188
      374189 376191 377191 378192 379193 381192
 0.25 379085 379080 378077 375073 372059 370054 365050 359049
      356049 354051 354056 355062 353067 349070 345076 345083
      350086 354086 357086 359082 361077 367075 370075 371079
      372083 374086 379085
 0.25 363729 362724 360724 351726 344728 337732 329740 323748
      307769 299775 292777 287781 265795 261799 258802 259806
      261808 267810 269817 269827 270844 270859 271868 270876
      270893 268900 266906 264911 263919 261931 257946 258948
      261951 267948 271944 274939 279929 283925 286919 291905
      295895 300884 307872 312859 318851 324840 329827 331820
      331811 332804 333798 337786 343774 349761 354751 359741
      363729
 0.25 369014 370006 369000 367994 364989 357984 352982 346981
      341984 338986 333997 332003 333008 335014 338018 342021
      347023 352025 357025 362024 366021 369014
 0.25 359129 360123 359120 355113 351108 346103 345094 343090
      339091 338095 338098 341104 343108 343113 342119 343123
      348127 355131 359129
 0.50 440930 438923 436918 433912 429908 424906 420910 422917
      425921 429926 433929 437933 440930
 0.50 419985 419976 417970 414966 410961 406956 401956 400963
      401970 403977 405983 407989 412992 417989 419985
 0.50 357734 356730 354729 347729 342732 337736 325752 317761
      310771 305778 296785 287792 284797 285804 287808 286813
      283817 279821 278825 276833 276841 276848 274875 277891
      273902 267910 264915 264921 263938 265940 267937 271933
      278925 281921 283916 288890 299873 302868 305862 306855
      309850 314846 317842 321834 326822 325813 322806 326797
      331787 343765 352746 357734
 0.50 364012 363003 360995 355990 348988 342991 340995 339999
      340006 339012 340015 347018 356018 361016 364012
 0.50 313824 312820 310818 308818 305818 303821 303823 304826
      304827 304831 306833 309831 311828 312826 313824
 0.50 273803 274801 272799 270799 268799 266799 265800 264800
      263801 262803 263804 265804 267805 269805 271805 272804
      273803
 1.00 351735 348733 343735 338740 334749 333753 329757 323762
      318768 314777 309782 302789 297796 296801 297808 301810
      306810 311807 314804 318798 327783 331774 334766 339757
      343750 348743 351735
 1.00 357009 358005 356000 355998 353996 351996 348995 346997
      345000 346002 347005 349008 351009 354010 357009
 1.00 301840 300835 298830 294822 290821 285823 282826 281829
      281842 281852 281865 281869 283873 288869 293864 298856
      300846 301840
 1.00 277914 276912 275912 273911 271912 270912 269913 268913
      267915 267917 267919 267921 267923 267925 268926 270925
      272924 273923 274922 274921 275919 276919 277917 277915
      277914
 1.50 353004 352002 351001 350002 351003 353004 353005 353004
 1.50 316794 317789 315787 311787 308788 306791 304793 303795
      302798 302802 303804 307805 311803 312801 314798 315796
      316794
 1.50 298844 299838 297832 295828 292825 289824 285826 283829
      283835 284842 285848 286852 289854 293853 296849 298846
      298844
 2.00 297840 297836 296834 295831 293828 291826 289826 287827
      285829 285833 285837 286841 287843 289847 290848 294847
      296845 297842 297840
 3.00 294841 295838 295836 294834 293833 292832 291831 291830
      289829 288831 288833 288835 289837 289839 290840 291841
      292842 294841 294841

24HR QP VT 03/12Z
 0.01 530243 528245 526247 525246 524249 524251 522253 522256
      521258 521261 519263 518265 519265 520268 520269 521269
509302 508303 507303 506305
      505305 504306 503307 502308 501309 500310 499311 498312
      497313 495314 494317 494319 494322 494324 495325 496328
 0.01 550159 550155 548151 547147 544146 542143 538137 536129
      533122 530119 526126 524128 522126 520127 514129 512130
      510133 507140 508151 510158 517169 524182 528188 534191
      539187 542179 544173 545169 548167
 0.01 548909 548887 548876 548870 546866 545855 543844 539831
      537826 536820 535815 534798 533777 532767 530758 524747
      518732 506707 499700 493689 490682 491673 493658 490651
      484652 472651 465660 462659 460661 457667 452679 447687
      442699 438712 435725 434727 433732 430738 420747 414757
      402780 391796 390804 391810 392814 393819 394830 391837
      388842 384847 385854 380880 378886 374891 370900 371909
      373914 375921 375929 380941 387951 390956 395960 398963
      405966 415968 419967 424966 430965 436964 445955 449952
      452947 454940 455934 458933 463931 465936 469949 469958
      472964 475969 479972 481974 484975 490976 497975 502970
      504967 504964 503957 502948 500940 499931 497924 495916
      493909 489898 485884 482879 480872 479862 479850 478838
      481832 487840 490843 491841 491837 491830 491825 493824
      498841 500847 501855 509887 518915 521921 523926 529935
      533941 538941 541939 544931 547920 547912 548909
 0.01 517114 516111 514108 513105 512102 510102 506104 505106
      504109 504111 507115 509117 512118 515116 517114
 0.01 455221 454217 451213 447211 445207 446202 447194 445191
      437184 428182 425178 424174 420152 417141 414128 413123
      413116 413108 412104 410077 409073 410068 410063 409059
      406049 400041 393034 388027 383019 377013 374010 372005
      371001 368996 362989 354984 345979 336977 328973 324973
      321975 319978 319984 319990 319993 317994 309998 307001
      307009 309013 312017 318024 324033 330039 332042 332047
      327053 325058 325062 324069 319071 306070 297067 288062
      282061 279059 275059 271060 269067 280083 282087 284093
      285097 288101 293107 301112 315122 320124 323122 330115
      335116 337120 340131 346139 350141 355143 359141 361145
      361155 363160 365164 368168 369171 367173 363177 361181
      363190 365194 368196 375201 393210 399217 401222 400231
      401235 405238 410241 415241 424240 430238 447232 453228
      455221
 0.01 398698 396684 391685 387689 382696 375703 371707 367709
      359715 354720 350722 345724 336728 328735 321742 316749
      306763 300768 289771 279771 274770 268771 257771 243773
      232776 228784 223799 224812 226826 226832 228838 230839
      233838 234835 235816 234810 235807 238806 242807 249807
      250812 253815 261821 263824 265830 268843 269857 269870
      266888 264893 264899 263904 263912 264927 264933 262937
      259945 254951 250959 250966 252969 254969 259968 267963
      283952 288946 292939 299922 306901 310891 312880 319864
      322857 325846 342808 345801 350794 355786 357783 361778
      366772 369768 369760 371751 372746 373745 376741 381734
      384726 394708 397703 398698
 0.01 398143 398138 399134 398129 396131 394133 390135 388137
      386138 388141 391144 392146 394148 396145 398143
 0.01 362092 360090 359089 357091 358093 360093 362092
 0.01 304042 304040 304038 302038 300040 302042 304042 304042
 0.25 470895 469863 469853 468846 463834 458822 456818 457810
      458803 456798 455798 452797 450799 446799 443803 440808
      438813 438818 441819 439824 434823 430825 427829 423834
      420839 419844 420853 421860 422865 424866 433869 438868
      443865 449863 452863 454867 459877 463888 466895 470895
 0.25 425222 426217 426213 428206 427198 425196 422195 420195
      417192 416187 414183 414178 411172 409170 405168 397167
      393171 394178 398184 403188 405190 406194 409201 407208
      409213 414228 418229 423226 425222
 0.25 438909 438903 434898 432894 429891 426888 422886 414882
      402881 398883 395885 388892 383900 382907 383915 384921
      386925 387932 389936 395944 399947 403948 405947 410949
      415950 420949 423947 425942 424936 423931 419920 415910
      416905 419906 427911 436913 438909
 0.25 420799 421794 419790 416793 415795 414798 413800 412804
      410807 410810 410814 412815 415814 416811 417808 419804
      419801 420799
 0.25 408105 408103 408100 408099 407100 407103 406105 407107
      408105
 0.25 399106 398104 397103 395103 394103 395105 396107 398108
      399106
 0.25 393057 389054 388051 386053 382053 381051 376053 370054
      365051 361050 358051 356055 356063 355066 356071 362072
      367075 372086 374093 375100 377102 381101 385098 388092
      388084 387076 389069 393057
 0.25 379126 379124 379123 378123 377124 375125 375126 374127
      375129 376129 377128 379126 379126
 0.25 372725 372720 370717 366717 363720 351726 341731 333738
      304772 293779 289784 287789 285794 285802 287805 292807
      297809 299816 299819 296820 290818 286818 281822 280828
      280834 281851 280866 279874 278879 274890 272896 271903
      272910 275914 282916 288914 292910 295906 301896 306884
      308873 309865 309856 309840 308832 305827 304824 307820
      316813 323803 330794 343775 349765 355755 367735 372725
 0.25 365018 361011 359007 358000 354994 348989 339986 335987
      331990 330995 332999 338005 345011 351015 359019 364020
      365018
 0.25 355122 354118 352116 350117 348119 346121 344122 342124
      344126 346128 347130 350130 350126 350125 353124 355122
 0.25 352079 353077 353075 352075 351076 350077 351077 352079
      352080 352079
 0.25 344107 344100 343096 341091 340087 338082 335080 330079
      328081 329085 331090 333093 336097 338100 340104 342107
      344107
 0.25 277805 276803 273801 270800 267800 264800 261800 258801
      256803 256805 257807 260809 262809 265809 269809 273808
      275807 277805
 0.25 260793 258789 254785 250785 250782 246781 239782 235786
      235790 238791 241791 245791 246792 251796 255795 260793
 0.50 462859 462856 462854 462851 461849 461847 459845 459847
      458849 458852 460854 460855 461856 461859 462860 462859
 0.50 437856 437852 436847 435842 435840 433835 431834 429836
      428838 427843 426845 426850 427855 427858 429860 433860
      435859 437856
 0.50 419940 419933 418928 415924 412921 405917 399913 396908
      396904 394901 392900 389903 388909 391913 395920 398924
      401926 405929 407931 412940 416942 419940
 0.50 381083 382078 381075 380072 380069 378066 376067 375065
      372066 372071 372074 373077 374080 375083 379084 381083
 0.50 365726 362725 359727 353729 343734 335741 328748 321758
      314766 308774 300781 292788 293795 294801 300810 304814
      308813 316805 321797 327787 333778 340769 346761 357743
      362733 365726
 0.50 349998 349996 348995 346993 344992 342993 341993 340993
      340995 342997 343997 344998 346998 347998 349998
 0.50 304863 304853 304844 304838 303832 300825 296822 292821
      288821 285823 282827 282833 284844 285855 286864 288876
      284883 279889 275896 274900 275906 277908 281909 288906
      293900 298893 302886 303878 304867 304863
 1.00 348743 346740 342741 337746 333752 328757 324762 323766
      323771 320774 321777 326773 333768 337763 342757 345752
      348744 348743
 1.00 319780 314781 311784 306789 302791 299796 301802 304807
      307807 313804 316799 318793 319787 319780
 1.00 301842 301835 298828 295824 292823 289823 285827 284835
      286843 289847 292853 296856 299855 299851 301844 301842
 1.50 312796 312794 312792 311791 310791 308792 308793 306794
      305795 305796 304797 304799 305801 305802 307803 309802
      310801 311798 312797 312796
 1.50 299842 299836 298832 296827 292824 289824 287827 286833
      287839 290843 292847 296849 299844 299842
 2.00 297842 298838 298834 297831 295828 293826 291825 288827
      287829 287833 288835 289839 290841 292843 296844 297842
 3.00 295834 295833 295832 294830 293829 292828 291827 290829
      289831 289832 289833 290835 291837 292838 293839 294839
      295836 295835 295834

$$




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