River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 291431
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1029 AM EDT Sun Mar 29 2015
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.86 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.7
.E2 :0330:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.5/     2.6
.E3 :0331:/     2.6/     2.7/     2.7/     2.8
.E4 :0401:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.28 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     4.9/     4.5
.E2 :0330:/     4.2/     3.8/     3.6/     3.5
.E3 :0331:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.6
.E4 :0401:/     3.6/     3.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.56 ft at Mar-29 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.5
.E2 :0330:/     2.4/     2.4/     2.4/     3.0
.E3 :0331:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.1/     2.9
.E4 :0401:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.42 ft at Mar-29 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     1.4/     1.4
.E2 :0330:/     1.3/     1.3/     1.7/     2.2
.E3 :0331:/     2.3/     2.2/     2.0/     1.8
.E4 :0401:/     1.7/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.18 ft at Mar-29 09:30 am
:Crest 6.19 at Apr-03 2am
:
.ER LCSN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.1
.E2 :0330:/     4.1/     4.4/     4.8/     5.0
.E3 :0331:/     5.0/     4.9/     4.7/     4.6
.E4 :0401:/     4.6/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.06 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:Crest 5.15 at Apr-03 8am
:
.ER EBZN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.0
.E2 :0330:/     3.0/     3.1/     3.6/     4.0
.E3 :0331:/     4.1/     4.1/     3.9/     3.7
.E4 :0401:/     3.6/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.88 ft at Mar-29 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.6
.E2 :0330:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.5/     2.7
.E3 :0331:/     2.9/     3.0/     3.1/     3.0
.E4 :0401:/     2.9/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.09 ft at Mar-29 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     5.2/     5.2
.E2 :0330:/     5.2/     5.2/     5.2/     5.4
.E3 :0331:/     5.6/     5.6/     5.5/     5.5
.E4 :0401:/     5.4/     5.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.29 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/    10.3/    10.3
.E2 :0330:/    10.3/    10.2/    10.2/    10.4
.E3 :0331:/    10.6/    10.8/    10.9/    10.8
.E4 :0401:/    10.7/    10.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 618.52 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/   618.3/   617.8
.E2 :0330:/   617.3/   616.8/   616.3/   615.8
.E3 :0331:/   615.4/   615.4/   615.8/   616.4
.E4 :0401:/   617.0/   617.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 22.85 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER AVON6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/    22.8/    22.6
.E2 :0330:/    22.5/    22.4/    22.3/    22.5
.E3 :0331:/    22.7/    22.9/    22.9/    22.6
.E4 :0401:/    22.3/    22.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.77 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.6
.E2 :0330:/     3.6/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0331:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.6
.E4 :0401:/     3.6/     3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.97 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.8
.E2 :0330:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
.E3 :0331:/     2.6/     2.6/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :0401:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.76 ft at Mar-29 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     7.7/     7.6
.E2 :0330:/     7.4/     7.3/     7.3/     7.3
.E3 :0331:/     7.3/     7.4/     7.4/     7.4
.E4 :0401:/     7.4/     7.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.76 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.7
.E2 :0330:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :0331:/     1.7/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :0401:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :0330:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :0331:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :0401:/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:
.ER CPNN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.7
.E2 :0330:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0331:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :0401:/     4.7/     4.7
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.79 ft at Mar-29 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.7
.E2 :0330:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0331:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E4 :0401:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.30 ft at Mar-29 09:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     3.0/     2.9
.E2 :0330:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8/     2.8
.E3 :0331:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E4 :0401:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.80 ft at Mar-29 09:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20150329 E DC201503291029/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0329:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.8
.E2 :0330:/     3.8/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6
.E3 :0331:/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6/     3.6
.E4 :0401:/     3.6/     3.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.10/ 0.01/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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