River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 221614
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1111 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2018
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.98 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:
.ER ATTN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     4.1/     4.4
.E2 :0123:/     4.9/     5.3/     5.3/     5.1
.E3 :0124:/     4.8/     4.6/     4.4/     4.2
.E4 :0125:/     4.1/     4.0
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.59 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 6.25 at Jan-24 1pm
:
.ER BTVN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.7
.E2 :0123:/     2.8/     3.1/     3.7/     4.7
.E3 :0124:/     5.7/     6.2/     6.2/     5.9
.E4 :0125:/     5.5/     5.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.12/ 0.17/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.07/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.03 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 8.82 at Jan-26 1pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.9
.E2 :0123:/     3.0/     3.3/     3.7/     4.4
.E3 :0124:/     5.1/     5.9/     6.6/     7.1
.E4 :0125:/     7.4/     7.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.09/ 0.13/ 0.15/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.96 ft at Jan-22 10:15 am
:Crest 6.40 at Jan-23 7pm
:
.ER GOWN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.7
.E2 :0123:/     4.6/     6.1/     6.4/     6.4
.E3 :0124:/     5.9/     5.2/     4.7/     4.2
.E4 :0125:/     4.0/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.06/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.24 ft at Jan-22 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     1.9/     2.3
.E2 :0123:/     3.4/     4.0/     4.0/     4.0
.E3 :0124:/     3.7/     3.3/     3.1/     2.9
.E4 :0125:/     2.7/     2.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.06/ 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.08/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.46 ft at Jan-22 10:30 am
:Crest 6.73 at Jan-23 1pm
:
.ER LCSN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.8
.E2 :0123:/     5.1/     5.9/     6.7/     6.3
.E3 :0124:/     5.8/     5.3/     5.0/     4.9
.E4 :0125:/     4.8/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.06/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.27 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.8
.E2 :0123:/     4.6/     7.1/     6.7/     6.3
.E3 :0124:/     5.9/     5.6/     5.3/     5.0
.E4 :0125:/     4.7/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.15/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.53 ft at Jan-22 10:15 am
:Crest 5.67 at Jan-24 7am
:
.ER WILN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.6
.E2 :0123:/     2.9/     3.5/     3.6/     4.3
.E3 :0124:/     5.2/     5.7/     5.7/     5.4
.E4 :0125:/     5.0/     4.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.14/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.04/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.27 ft at Jan-22 10:45 am
:Crest 8.39 at Jan-23 7pm
:
.ER WLLN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     5.3/     5.5
.E2 :0123:/     5.9/     6.9/     8.3/     8.4
.E3 :0124:/     8.1/     7.7/     7.2/     6.9
.E4 :0125:/     6.6/     6.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.27/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.25 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 15.47 at Jan-24 1am
:
.ER PRTN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/    10.3/    10.5
.E2 :0123:/    10.9/    12.1/    13.7/    14.5
.E3 :0124:/    15.5/    14.4/    13.5/    12.9
.E4 :0125:/    12.5/    12.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.11/ 0.20/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 640.03 ft at Jan-22 10:00 am
:Crest 652.38 at Jan-25 7pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/   639.5/   638.5
.E2 :0123:/   637.6/   637.0/   637.6/   639.8
.E3 :0124:/   643.0/   646.2/   648.6/   650.2
.E4 :0125:/   651.2/   651.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.06/ 0.09/ 0.07/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 28.90 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 31.16 at Jan-24 7pm
:
.ER AVON6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/    28.9/    28.9
.E2 :0123:/    28.8/    28.9/    29.1/    29.6
.E3 :0124:/    30.2/    30.8/    31.1/    31.2
.E4 :0125:/    31.0/    30.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.18/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.32 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     3.4/     3.4
.E2 :0123:/     3.5/     3.7/     4.0/     4.3
.E3 :0124:/     4.7/     4.9/     5.1/     5.1
.E4 :0125:/     5.0/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.07/ 0.10/ 0.18/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.06/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.65 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 4.70 at Jan-24 7am
:
.ER CHRN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     2.5/     2.6
.E2 :0123:/     2.7/     3.0/     3.5/     4.2
.E3 :0124:/     4.6/     4.7/     4.7/     4.6
.E4 :0125:/     4.7/     4.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.17/ 0.06/ 0.08/ 0.02/ 0.01/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.96 ft at Jan-22 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/    10.9/    10.9
.E2 :0123:/    10.9/    11.0/    11.3/    11.7
.E3 :0124:/    12.2/    12.6/    12.8/    12.9
.E4 :0125:/    12.8/    12.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.19/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.65 ft at Jan-22 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     1.7/     1.8
.E2 :0123:/     1.9/     2.3/     2.7/     2.9
.E3 :0124:/     3.0/     3.0/     2.8/     2.6
.E4 :0125:/     2.5/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.21/ 0.07/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.02/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 690.0 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/   688.0/   688.0
.E2 :0123:/   688.0/   688.1/   688.1/   688.2
.E3 :0124:/   688.3/   688.3/   688.4/   688.4
.E4 :0125:/   688.5/   688.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.06/ 0.22/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.66 ft at Jan-22 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.7
.E2 :0123:/     3.8/     3.9/     4.0/     4.1
.E3 :0124:/     4.0/     4.0/     3.9/     3.9
.E4 :0125:/     3.8/     3.8
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.45 ft at Jan-22 11:00 am
:Crest 8.04 at Jan-24 7pm
:
.ER BOON6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     5.4/     5.4
.E2 :0123:/     5.5/     5.7/     6.1/     6.6
.E3 :0124:/     7.2/     7.7/     8.0/     8.0
.E4 :0125:/     8.0/     7.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.05/ 0.24/ 0.31/ 0.09/ 0.14/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.94 ft at Jan-22 10:30 am
:Crest 7.51 at Jan-24 1pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     3.9/     3.9
.E2 :0123:/     4.0/     4.3/     5.0/     5.8
.E3 :0124:/     6.6/     7.3/     7.5/     7.2
.E4 :0125:/     6.8/     6.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.21/ 0.31/ 0.09/ 0.11/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.69 ft at Jan-22 10:30 am
:Crest 7.96 at Jan-26 1pm
:
.ER ARTN6 20180122 E DC201801221111/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0122:       ::       ::/     5.7/     5.7
.E2 :0123:/     5.6/     5.7/     5.9/     6.3
.E3 :0124:/     6.7/     7.0/     7.0/     7.0
.E4 :0125:/     7.0/     7.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.20/ 0.06/ 0.24/ 0.20/ 0.10/ 0.14/ 0.03/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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