Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 290057
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
ILZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/29/15 0057Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-EAST:0045Z  JS
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LOCATION...ILLINOIS...
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ATTN WFOS...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...
ATTN RFCS...OHRFC...NCRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...DEVELOPING LINEAR AXIS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION WITH SOME TRAINING
POTENTIAL.
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...IN RESPONSE TO RATHER VIGOROUS MID/UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE SEEN IN WATER VAPOR ANIMATION DIVING TO THE S AND
SE ACROSS THE N-CENT US, BEGINNING TO SEE THE EVOLUTION OF CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS N-CENT IL AS WARM ADVECTION INCREASES OVER TOP OF WARM
FRONT OVER W IL. VISIBLE IMAGERY REVEALS THE ELEVATED CHARACTERISTICS
OF THE IL CONVECTION WITH IT OCCURRING JUST OVER TOP OF THE EDGE OF THE
LOWER LEVEL CLOUD DECK. THE CURRENT LOCATION OF THE MORE SIGNIFICANT
CELLS OVER CENT IL ALSO CORRESPOND TO WHERE THE LARGEST RAP ANALYZED
ELEVATED CAPE RESIDES PER LIFTED PARCEL LEVEL INFORMATION. MOISTURE
POOLED IN THIS REGION IS NOT EXCESSIVE BUT ADEQUATE WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES OF AROUND 1.25"-1.5" PRESENT PER GOES SOUNDER DATA ALONG
WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60`S. THE MARGINAL MOISTURE IS VERIFIED
IN THE 00Z KILX SOUNDING WHICH SHOWS 1.33" PW VALUE ALONG WITH A FAIRLY
MOIST PROFILE UP TO AROUND 600MB.  WIND PROFILES FROM THE SOUNDING SHOW
W TO  NW MEAN FLOW THROUGH THE COLUMN WHICH IS ALLOWING FOR AT LEAST
SOME TRAINING WITHIN THIS NEWLY FORMED BAND GIVEN ITS ORIENTATION.
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FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, EXPECT A SLOW EASTWARD SHIFT TO THE
ELEVATED BAND WHILE INDIVIDUAL CELLS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE TO
THE SE RESULTING IN A GENERAL 1-2 HOUR PERIOD OF POTENTIAL TRAINING
ACROSS N CENT TO CENT AND EVENTUALLY E CENT IL AS SYSTEM EXHIBITS
SOME PIVOTING. MOISTURE PROFILES AND SATELLITE SIGNATURE DO SUPPORT
INSTANTANEOUS  RATES OF APPROXIMATELY 1.5"/HR AND MAYBE SLIGHTLY HIGHER
WITH BEST SIGNATURE CURRENTLY JUST W AND S OF PEORIA. HAVE SPOKEN WITH
WPC MPD FORECASTER WHO NOTES AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED 1-2"
TOTALS WITH LOCALIZED-ISOLATED TOTALS OVER 2" DURING THE NEXT 3 HOURS AS
SEEN IN THE SUITE OF HI-RES GUIDANCE. IT APPEARS LIKE THE THREAT AREA
WOULD ENCOMPASS THE REGION ROUGHLY FROM NEAR GALESBURG(KGBG IN W CENT
IL TO EFFINGHAM(K1H2) IN S CENT IL FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR 2, GRADUALLY
SHIFTING MORE TO THE E AND SE FROM THERE.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
.
FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4169 8984 4147 8920 4031 8825 3928 8783 3878 8853
3915 8955 4101 9041
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