Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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ACPN50 PHFO 070550
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1350 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII
CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. HOWEVER...SATELLITE
DATA SUGGEST THAT THE LOW DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CENTER AT THIS TIME. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
CONDUCIVE FOR CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL
LIKELY FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD
THE WEST NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.

2. PERSISTENT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR A WEAK...NEARLY
STATIONARY SURFACE LOW ARE LOCATED ABOUT 775 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST
OF HILO...HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS DISORGANIZED THIS EVENING...
AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. A PERSISTENT AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A
BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU...HAWAII HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS
EVENING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS NEARLY STATIONARY SYSTEM THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...30 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING.

$$

HOUSTON








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