Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Joaquin Valley, CA

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000
FXUS66 KHNX 221045
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
345 AM PDT WED MAY 22 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UNSEASONABLY COOL LOW PRESSURE AREA IS OVER THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST. THIS IS BRINGING A MUCH COOLER ONSHORE FLOW TO CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA...AND TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SOME 10 TO 20 DEGREES
LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THURSDAY...THEN A
VERY SLOW WARMING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER IT NOW LOOKS LIKE
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP 541DM H5 LOW IS OVER OR/WA...WITH AXIS EXTENDING SOUTH ALONG
THE CA COAST. TEMPS THIS MRNG RUNNING 10-20 DEGS COOLER THAN YDA
AND 1000-500 MB THICKNESS PLUNGING SOME 150 METERS BY THIS EVE
ACROSS CENTRAL CA. GUSTY WINDS IN THE KERN MTNS/DESERT LAST EVE
INTO EARLY THIS MRNG HAVE DIMINISHED A BIT...BUT WILL INCREASE
LATER THIS MRNG. NO CHANGE TO EXISTING WAD. BREEZY IN THE SJV AS
WELL...WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 30 MPH THIS AFTN...ESP ALONG I-5
CORRIDOR WITH PATCH BLOWING DUST.

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE PATTERN EXPECTED THURS WITH UPPER LOW Q-STNRY
OVER THE PACNW. CONT COOL TEMPS WITH AFTN AND EVE BREEZES ACROSS
CENTRAL CA. 00Z MODELS IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT OVER THE
COURSE OF THE NEXT 7-8 DAYS. THE UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY
FILL FRI WITH INCREASING HEIGHTS ACROSS CENTRAL CA AND A VERY SLOW
WARMING TREND BEGINNING. H85 TEMP PROFILE FROM THE ECM/GFS FAIRLY
CLOSE INTO 1ST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TEMPS NOT EXCEEDING 15
DEGS/C. THIS WILL KEEP MAX TEMPS FROM GETTING ANY HIGHER THAN LOW
TO MID 80S IN THE SJV THRU TUES...OR 3-5 DEGS BELOW CLIMO.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA INTERIOR.

WIND GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS OR GREATER CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE
SIERRA CREST THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH AND BELOW THE
MOUNTAIN PASSES OF KERN COUNTY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 05-22      104:1967     67:2010     71:1892     43:1909
KFAT 05-23      103:1967     65:1916     71:2000     44:1960
KFAT 05-24      103:1943     64:1916     68:2001     41:1953

KBFL 05-22      102:2001     68:2010     73:1967     36:1903
KBFL 05-23      107:1904     67:2010     73:2000     44:1903
KBFL 05-24      107:1982     68:1980     76:1982     41:1916
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM PDT THURSDAY CAZ095-098-099.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...BINGHAM
AVN/FW...DURFEE
SYNOPSIS...BINGHAM

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD







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