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000
FXUS66 KHNX 171712
AFDHNX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
1012 AM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

.UPDATE...ISSUED WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VICINITY OF MOJAVE.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGH
COUNTRY OF THE SIERRA TODAY. GRADUAL WARMING TREND TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH TO
COOL US DOWN AGAIN IN THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS NEAR MOJAVE STILL FLIRTING WITH WIND ADVISORY THIS MORNING.
NEW GUIDANCE INDICATING THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE
GUSTY BELOW THE TEHACHAPI PASS THROUGH THIS EVENING. SINCE THIS
IS A BUSY TRAFFIC CORRIDOR...HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR THIS
AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR GUSTS AROUND 45 MPH.



&&

.AVIATION...
LOCAL MVFR CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST SLOPES OF
THE SIERRA NEVADA AND THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS UNTIL 03Z SATURDAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE CENTRAL CA
INTERIOR.

&&

.PREV DISC... /ISSUED 934 AM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013/

DISCUSSION...
THE TROUGH AXIS IS SHIFTING EAST THIS MORNING. SOME CLOUDS REMAIN
OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTH END OF THE SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY...OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE CWFA IS CLEAR. SOME CUMULUS MAY
DEVELOP IN THE VALLEY LATER THIS MORNING...BUT NOT AS MUCH AS THE
FORECAST INDICATED...SO ADJUSTED SKY COVER DOWN TO BETTER DEPICT
WHAT IS HAPPENING. THERE IS STILL ENOUGH LINGERING INSTABILITY IN
THE SIERRA TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TODAY...BUT REMOVED
POPS FROM THE FOOTHILLS AND KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS. WILL STILL HAVE
SOME BREEZY CONDITIONS TODAY ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROUGH...BUT
WILL STAY BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS AT MOJAVE
THIS MORNING WHERE WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTING TO NEAR 45 MPH. DO NOT
EXPECT THE WINDS TO GET ANY STRONGER IN THIS AREA TODAY.

TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER COOL DAY WITH TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL. WARMING BEGINS AGAIN SATURDAY WITH SAN JOAQUIN
VALLEY TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 90S MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS BACK INTO THE REGION.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
NONE.

&&

.CERTAINTY...

THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 1 AND 2 IS HIGH.
THE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7 IS HIGH.

THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS PART OF A TRIAL PROJECT CONDUCTED
BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD.
CERTAINTY LEVELS INCLUDE LOW...MEDIUM...AND HIGH. PLEASE VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HNX/CERTAINTY.PHP /ALL LOWER CASE/ FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND/OR TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK.

&&

.CLIMATE...
             RECORDS
SITE DATE    HI_MAX:YEAR LO_MAX:YEAR HI_MIN:YEAR LO_MIN:YEAR

KFAT 05-17      106:2009     64:2011     73:2008     44:1974
KFAT 05-18      103:2008     63:1994     73:2008     42:1893
KFAT 05-19      103:2008     63:1972     70:2009     42:1896

KBFL 05-17      105:2009     68:1998     73:2009     41:1906
KBFL 05-18      102:2009     68:2011     76:1973     41:1893
KBFL 05-19      101:1954     65:1916     73:1979     38:1893
&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PDT THIS EVENING CAZ099.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...BEAN
AVN/FW...DURFEE
PREV DISCUSSION...JDB
SYNOPSIS...ANDERSEN

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD