Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
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800 FXUS64 KBMX 010640 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 140 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 135 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2024 A lingering shower is out there this morning. It is finally showing signs of falling apart and should do so before sunrise. We will also see fog develop across the area. Right now the worst vis appears to be in the south. Will be monitoring for any advisories as we see more development. As we move through the daytime hours, we are going to get a late Spring preview with plenty of sun, scattered cumulus clouds and highs in the mid to upper 80s. The rainfall chances are below 10 percent, but a stray shower can not be ruled out in the far south, just loo low to mention in the forecast. Another mild night on tap tonight. Right now it appears that the main fog development will be south of the area so will not mention at this time. On Thursday, we will warm up even more, with mid to upper 80s. There may even be a few local areas that reach 90. At the same time there appears to be a boundary that will be sliding north during the peak heating of the day. That boundary may be enough to trigger a few showers/storms in the warm environment. So with that in mind will include a low chance of rain. More or less the typical summertime "hit-and-miss" variety. Welcome to May! 16 && .LONG TERM... (Through next Monday) Issued at 122 PM CDT TUE APR 30 2024 No major changes needed in the forecast for the second half of the week and through the weekend. Several rounds of at least scattered showers/thunderstorms are possible over the weekend. Temperatures will continue to be in the mid to upper 80s through early next week with a few low 80s possible across the area depending on timing and coverage of rain each day. 25/Owen && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 135 AM CDT WED MAY 1 2024 With plenty of moisture at the surface, and light winds there is a strong possibility of fog develop at most sites. The best and most likely lowest vis will be in the south at TOI and MGM. Other sites may drop to MVFR/IFR as well, but not as confident. After the fog burns off by 14z, light winds and mostly sunny skies will prevail. 16 && .FIRE WEATHER... Rain free conditions today with RH values dropping into the 30s. 20 foot winds will be from north around 3-6 mph. Most of the area will remain dry on Thursday as well, but there is a small chance of seeing a shower or storm during the peak heating of the afternoon. Despite the low chances of rain, minimum RH values on Thursday will be in the 30s. 20 foot winds will be from south around 5-7 mph. Scattered showers/storms return for Friday through the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 85 55 87 62 / 0 0 10 10 Anniston 85 58 87 63 / 0 0 20 10 Birmingham 86 61 87 66 / 0 0 20 10 Tuscaloosa 87 61 87 65 / 0 0 20 10 Calera 85 60 86 65 / 0 0 20 10 Auburn 85 63 86 65 / 0 0 20 0 Montgomery 87 61 88 65 / 10 0 20 0 Troy 87 61 88 63 / 10 0 20 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...16