Text Products for FWS Issued by BOX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA
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FNUS71 KBOX 161008
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Matianuck State Park Rx...CT DEEP
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
608 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure nudges into the region today, while a weak surface
trough sweeps through. High pressure remains in control on
Wednesday as it builds more firmly in place.

Will have increasing wind speeds and gusts at Matianuck State Park
today out of the NW. Should be around 5-10 mph this morning and
increase to 10-15 mph by the afternoon. Winds will gust around
20-25 mph starting around mid morning and continue through the
afternoon. Minimum relative humidities at the Rx site of 20 to 25
percent today.

Dry and quiet weather continues on Wednesday, but with light
winds. Should start out of the NNW and gradually shift to the W
and SW/S as the day progresses. Minimum relative humidities of 30
to 35 percent on Wednesday.

.OUTLOOK... Thursday through Sunday...

A warm front approaches on Thursday bringing isolated to
scattered showers across the the interior. High pressure builds
overhead for much of Friday. Another round of rain showers late
on Friday through Saturday. Drier weather returns on Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
Max apparent temp...71.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northwest 7 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 24 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 7 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 24 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 21
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (100800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (108300
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 6.0.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   5   3   1   3   2   15  20  24  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  56  60  63  66  67  69  70  71  70
Dewpoint........35  35  34  34  33  33  32  32  31  31
RH..............52  45  37  34  29  28  25  24  23  23
Heat index (F)..52  56  60  63  66  67  69  70  71  70
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   7   8   8   10  12  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.12  15  18  22  22  24  23  24  24  23
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.3   7   8   8   10  12  12  13  13  13
Surface wnd gst.12  15  18  22  22  24  23  24  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 2.5 4.3 6.1 6.7 7.2 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   12  13  15  15  16  16  17  20  21
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   25  47  80  87  101 108 115 128 134
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  20  13  6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0

$$
Forecaster...BL
Requested by...Olney Knight
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411069.0/BOX
.DELDT 04/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Olney.knight@ct.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
