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000
FXUS62 KCAE 251601
AFDCAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Columbia SC
1201 PM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Weak high pressure will build in today while a front stalls to
our south. The front will push back towards the north some
Friday, and lead to a slight chance of afternoon showers, mainly
western areas. Fair Saturday through Monday with a warming
trend. A cold front is expected to bring a slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Weak high pressure will build into the region today with the
remnants of a frontal boundary moving back into the forecast
area tonight. As winds shift from northeasterly today then turn
more easterly tonight, it will allow for moisture advection into
the Southeast. Despite moisture increases we do not expect any
showers just low clouds developing and some mid and upper clouds
associated with the remains of the frontal boundary. High
temperatures this afternoon will be in the upper 70s to low 80s
with lows tonight in the low to mid 50s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure axis to extend into our region Friday,
with the old front set up just to our south and west. GFS/EC
ensemble means and SREF remain consistent in indicating some
increasing moisture and possibility of either some weak
isentropic lift and/or enough low level moisture convergence
near the stalled front which could promote some shallow light
showers developing in the afternoon, mainly over western areas,
aided by diurnal heating and an upper impulse. An upper ridge
axis will shift east over the region by Saturday, with surface
high pressure in place. Fair weather expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Upper ridge and surface high pressure to generally remain over
our region Sunday and Monday. Fair with a warming trend. Upper
ridge expected to shift offshore early next week, with
appearance of a cold front and associated precip chance coming
in late Tuesday into Wednesday. NBM indicating slight chance
POPs.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period.

Weak high pressure and mostly clear skies will be over the area
today with light northeasterly winds this morning and afternoon
veering to more easterly late in the period. This will again
begin pushing moisture into the area and result in development
of some low clouds around 6 kft from the afternoon through the
end of the period. Fog is not expected tonight.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...No significant impacts to aviation
expected through Monday.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...None.
GA...None.

&&

$$