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000
FNUS71 KCTP 220750
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 181 Blain Road...Pa Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
350 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 22.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Chilly start today with areas of frost, then mostly sunny and
warmer with minRH forecast around 20% this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 62.
Min Humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......7500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 59 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  6   5   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Weather Cov.......  ARS
Weather Type......  FST
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  37  41  45  49  53  55  57  59  60  61  62
RH................  72  62  53  44  38  34  30  26  25  23  21
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   8   10  10  11  12  13  13  12  12  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.9 1.7 3.9 5.2 5.9 6.4 6.8 7.1 7.3 7.5
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp Wind Spd...  9   10  12  15  15  17  17  17  16  16  15
LVORI.............  3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  13  13  47  47  47  59  59  59  57  57  57
Haines Index......  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 37.
Max Humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 15 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the southeast overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or low to high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 7.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   7   9   11
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  60  58  52  49  47  46  44  43  41  41  39  38
RH................  24  27  36  44  47  49  53  55  59  59  64  67
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   N   NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   6               2   2   2       2
Mix Hgt (kft).....  6.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  15  8   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  7   7   7   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Haines Index......  5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 57 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  16  18  20  22  25  27  30  32  38  44  50
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  38  40  45  50  55  60  62  64  66  65  65  65
RH................  70  67  62  58  47  37  35  32  30  33  34  34
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  1   1   2   3   5   6   6   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT Wind Gust...      2       4   6   8   11  13  14  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.4 1.3 3.3 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.4 4.9 4.4
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   5   7   9   13  14  16  17  18  18  20
LVORI.............  3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  4   4   4   38  38  38  56  56  56  57  57  57
Haines Index......  4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Aaron Ayers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411578.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aaayers@pa.gov