510
FNUS73 KDLH 081540
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Winnie Dam RX...Bureau of Indian Affairs
National Weather Service Duluth MN
Issued by National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1040 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CDT on May 08.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...For the Winnie Dam Rx Burn, skies will be mostly
cloudy through the early afternoon before becoming partly sunny.
Highs today will be in the low 60s with only a slight chance of
showers late in the afternoon. Winds will be easterly at 10kts or
less with RH values around 50%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (18800-33200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1
Temp............55  56  57  57
RH..............83  80  75  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.7 2.7 1.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  12
Haines index....3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100027  33  25  19

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4500-19900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     55     52     49     46     44
RH..............72     74     80     83     83     86
20 ft wind......E 7    E 5    E 4    E 5    E 5    E 5
20 ft wind gust.12     9      7      8      9      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2000   800    600    700    1100   600
Transport wind..E 12   E 12   E 9    E 8    E 12   E 9
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100020     8      5      5      11     5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph shifting to the north 8 to 10
                    mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4500-14800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (31100-46100 knot-ft) late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............43     44     49     54     55     57
RH..............86     79     68     57     51     45
20 ft wind......NE 4   E 5    NE 5   NE 6   N 7    N 6
20 ft wind gust.6      7      8      11     11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....600    1200   2500   4200   5200   5800
Transport wind..E 8    E 8    NE 7   N 10   N 9    N 9
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/10005      9      15     38     41     46

$$
Forecaster...WFO MPX
Requested by...Carl Crawford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413502.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL carl.crawford@bia.gov