Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FNUS73 KFGF 091111
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Smith/Tanner...USFWS
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
611 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast for your burn site east of Verona ND calls for dry
conditions with mostly sunny skies, and winds 10-15 mph. Most
likely RH values this afternoon resides in the mid 30s percent.
However, there is a 30% chance that RH values dip in the 25-30
percent range. Sunny skies throughout the morning and afternoon
will help realize this potential. Most likely winds this afternoon
ranges between 10-15 mph out of the north. There is a 30% chance
winds gust into the 15-20 mph during mid to late afternoon hours,
and will be realized if deeper mixing occurs with the help of
sunny skies throughout the morning and afternoon. High mixing
heights over 7,000 feet are expected today allowing for relatively
good smoke dispersion despite relatively lighter winds.

Winds diminish tonight to less than 10 mph, along with lower
mixing heights as nighttime inversion sets in.

Friday will see increasing winds out of the northwest gusting
over 20 mph by late morning through the afternoon. Afternoon RH
values will reside within the mid 20s to mid 30s percent range.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......8100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........North 15 to 20 mph.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  15  19  22  26  29  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  65  67  68  69  69  69
RH..............60  52  45  40  37  35  35
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  15  15  15  10
20 FT wind gust.14  16  18  18  18  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 5.0 6.6 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.0
Mixing wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Mixing wind spd.15  15  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest with gusts to around 19 mph late in
                    the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........30     54     38     28     42     45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............69     64     57     54     52     51
RH..............35     43     57     66     74     83
20 ft wind......N 10   N 5    NW 5   W 5    W 10   NW 10
20 ft wind gust.18     11     6      8      14     18
Mix hgt (ft)....7300   800    500    300    400    400
Mixing wind.....N 15   N 10   NW 10  W 10   NW 15  NW 15

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph increasing
                    to 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........10        2         19        33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............50        57        66        67
RH..............86        62        38        32
20 FT wind......NW 10G19  NW 20G25  NW 25G29  NW 25G32
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1500      7200      9100
Mixing wind.....NW 15     NW 20     NW 30     NW 30

$$
Forecaster...CJ
Requested by...Terry Gwilliams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413545.0/FGF
.DELDT 05/09/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Terry_Gwilliams@fws.gov