Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
921 FNUS52 KILM 051925 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 .DISCUSSION... Scattered showers and thunderstorms will occur through early this week due to the combination of several upper level disturbances, diurnal heating, and the daily sea breeze. Dry high pressure will build overhead late Tuesday with well above normal temperatures Tuesday through Thursday. A cold front will bring showers and thunderstorm ahead of it Late Thursday into Friday with much cooler temperatures into the weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-061130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 87 Max/Min RH (%) 99 65 99 56 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 SW 5 SW 7 G17 SW 7 G17 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 8 G18 SW 5 SW 11 G21 Precip Amount 0.03 0.10 0.05 0.09 Precip Duration 1 2 2 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 70/0800 2000 67/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5800 Transport Wind (mph) S 17 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69700 121800 ADI Early 49 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 69 Good ADI Late 9 Poor 59 Gen Good 11 Poor 80 Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability D C D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 86 percent. West winds 15 to 20 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-061130- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 70 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 65 84 65 88 Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 5 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 6 SW 4 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.04 0.14 0.10 0.10 Precip Duration 1 3 4 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0800 1900 67/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5700 Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75000 119700 ADI Early 48 Gen Good 50 Gen Good 39 Fair 57 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 59 Gen Good 10 Poor 90 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7 Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-061130- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 70 70 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 65 84 65 88 Max/Min RH (%) 100 60 100 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 8 G17 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 SW 8 SW 6 SW 11 G19 Precip Amount 0.06 0.10 0.17 0.07 Precip Duration 2 3 3 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 3 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 67/0600 Dispersion Fair Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 5500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 15 W 22 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76500 121000 ADI Early 26 Fair 44 Gen Good 24 Fair 55 Gen Good ADI Late 9 Poor 60 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 93 Good Max LVORI Early 7 8 6 5 Max LVORI Late 8 2 7 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability D C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 94 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 40 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 80 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 42 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-061130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 50 60 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 87 Max/Min RH (%) 100 63 100 56 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 S 4 S 5 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 SW 4 SW 10 G20 Precip Amount 0.04 0.25 0.14 0.07 Precip Duration 1 2 3 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/0900 1900 67/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5600 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 W 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 95200 ADI Early 35 Fair 49 Gen Good 33 Fair 64 Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 10 Poor 73 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7 Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C D B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cooler. Lows around 60. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-061130- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 70 70 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 64 84 64 87 Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 SW 7 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 SW 4 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.07 0.22 0.14 0.07 Precip Duration 1 3 3 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 10 PM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 71/0900 1900 66/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68600 116000 ADI Early 28 Fair 54 Gen Good 22 Fair 63 Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 10 Poor 88 Good Max LVORI Early 8 9 8 7 Max LVORI Late 9 3 8 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7 Turner Stability F B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 92 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 85 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 83 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-061130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 325 PM EDT Sun May 5 2024 Tonight Mon Mon Night Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 70 60 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 65 83 65 88 Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 100 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 5 S 5 SW 8 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 7 SW 5 SW 11 Precip Amount 0.06 0.20 0.17 0.06 Precip Duration 1 3 3 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 2 AM Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 66/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 14 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 121800 ADI Early 26 Fair 43 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 54 Gen Good ADI Late 7 Poor 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 90 Good Max LVORI Early 8 9 7 7 Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH 84 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 41 percent. Northwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 82 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum RH 43 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...RGZ