Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
495 FNUS52 KILM 020715 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 .DISCUSSION... Dry high pressure will move overhead on Thursday. Offshore high pressure will take over for the weekend, keeping a moist onshore flow in play through the weekend. A series of fronts will bring unsettled weather to the area this weekend, followed by drier weather early next week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. NCZ105>110-022315- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 87 60 87 Min/Max RH (%) 43 100 45 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 69/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 5 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5400 Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52200 48600 ADI Early 22 Fair 32 Fair 23 Fair ADI Late 52 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 51 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-022315- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 89 61 87 Min/Max RH (%) 34 100 39 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 2000 68/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 5 DSI 4 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7200 5500 Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 55000 ADI Early 24 Fair 55 Gen Good 21 Fair ADI Late 66 Good 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-022315- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 85 61 85 Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 70/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 5 5 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 4800 Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 9 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 43200 ADI Early 23 Fair 38 Fair 25 Fair ADI Late 54 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-022315- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 315 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Today Tonight Fri Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 Precip Type None None None LAL 1 1 1 Max/Min Temp 88 61 87 Min/Max RH (%) 36 100 42 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 Precip Duration Precip Begin Precip End Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/1000 2000 68/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 5 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 7300 5400 Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 8 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 65700 43200 ADI Early 23 Fair 56 Gen Good 22 Fair ADI Late 70 Good 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 1 9 2 Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...III