Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 280923
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for CW Fulton 16,17,18...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
423 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Surface high pressure will remain over the area this morning before
drifting eastward through Friday. This will provide mostly dry conditions
along with little in the way of cloud cover. Winds will be S/SW through
much of the period and are expected to increase on Friday.

.TODAY...

Max temperature.....52 at ignition...Max 69.
Min humidity........61 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........18.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....63.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7070 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6300 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  57  59  63  65  66  67  68
RH..............61  52  45  40  35  35  34  34
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 43.
Max humidity........Max 86 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........16 decreasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3023 ft MSL.
Category Day........2.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2300 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  63  60  55  52  50  49  48  47  46  44  45
RH..............37  47  49  60  68  73  74  76  76  78  82  78
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  12  13  13  13
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 75.
Min humidity........Min 39 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 21 mph shifting to the southwest 22
                    to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............3 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Dispersion..........22 increasing to 70.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....69.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5436 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4700 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  43  46  50  58  63  66  70  72  73  75  73
RH..............76  86  79  80  64  54  50  44  42  42  39  42
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   10  12  15  13  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.11  12  14  18  21  19  18  18  18  18  18  17
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  13  16  21  24  26  26  26  26  25  24  22
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...T Jones
Requested by...Derek Bollan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408669.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL derek.bollan@usda.gov,justus.beggs@usda.gov


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