Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
741 FNUS54 KMAF 112046 FWFMAF Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 .DISCUSSION... Some wetting rains have occurred across portions of the Permian Basin and a few more storms are possible this afternoon/early evening. Unfortunately, rain hasn`t fallout out west where it`s needed the most, but overnight moisture recovery will still be excellent tonight. Very dry conditions develop by tomorrow afternoon with increased winds out west. While RFTIs are pushing 5-6+ out west, will maintain the idea of near-critical conditions due to the good recovery the last few nights and the limited duration of critical conditions. At the very least, an RFD is prudent but should any lightning starts occur with this afternoon`s possible storms, an upgrade may be in order. Beyond Sunday, it will still be very dry out west each afternoon but lighter winds keep fire concerns low. && For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather Service Office. NMZ116-121000- Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains- 246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms None None None Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 46 (-9) 79 (+9) 47 80 RH % (24h trend) 89 (+18) 9 (-30) 58 15 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 14 W 9 W 16 NW 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 W 20 NW 9 N 9 LAL 2 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 4 5 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 30 32 22 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11720 11940 Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 NW 13 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 316440 155220 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 4 4 0 RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ NMZ117-121000- Chaves Plains- 246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms None None None Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 52 (-6) 85 (+14) 47 84 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+37) 10 (-39) 77 15 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 SW 8 NW 14 N 7 Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 W 16 NW 9 N 8 LAL 3 1 1 1 Haines Index 4 4 5 3 Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 24 30 17 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13660 11960 Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 N 14 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 327840 167440 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 3 3 0 RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ118-121000- Eddy Plains- 246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear Precip Type Tstms None None None Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 54 (-7) 88 (+14) 53 86 RH % (24h trend) 96 (+36) 8 (-40) 55 14 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 SW 7 W 15 NW 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 W 19 NW 10 N 8 LAL 2 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 4 5 4 Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 29 33 21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12870 12640 Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 N 14 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 321750 176960 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 5 5 0 RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. $$ NMZ119-121000- Lea- 246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear Precip Type Tstms None None None Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 54 (-4) 86 (+18) 50 85 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+34) 7 (-44) 74 14 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 15 S 9 W 13 N 10 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 W 17 NW 9 NW 9 LAL 3 1 1 1 Haines Index 3 5 6 3 Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 30 31 21 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12770 13150 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 N 17 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 319250 223550 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 5 4 0 RFTI Category Nil Critical Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ TXZ270-271-121000- Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet- Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains- Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and Pine Springs 346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 /246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024/ Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear Precip Type None None None None Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 51 (-6) 79 (+8) 51 80 RH % (24h trend) 91 (+13) 8 (-36) 33 11 Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 16 W 12 W 24 NW 9 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9 W 28 W 14 W 13 LAL 2 1 1 1 Haines Index 5 5 5 4 Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 33 33 18 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9990 13600 Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 NW 14 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 319680 190400 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 6 6 1 RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. $$ TXZ272-273-275>282-121000- Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County- Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains- Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin- Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County- Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine, Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin, Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon 346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear Precip Type Tstms None None None Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 55 (-8) 92 (+8) 53 91 RH % (24h trend) 95 (+17) 6 (-29) 31 6 Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 14 W 8 NW 14 NW 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8 W 18 NW 9 NW 11 LAL 3 1 1 1 Haines Index 6 5 6 4 Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 27 32 24 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11350 14180 Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 NW 16 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 295100 226880 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 5 5 2 RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Elevated Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. $$ TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-121000- Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving- Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos- Terrell-Reeves County Plains- Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews, Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa, Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake, Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos 346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None Chance Precip (%) 50 10 0 0 Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 91 (+17) 55 89 RH % (24h trend) 100 (+34) 6 (-45) 82 13 Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 12 S 8 W 11 NW 8 Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 W 14 W 7 N 9 LAL 3 3 1 1 Haines Index 4 5 6 5 Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 29 35 25 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11470 11860 Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 NW 18 Vent Rate (kt-ft) 286750 213480 Vent Category Excellent Excellent RFTI 0 4 4 0 RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. $$