065
FNUS74 KMAF 271911
FWSMAF

Spot Forecast for Brewster 1491...College Station Dispatch
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
211 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

Critical fire weather conditions will persist into this evening, with
RHs progged to bottom out around 10%. While ERCs have improved, the
warm weather, dry conditions, and 20-25mph 20ft winds will maintain the
threat for wind-driven wildfires. Cirrus clouds should clear to the east
of the wildfire site by late afternoon, with a brief uptick in wind
speeds possible. Conditions improve after sunset as winds slowly diminish
and shift to the northwest, but nocturnal recovery will only be fair, at
best. Another very dry day is ahead Sunday with RHs around 12-13% in the
afternoon, but 20ft winds around 15 mph will largely mitigate additional
fire weather concerns.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......10700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 33 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.

TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0
LAL.............1      1
Temp............79     79
RH..............11     10
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW
20 FT wind spd..17     22
20 FT wind gust.22     26
Mix hgt (ft)....7800   10700
Transp wind dir.SW     SW
Transp wind spd.25     33
Haines index....3      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy blowing
                    dust late in the evening.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds 21 to 22 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph shifting to the northwest 17 to
                    25 mph with gusts to around 30 mph in the late
                    evening and overnight, then shifting to the
                    west 12 to 15 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......11500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southwest 32 to 33 mph becoming northwest 16 to
                    23 mph early in the evening, then decreasing to
                    12 to 13 mph overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 6 or very low to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............79        69        60        55
RH..............10        17        26        26
20 FT wind dir..SW        W         NW        W
20 FT wind spd..22        22        17        14
20 FT wind gust.26        26        22        17
Mix hgt (ft)....11500     600       600       600
Transp wind dir.SW        NW        NW        NW
Transp wind spd.33        23        16        12
Haines index....5         6         4         3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........13 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR     CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............51        55        67        72
RH..............29        30        20        15
20 FT wind dir..W         W         W         W
20 FT wind spd..12        13        15        14
20 FT wind gust.14        18        18        18
Mix hgt (ft)....500       1600      5300      7300
Transp wind dir.W         W         W         W
Transp wind spd.14        18        18        16
Haines index....2         3         4         2

$$
Forecaster...Phillipson
Requested by...Cindy Skinner
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412610.0/MAF
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu