Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
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000
FNUS72 KMHX 130824
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for GG...USMC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
424 AM EDT Sat Apr 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on April 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...

...INCREASED FIRE DANGER POTENTIAL TODAY FOR EASTERN NC...

There will be an increased threat for wildfires across most of
Eastern NC today until around sunset. The combination of strong
westerly wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph, relative humidity values
of 20 to 25 percent this afternoon, and dry ground fuels will
allow any fires to quickly spread with erratic fire behavior
possible.

High pressure builds into the area from the south this weekend
and dominates into early next week with a dry frontal passage
occurring Monday night. Ridging reestablishes itself by Tuesday
with the next potential frontal system at the end of next week.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 16560 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Min 21.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1
Temp............52
RH..............71
20 FT wind dir..W
20 FT wind spd..15
20 FT wind gust.18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7
Transp wind dir.W
Transp wind spd.23
LVORI...........3
ADI.............21
Haines index....5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.17

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 26 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 115574 mph-ft increasing to Max 128339
                    mph-ft in the afternoon.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 108.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............51  52  53  56  60  64  67  69  71  71  71  71
RH..............74  74  71  64  53  46  39  34  30  27  29  31
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..15  15  15  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  23  23  27  27  23  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.6 1.7 2.9 4.6 4.9 4.6 3.9 3.4 2.7 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.21  21  20  23  24  25  26  26  25  24  24  24
LVORI...........3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............19  16  15  49  75  100 108 106 93  82  73  75
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.13  13  12  38  69  116 128 123 99  81  66  68

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest 8
                    to 12 mph overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 2989 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 4.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........1      1      0      1      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............69     63     59     56     54     51
RH..............35     48     62     69     69     77
20 ft wind......W 12   W 8    W 7    W 7    W 6    NW 5
20 ft wind gust.18     14     9      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   600    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 22  W 14   W 13   W 13   NW 12  NW 9
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      4
ADI.............62     9      8      8      5      4
Haines index....5      6      6      6      5      5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.54     8      6      5      5      3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light, then becoming southwest
                    5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 23 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 7 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 9 to 18 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the southwest 21 to 22 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 29094 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 37.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........1         2         5         19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............50        58        68        70
RH..............83        62        45        45
20 FT wind......NW 4G5    W 3G5     SW 6G9    S 13G18
Mix hgt (ft)....300       800       1800      1500
Transport wind..NW 7      W 5       S 9       S 18
LVORI...........5         3         2         1
ADI.............3         5         22        37
Haines index....5         5         5         5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2         4         17        29

$$
Forecaster...Kearns
Requested by...J Cumbo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410586.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.cumbo@usmc.mil
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
