River Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
811 FGUS53 KKRF 072131 RVFMIL RVFMIL RVFMIL RIVER FORECAST NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO 1934Z Tue May 7 2024 : : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : FORECAST GROUP IS MILK : *** REVISED FORECAST *** : *** RESEND *** : ********************************************************** : *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY QPF *** : ********************************************************** : ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 72 hours of QPF <== : Still true, is our uncertainty as to how much water : Frenchman Dam will contribute. This contingeny assumes : the peak spill from Frenchman will be ~1,400 cfs. RIVER/STATION FS TDY F O R E C A S T BEAVER CREEK HINSDALE MT 4NW 14.0 2.6 WITHIN BANK RISE MILK RIVER TAMPICO MT 23.0 3.3 CREST NEAR 21.3 FT 05/12 PM GLASGOW MT 3SE 25.0 4.5 CREST NEAR 23.9 FT 05/13 PM NASHUA MT 1SW 20.0 2.3 WITHIN BANK RISE :________________________________________________________________ :HINSDALE MT 4NW - BEAVER CREEK HSA - GGW :FLOOD STAGE 14.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 12.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.6 FT AT 1830Z ON 0507 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 2.5 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .ER BCHM8 20240508 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0508 : / 2.6 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.9 .E2 : 0509 : / 3.3 / 4.0 / 4.9 / 6.3 .E3 : 0510 : / 7.5 / 7.3 / 6.6 / 5.6 .E4 : 0511 : / 4.9 / 4.4 / 4.1 / 4.0 .E5 : 0512 : / 3.9 / 3.9 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E6 : 0513 : / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.1 / 4.1 .E7 : 0514 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.4 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 0.82 / 0.35 / 0.04 / 0.29 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 07: 1.50 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0508 / 0.35 / 0.13 / 0.07 / 0.08 : 0509 / 0.04 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0510 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 10: 0.68 inches :________________________________________________________________ :TAMPICO MT - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW :FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 21.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 27.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.3 FT AT 1830Z ON 0507 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.2 / 3.3 .AR : CREST : TMPM8 20240513 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFFX 21.3 .ER TMPM8 20240508 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0508 : / 3.4 / 3.6 / 3.8 / 4.1 .E2 : 0509 : / 4.7 / 5.5 / 6.7 / 8.0 .E3 : 0510 : / 9.5 / 11.0 / 12.6 / 14.1 .E4 : 0511 : / 15.6 / 16.8 / 18.0 / 19.0 .E5 : 0512 : / 19.8 / 20.5 / 21.0 / 21.3 .E6 : 0513 : / 21.3 / 21.1 / 20.6 / 19.9 .E7 : 0514 : / 19.2 / 18.3 / 17.5 / 16.7 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 0.70 / 0.08 / 0.24 / 0.17 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 07: 1.19 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0508 / 0.24 / 0.08 / 0.04 / 0.06 : 0509 / 0.02 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0510 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 10: 0.45 inches :________________________________________________________________ :GLASGOW MT 3SE - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW :FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 23.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.5 FT AT 1900Z ON 0507 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 / 4.4 .AR : CREST : GLWM8 20240514 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFFX 23.9 .ER GLWM8 20240508 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0508 : / 4.6 / 4.7 / 4.9 / 5.2 .E2 : 0509 : / 5.7 / 6.4 / 6.8 / 7.1 .E3 : 0510 : / 7.5 / 8.0 / 8.6 / 9.6 .E4 : 0511 : / 10.8 / 12.1 / 13.3 / 14.8 .E5 : 0512 : / 16.5 / 18.2 / 19.5 / 20.7 .E6 : 0513 : / 21.6 / 22.5 / 23.2 / 23.6 .E7 : 0514 : / 23.9 / 23.8 / 23.4 / 22.9 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 0.70 / 0.04 / 0.22 / 0.18 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 07: 1.14 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0508 / 0.26 / 0.10 / 0.05 / 0.07 : 0509 / 0.03 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0510 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 10: 0.52 inches :________________________________________________________________ :NASHUA MT 1SW - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW :FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT :MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT :LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.3 FT AT 1900Z ON 0507 :Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3 .ER NSHM8 20240508 Z DC202405071934/DH00/HGIFF/DIH6 :Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z .E1 : 0508 : / 2.4 / 2.6 / 2.7 / 2.8 .E2 : 0509 : / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9 .E3 : 0510 : / 3.0 / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.5 .E4 : 0511 : / 3.8 / 4.1 / 4.7 / 5.5 .E5 : 0512 : / 6.4 / 7.6 / 8.9 / 10.3 .E6 : 0513 : / 11.3 / 12.1 / 12.9 / 13.6 .E7 : 0514 : / 14.2 / 14.7 / 15.0 / 15.1 :Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0507 / 0.94 / 0.08 / 0.31 / 0.12 : :Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPE Total Ending May 07: 1.45 inches : :Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 72 hrs): : / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z : 0508 / 0.22 / 0.09 / 0.04 / 0.08 : 0509 / 0.03 / 0.01 / 0.00 / 0.00 : 0510 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 : :Local forecast 72-hr basin-averaged precip total : QPF Total Ending May 10: 0.47 inches :***************************************************************** :COMMENT : : :HSA - Hydrologic Service Area :WFO - Weather Forecast Office :TFX - NWS WFO Great Falls, Montana :GGW - NWS WFO Glasgow, Montana :BIS - NWS WFO Bismarck, North Dakota :OBS - Observed :EST - Estimated :M - Missing :Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation :Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation :Precip - Precipitation :QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation :QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin : : $$ : ajm :...END of MESSAGE...