National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS73 KMKX 151106
FWSMKX

Spot Forecast for H&L East Rx Burn...WI DNR
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
606 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 15.

Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become
unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Limited mixing heights this morning will lift to around 4300 ft
this afternoon. Light northeast winds are expected until this
evening when they become due east. Smoke dispersal will be fair
this afternoon. Low RH of 24 percent is expected this afternoon.
If temperatures end up warmer then RH will be closer to 20
percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........65 at ignition...Max 73.
RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 5 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northeast winds 5 to 6
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19700 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /27900 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   3   1   1   1   3   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  68  70  71  73  73  72
RH..............43  34  31  29  25  27  28
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   8   7   8   10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.2
Transp wind dir.NE  N   N   N   N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   7   7   7   7
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100020  28  26  23  25  26  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 47.
RH..................Max 66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 20 mph
                    after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   8   9   9   10  14  17  21  24  27  30  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............71  68  64  60  56  53  52  50  49  49  48  47
RH..............30  37  43  49  55  57  61  59  59  58  58  61
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.10  11  12  14  14  14  14  16  16  16  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  15  17  17  16  16  17  18  18  20
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100026  4   5   7   8   8   8   8   10  10  11  13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    morning, then rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph
                    increasing to 36 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the late morning and early
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 18 to 26 mph increasing to 28 to 33 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  48  53  68  71  76  79  80  83  88  93  94
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Temp............47  47  49  53  56  58  60  62  62  62  63  63
RH..............63  61  63  61  59  59  60  62  62  67  67  72
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  13  14  15  15  15  15  16  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.18  20  21  22  22  22  22  23  25  26  28  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  20  25  26  28  28  29  30  31  32  33  31
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/100012  13  27  29  32  33  36  38  40  41  42  33

$$
Forecaster...Cronce
Requested by...Cassandra Young
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410742.0/MKX
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cassandra.young@wisconsin.gov