Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
898 FNUS72 KMLB 060928 FWSMLB Spot Forecast for JDSP E14 C2/3/4...Florida Park Service National Weather Service Melbourne FL 528 AM EDT Mon May 6 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 06. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... High pressure extending along the eastern seaboard to Florida remains in control of local conditions. Winds SE 5-10 mph this morning back to the ESE-E and increase to 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph by 11 AM as the sea breeze quickly develops and pushes inland. An isolated onshore moving shower will be possible until around 2 PM, and there`s a slight chance for showers to develop in the vicinity of sea breeze between around 11 AM and 2 PM. A lightning storm developing west of the burn site along the sea breeze can`t be ruled out, but chances are very low. Dry conditions expected after 2 PM as convection pushes inland. Afternoon high in the M80s and peak heat index in the U80s. Min RH 50-60 pct due to a tight gradient near the coast. Smoke dispersion Generally to Very Good. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers in the morning and early afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........57 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5-10 mph shifting to the east- southeast 10-15 mph in the late morning. Mixing height.......500-1800 ft AGL increasing to 2800-4100 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast around 13 mph. Dispersion index....Increasing to 47. LVORI...............Decreasing to 1. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........30 31 29 30 28 28 26 26 24 24 21 21 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............72 72 75 79 81 83 84 84 84 84 84 83 RH..............81 81 76 67 63 59 57 57 57 57 57 59 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 20 FT wind gust.13 12 12 13 13 14 15 17 20 18 17 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.8 3.8 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.3 Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E E E E Transp wind spd.12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 Dispersion idx..7 7 26 51 51 42 43 46 46 45 44 43 LVORI...........4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Min temperature.....Around 71. Max humidity........87 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East-southeast winds 10-15 mph shifting to the southeast and decreasing to 5-10 mph late. Mixing height.......2000-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 400-600 ft AGL in the late evening and overnight. Transport winds.....Southeast around 13 mph shifting to the south around 5-10 mph after 3 am. Dispersion index....Decreasing to 7 early in the evening. LVORI...............Increasing to 5. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........23 27 25 26 34 31 Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............82 78 75 74 73 72 RH..............61 69 76 79 81 84 20 ft wind......E 12 SE 10 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 S 6 20 ft wind gust.16 15 14 13 10 9 Mix hgt (ft)....3200 2000 400 600 500 500 Transport wind..E 13 E 14 SE 14 SE 12 SE 9 S 7 Dispersion idx..42 10 9 8 6 4 LVORI...........1 3 4 4 4 5 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers early in the morning. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 1400, then 1-8 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........57 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5-10 mph shifting to the southeast and increasing to around 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL increasing to 3200-3900 ft AGL in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Dispersion index....Increasing to 42. LVORI...............Decreasing to 2. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........28 26 25 16 Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 20 LAL.............1 1 1 2 Temp............71 78 85 86 RH..............87 71 59 57 20 FT wind......S 6G8 SE 7 SE 9 SE 10G14 Mix hgt (ft)....400 1900 3800 3200 Transport wind..S 7 S 7 SE 9 E 10 Dispersion idx..3 17 41 44 LVORI...........5 3 1 1 $$ Forecaster...Haley Requested by...Rob Rossmanith Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413199.0/MLB .DELDT 05/06/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL robin.rossmanith@floridadep.gov